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Global Outlook June 2011
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Areas Today Asia China U.S.A
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Asia
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Asia’s Contribution to Global GDP Growth
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Soaring Industrial Production in Asia
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Investments in Asia
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Higher labor Costs in Asia ex Japan
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Asia Inflation Supply Shortages Demand Pull Not Much Slack Overheating
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Asia Place to Produce Invest Sell Future
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Risks Inflation External Trade 2/3
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China’s Economy
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China: Inflation Food Inflation Peaked Non-food Inflation
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House Prices for Asian Cities
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Gov’t Policies Purchase Restrictions Property Taxes Higher Interest Rates
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Construction Slowing
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China: Too Much Inventories?
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Conclusion Growth Cool Down Inflation Ease Control Property Prices Gradual Yuan Appr.
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Stock Market Healthy Growth Inflation Ease Moderate P/E Better Market
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U.S. Economy
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U.S. Economy: Employment
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U.S. Economy: Sectors
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Where Jobs Are Going
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Boathouse Sports
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Manufacturers Experiencing Rising Exports
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Export’s Contribution to GDP
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U.S. Economic Growth (% Change Year over Year) Forecast
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Dow Jones Commodity Index
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Inflation Risks Inflation Expectations Wage Increases
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Federal Budget Deficit
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Federal Debt as % of GDP
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Entitlement Spending
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Higher Taxes
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Some Hope Serious Debate Political Climate Grand Bargain ?
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Quantitative Easing
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Exit Strategy End QE2 Raise Interest Rate Shrink B/S
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When? Inflation Economy Budget
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Inflation and Multiples: 1950 - 2007
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Corp. Prof./ Stocks Moderate U.S. Growth Low Cost Presssure Low Inflation and Rate Moderate P/E Ratio
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Portfolio Long: Upside Hedge Fund: Downside
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U.S.A Risks Euro Crisis Commodity Prices No Budget Agreement
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DrSohn.com (not Dr.Sohn.com)
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