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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Students to Start-ups The Les Kilpatrick Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Art of Valuation Alex Moen Vice President, CB Capital Partners CB Capital Partners 860 Newport Center Drive Newport Beach, CA 92660 (949) 219-7462 alex.moen@cbcapital.com
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Executive Summary Valuation Methodology Comparable Company Analysis Precedent Transaction Analysis Discounted Cash Flow Putting It All Together – Determining a Valuation Range Appendix
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Valuation Methodology A potential institutional investor would typically utilize a combination of the following methods and techniques to value the Company including: Comparable Company Analysis – Value based on trading multiples of similar publicly traded companies Similar Transactions Analysis – Value based on completed and pending transaction multiples in related industries Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis – Value based on discounting the Company’s projected cash flows back to today’s value Book Value – Minimum/liquidation value of the Company – Ignores the future earning power of the Company
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Comparable Company Analysis Determines how the market would currently value the Company Advantages –Reflects the market’s opinion of future growth, trends and risks –Includes premiums for size and maturity Disadvantages: –Often imprecise due to non-comparable data, non-financial issues and low sample size
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Medical Device Example
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Precedent Transaction Analysis Determines amounts paid for recent acquisitions of companies similar to the Company Advantages: Includes control, synergy and auction premiums Provides precedent for transaction value range Reflects supply and demand for similar companies Disadvantages: Often imprecise due to lack of data, non-financial issues and low sample size
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Precedent Transaction Analysis
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Discounted Cash Flow Determines the Company’s value by summing the net present value of free cash flows the ensuing projected five years and the terminal value at the end of the fifth year using a terminal value multiple Advantages: According to modern financial theory, this is the most "correct" form of valuation The method is least influenced by stock market conditions or the M&A environment Principal valuation techniques used by foreign, large corporate, and LBO buyers Disadvantages: Sensitive to assumptions of revenue growth, operating margins, fixed capital investment, working capital investment and weighted average cost of capital Does not account for a "control" premium Does not account for the value of synergies Does not account for potential auction premium
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Discounted Cash Flow
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Discounted Cash Flow
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Takeaways from Discounted Cash Flow Clearly define the DCF assumptions. Emerging technology and life science companies will likely require more significant discounting given the increased uncertainty that the early company will meet its projections. DCF analysis has been around (at least in some form) for centuries. Early-stage investors will likely review a prospect’s projections and DCF with skepticism – be able to defend your assumptions. Be able to reference other valuation methodologies to further support your analysis.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Putting It All Together – Developing a Valuation Range Note: The analysis above is a sample. Each valuation range will have unique attributes given the company and the corresponding industry.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick CB Capital Contact Information Alex Moen CB Capital Partners 860 Newport Center Drive Newport Beach, CA 92660 (949) 219-7462 (Direct) alex.moen@cbcapital.com
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix A - Medical Device Companies in Orange County Source: Orange County Business Journal Note: There are over 300 Medical Device companies in Orange County alone.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix A - Medical Device Companies in Orange County (cont.) Source: Orange County Business Journal
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix A - Medical Device Companies in Orange County (cont.) Source: Orange County Business Journal
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix B - VCs with an Interest in Medical Device Companies Accuitive Medical Ventures – Invested in WaveTec Vision of Aliso Viejo in February 2009 De Novo Ventures – Invested in WaveTec Vision of Aliso Viejo in February 2009 New Leaf Venture Partners – Invested in ReShape Medical of San Clemente in February 2009 SV Life Sciences– Invested in ReShape Medical of San Clemente in February 2009 U.S. Venture Partners – Invested in ReShape Medical of San Clemente in February 2009 Versant Ventures – Invested in WaveTec Vision of Aliso Viejo in February 2009 Note: There are hundreds of prospective Medical Device investors in the United States and abroad.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix C - Prominent UCI Alumni Adam Tomasi, Ph.D., Kauffman Fellow, Alta Partners Adam joined Alta partners in 2006 as a Kauffman Fellow and focuses on investments in the life sciences. Originally trained as an organic and medicinal chemist, Adam spent seven years in early stage drug discovery with Gilead Sciences and Cytokinetics. In his last technical position, he founded and led the Anti-Infectives Medicinal Chemistry Program at Cytokinetics, which was the first group to validate KIP-1 as an anti-fungal target, and played a key role in the creation of Cytokinetics’ cardiovascular drug CK-1827452, which is currently in clinical trials. Prior to joining Alta, Adam was a student in the Harvard-MIT Biomedical Enterprise Program; he completed internships at MPM Capital and Lehman Brothers, where he was an Analyst covering the biotech sector, and attended the Harvard Medical School. Adam completed his Ph.D. at the University of California, Irvine, where he was a Fellow of the American Chemical Society and the University of California Regents, and was a post doctoral student with Peter Schultz at The Scripps Research Institute/The Genomics Institute of the Novartis Foundation. Adam holds a Bachelor of Science in Chemistry from the University of California, Berkeley, a Ph.D. in Chemistry from the University of California, Irvine, and a Masters of Business Administration from the MIT Sloan School of Management.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Appendix C - Prominent UCI Alumni Brian Atwood, Co-Founder & Managing Director, Versant Ventures Brian Atwood specializes in biotechnology investing at Versant. Brian co-founded Versant Ventures after spending four years at Brentwood Venture Capital where as a general partner he led investments in biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, and bioinformatics. He also has more than 15 years of operating experience in the biotechnology industry, with emphasis on therapeutic products, devices, diagnostics, and research instrumentation. Prior to launching his career in venture capital, Brian was founder, president, and CEO of Glycomed, a publicly traded biotechnology company. At Glycomed, Brian concentrated on business development and strategic alliances, closing deals with Eli Lilly & Company, Millipore, Genentech, and Sankyo, before leading the sale of Glycomed to Ligand Pharmaceuticals. Prior to this, he co-founded and served as director of Perkin Elmer/Cetus Instruments, a joint venture for robotics automation and genomics research instruments and products later acquired by Perkin Elmer. Under Brian's management, the venture developed and launched the GeneAmp® Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) system, the fundamental DNA amplification innovation responsible for fueling the explosive growth of genomics research. Brian served on the Board of Directors at Pharmion Corporation (sold to Celgene in 2008). Brian currently serves as a Board member at the private companies ForteBio Inc., FivePrime Therapeutics, Inc., Veracyte, Inc., Trius Therapeutics, Inc., Synosia Therapeutics, OpGen, Inc., PhaseRx, Inc., and Immune Design Corp., as well as public companies, Cadence Pharmaceuticals (CADX), and Helicos Biosciences (HLCS). Brian received a Bachelor's degree in Biological Sciences from the University of California, Irvine; a Master's degree from the University of California, Davis, and an MBA from Harvard Business School. *Disclaimer: Brian Atwood is focused on biotechnology, pharmaceuticals and bioinformatics.
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Kurt Miklinski Slideshow
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Who is SVB Financial Group? Comprised of three segments: 1.Silicon Valley Bank 2.SVB Capital 3.Other Business Services 31% Loan Growth (2007 to 2008) $5.5 Billion of loans $10 Billion of on balance sheet assets Over 11,000 clients / 1100 employees Global Presence (27 US offices plus India, China, UK, Israel)
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick SVB Target Market Technology, Life Sciences, Private Equity and Venture Capital Loans $1-20 Million Senior blanket lien on all assets Quad I, II, III, IV
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick SVB Med Device Clients Orange County 8 public 30 private 6 private equity raises in prior 12 months
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Most Active SoCal Investors (with a SoCal office)
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Medical Device Themes Aging population Resiliency compared to broader market High ticket and elective procedures suffering Market consolidation Unemployment affecting volume of doctor and dentist visits
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Success Factors/Strong Valuations Minimally invasive / Compelling ROI Non-elective New frontiers (Obesity, Diabetes) International –General increase in standards of living –Increased healthcare spending –Nationalized healthcare Avoidance of DOJ investigations / IP litigation
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Jeremy Holland Slideshow
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Students to Start-ups The Les Kilpatrick Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series Private Equity Trends Jeremy Holland Principal, Vintage Fund Management
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Executive Summary US EV/EBITDA Multiples Average Purchase Price by Transaction Type Median Acquisition P/E Multiple by Transaction Size Equity P/E Ratio vs. Number of Deal Announcements 2008 Private Equity US Middle Market M&A Activity by Buyer Type Private Equity – History Prototypical Deal Capital Structure Average Equity Contribution Credit Markets Commentary Valuation Issues and Problems
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick U.S. EV/EBITDA Valuation Multiples
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Average Purchase Price by Transaction Type
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Median Acquisition P/E Multiple by Transaction Size
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Equity P/E Ratio vs. Number of Deal Announcements
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick 2008 Private Equity
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick U.S. Middle Market M&A Activity by Buyer Type
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Private Equity - History
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Prototypical Deal Capital Structure
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Average Equity Contribution
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Credit Markets Commentary
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Valuation Issues and Problems
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Vintage Fund Management Contact Information Jeremy R. Holland Principal Vintage Fund Management, LLC 11611 San Vicente Blvd, 10 th Floor Los Angeles, CA 90049 310-979-9090 jholland@vintagecapitalgroup.com
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Chuck Packard Slideshow
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick PACKARD BUSINESS RULES Success Rules for Successful Businesses
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Successful businesses must be adequately capitalized: –Human Capital –Financial Capital –Network Capital –Vendor/Supplier Capital
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Experienced, Active Board of Directors Recruit a Strategic Advisory Board Operate at a Profit
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Manage Cash Daily / Collect Accounts Receivable Develop business-specific Performance Metrics Business Capital / Business Experience
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Students to Start-ups Entrepreneurial Skills Workshop Series The Les Kilpatrick Develop the mindset of a successful business Must be able to Survive Death Valley – Staying Power
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