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Outline Regional Hurricane NMMB Progress
HNMMB Simulations and comparisons - HNMMB configuration - Real case simulations (NMMB vs HWRF vs NAM) Arthur 01L; GONZALO 08L - 2-km Idealized simulations (NMMB vs HWRF) Issues and plans Summary and future work
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HNNMB progress/status
Progress related to hurricane applications: - Available/done Two-way interactive nests in NMMB (Tom) Nest tracking algorithm to NMMB (Tom) ( 2012? hwrf version) Transition of HWRF initialization to NMMB (Qingfu, v2012) Implementation of HWRF physics to NMMB (Weiguo, v2014) EMC repository: -Ongoing New tracking and in-model diagnosis system 2015 HWRF physics upgrade Ocean coupling Data assimilation
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NMMB-hurricane flowchart
To be replaced by NMMB-DA/INIT To be replaced by spectral data Vortex Initial conditions GFS data Boundary Conditions namelist.nps NPS configure_file_d01 configure_file_d02 configure_file_d03 NMMB Post/Tracker Analysis/plots
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NMMB Hurricane simulations
domains, feedback=0.5 Phys /domain HNMMB HWRF Turbulence/pbl: GFSHUR sfc_layer: GFDL land_surface: GFDLSLAB convection: SASHUR microphysics: FER shortwave: longwave: Ocean No Yes DA Domain: Dt=45/15/5s B: 305x305 (27km) 154x133(9km) 255x231(3km) E: 216x432(27km) 106x204(9km) 198x354(3km)
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Results Arthur 01L Both hwrf and nmmb did good job 08L
Hwrf gave weaker intensity, NMMB better, -- Track/intensity plots ? --- show nest move well along track ? --- structure ? Vertical cross-section ?
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2-km Idealized HNMMB
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Smagorinsky-type tunable
2-km idealized HNMMB Phys /domain HNMMB hwrfphys NAM-like phys HWRF Turbulence/pbl: GFSHUR MYJ sfc_layer: GFDL land_surface: GFDLSLAB NOAH convection: SASHUR BMJ microphysics: FER shortwave: longwave: Ocean Constant SST Initialization Idealized Vortex Horizontal Diffusion Smagorinsky-type tunable Domain: dt =30/10/3.333s B: 451x451(18km) 231x201(6km) 381x345(2km) E: 288x576(18km) 106x204(9km)?? 198x354(3km)??
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NMMB with hwrf phys NMMB with nam phys NAM uses z0 ~ ustar^2/g …., TKE PBL, NAM-phys gives small size, strong TC
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HWRF phys NAM phys
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34kt, 50kt, and RMW Size from HNMMB
At 84hr HWRF phys NAM phys
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Issues: Some issues for NMMB-hurricane still need to be addressed,
for example, nest motion (vortex not very organized …) Nests do not move with vortex Bad track
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Track wrong when resolution is high, …
Track wrong when resolution is high, …. (maybe some spots with low pressure …. ), For example, 2-km HNMMB, …..,
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NMMB-hurricane in NEMS
Plans: NMMB-hurricane in NEMS NMMB-hurricane Coupled with many other components
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Plan We have a HNMMB development plan: Target:
2015 continue development/tests 2016 tests/parallel real-time run 2017 real-time run
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Lead/support Personnel
Task Status Lead/support Personnel Note Start/Complete date Transition of HWRF physics suite to NMMB Done Weiguo Lin … Update to 2015 hwrf version Need tests Update by June, 2015 HWRF nest motion algorithm to NMMB Shortly Sam With some in-model diagnostic fields June/May to Sep, 2015 HWRF vortex initialization to NMMB almostDone Qingfu Lin… April to June 2015 Ocean POM/HYCOM to NMMB Bin Dmitry Hyun-Sook Regional Hycom POM: April to Oct 2015 HYCOM: planned Ocean coupling Zhan progress in nems’s NUOPC is slow. May need a hwrf-like coupler for use in a year April to Sep 2015 HWRF data assimilation Planned Mingjing, Jason Bin, Banglin GSI-EnKF ? Interface/data change Post processing Graphics Lin, Keqin Sam Weiguo .. now OK to use ncep-post, Sep to Oct, 2015 Script Sam, Zhan Mingjing ,Keqin HWRF-like Python script Sep to Nov, 2015
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Code management All source codes, scripts, utilities and libraries, etc. should be saved at EMC SVN repository ( Development will be conducted in “hnmmb/branches”. We already have a project in EMC SVN site. branches/ tags/ trunk/
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Code management Tentative structure of hnmmb/trunk: sorc/ EMCGSI/
vortex_init/ NMMB/ NPS/ nmmb-coupler/ pomtc/ hycom/ gfdl-vortextracker/ post/ util/ lib/ ush/ scripts/ graphics/ regression_tests/
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Summary 1 2 Future work: improve nest motion algorithm, other components (e.g., DA + init) from HWRF system, …, work with other components under nems
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Backup slides
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HWRF physics available in NMMB
Following physics schemes used in operational HWRF have been added to NMMB: GFSPBL scheme GFDL surface layer plus GFDL land surface scheme SAS scheme MESO-SAS scheme Add empirical z0 for hurricane to MYJ surface scheme NMMB has “fer”, “fer_high” micophysics schemes, and “gfdl”, “rrtmg” for radiation; those are very similar to HWRF’s.
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