1. 2015 Goals and Targets for State Accountability Date: 10/01/2014 Presenter: Carla Stevens Assistant Superintendent, Research and Accountability

2. 2 Performance Index Framework Overview Accountability System Student Achievement Index I Student Progress Index 2 Closing Performance Gaps Index 3 Postsecondary Readiness Index 4

3. 3  Phase-in Standards on STAAR  The state revised the phase-in standards on the STAAR from 2 steps to 3.  Phase-in 1 will remain in effect through the 2014-2015 school year.  Phase-in 2 will be the standard for 2015-2016 through 2017- 2018.  Phase-in 3 (NEW) will be the standard for 2018-2019 through 2020-2021.  The final recommended Satisfactory standards will go into effect in 2021-2022.  The new cut scores are posted on the State’s website. CHANGES FOR 2014-2015 and BEYOND Accountability System

4. 4  Math Standards on STAAR  The revised TEKS for K-8 math will be implemented in 2014- 2015.  New performance standards for STAAR grades 3-8 will be set in summer 2015.  Raw scores will be available in the spring. New reports and data files with standards will be available in August 2015.  For accountability purposes, TEA will determine equivalent performance standards on the 2015 assessments to the 2014 assessments. The 2015 state and federal accountability results will be based on student performance on the 2015 math assessments at the “equivalent passing standard.” CHANGES FOR 2014-2015 and BEYOND Accountability System

5. 5  Progress Measures for Index 2  Students will not receive a STAAR progress measure for mathematics in grades 4-8.  A STAAR progress measure will be reported for the first time for grade 7 writing.  A STAAR progress measure will be reported for eligible STAAR A students who took STAAR or STAAR L in 2013-2014.  Students will not receive a STAAR Alternate 2 progress measure. CHANGES FOR 2014-2015 and BEYOND Accountability System

6. 6  What we don’t know  New Targets for each index for 2015.  Any additional changes that may come into effect this year! CHANGES FOR 2014-2015 and BEYOND Accountability System

7. 7  Goals and Projected Targets  The Red is equal to the current score, or 95, if current score is higher than 95, and is considered no growth.  The Green is the index goal score which is subtracting the current score from the max score (100) and then multiplied by the growth factor (.1) and finally added back to the current score. The minimum index goal score is equal to Projected Target, and the maximum is 100.  The Yellow range represents growth which is higher than the current score but less than the index goal score. TARGET SETTING FOR 2014-2015 Accountability System

8. 8 METRICS All Students Only Combined over All Subject Areas and all STAAR test versions Credit given for Level II Satisfactory Performance at the phase-in 1 standard Student Achievement Index I

9. 9 SCORING TABLE Student Achievement Index I Minimum Size Requirements IndicatorAll StudentsStudent Groups Index 1STAAR Percent Met Level IINone; Special Analysis (SA) < 10 students N/A 2014 Accountability Target: 55; AEA 30 ReadingMathWritingScience Social Studies Total % Met Level II Students Met Level II 50+38+19+10+19=136 45%45 Students Tested 100+ +42+40+23=305 Index Score45

10. 10 TARGET SETTING  ASSUMPTION that the State will increase target to 60. Example: Max score (100) – current score (41) = 59 x 0.1 = 5.9 + 41 = 47, but 47<60 therefore 60. Student Achievement Index I Score Projected TargetDiff Goal Points Needed 4160-194142596019 5560-5555659605 8160218182 832 9760379596 970

11. 11 Ten Student Groups Evaluated: –All Students –Race/Ethnicity: African American, American Indian, Asian, Hispanic, Pacific Islander, White Two or More Races –Students with Disabilities –English Language Learners (ELLs) By Subject Area (Reading and Math Writing) Same assessments used in Index 1 where student progress measures are available Credit based on weighted performance: 1 point for each percent of students who meet growth expectations, 2 points for each percent of students who exceed growth expectations METRICS Student Progress Index 2

12. 12 SCORING TABLE Student Progress Index 2 STAAR Weighted Growth Rate for Reading All African Amer. Amer. Indian AsianHisp. Pacific Island. White Two or More ELL Spec. Ed. Total Points Max. Points Number of Tests 100504030 Met Expectation 60201015 Exceeded Expectation 20 305 Percent of Students: Met or Exceeded Expectation 80% 100%67% Exceeded Expectation 20%40%75%17% Reading Weighted Growth Rate 10012017584479800

13. 13 SCORING TABLE Student Progress Index 2 2014 Accountability Target: District 16, ES 33, MS 28, HS/AEA N/A IndicatorAll African Amer. Amer. Indian AsianHisp. Pacific Island. White Two or More ELL Spec. Ed. Total Points Max. Points STAAR Reading Weighted Growth Rate 10012017584479800 STAAR Mathematics Weighted Growth Rate 8598150160493800 Total 9721600 Index Score (total points divided by maximum points) 61 Minimum Size Requirements IndicatorAll StudentsStudent Groups Index 2STAAR Percent Met Progress2013>= 25 tests 2014 = None, SA <10 tests >= 25 tests

14. 14 TARGET SETTING Student Progress Index 2 Score Projected TargetDiff Goal Points Needed 2935-6293035367 37352373842436 513516515255565 613526616264654  ASSUMPTION of a 2 point increase to 35 for ES, 30 MS, 25 HS; actual still based on reading and math Example: Max score (100) – current score (29) = 71 x 0.1 = 7.1 + 29 = 36 (>35)

15. 15 All Economically Disadvantaged Students up to Two Lowest Performing Racial/Ethnic Groups based on the Index 1 student achievement indicator reported in the prior year By Subject Area (Reading/ELA, Mathematics, Writing, Science, and Social Studies) –Same Assessments Used in Index 1 Credit based on weighted performance: –One point credit given for each percentage of students at the phase-in 1 Level II Satisfactory standard –Two credits given for each percentage of students at the Level III Advanced standard METRICS Closing Performance Gaps Index 3

16. 16 STAAR Weighted Performance Rate for Reading Econ. Disadv. Lowest Performing Group - 1 Lowest Performing Group - 2 Total Points Maximum Points Number of Tests 804025 Performance Results: Phase-in Level II and above Number Percent 80 100% 20 50% 25 100% Level III Advanced (2014 and beyond) Number Percent 40 50% 0 0% 25 100% Reading Weighted Performance 15050200400600 Minimum Size Requirements IndicatorAll StudentsStudent Groups Index 3STAAR PerformanceNAEcon. Dis.: None; Gap Groups: >= 25 tests in both reading and math in the prior year Scoring Table Closing Performance Gaps Index 3

17. 17 2014 Accountability Target: District 28; ES 28; MS 27; HS 31; AEA 11 STAAR Weighted Performance Rate Economically Disadvantaged Lowest Performing Race/Ethnic Group - 1 Lowest Performing Race/Ethnic Group - 2 Total Points Maximum Points Reading 15050200400600 Math 12510090315600 Writing 8090125295600 Science 1204090250600 Social Studies 504080 170600 Total 14303000 Index Score (total points divided by maximum points) 48 SCORING TABLE Closing Performance Gaps Index 3

18. 18 TARGET SETTING Closing Performance Gaps Index 3 Score Projected TargetDiff Goal Points Needed 2830-2282934357 30 0 3136377 583028585961624 7630467677 782  ASSUMPTION of a 2-4 point increase to 30 for ES, 30 MS, 35 HS Example: Max score (100) – current score (28) = 72 x 0.1 = 7.2 + 28 = 35 (>30)

19. 19 STAAR Percent Met Level II Final Standard on at Least 2 Subjects – Assessment results include all assessments evaluated in Index I – Eight Student Groups Evaluated: All Students Each Race / Ethnicity Four-year Graduation Rate or Five-year Graduation Rate (or Annual Dropout Rate if no graduation rate) –Ten Student Groups Evaluated; All Students, each Race/Ethnicity, Students with Disabilities, and ELLs Percent Recommended or Advanced High School Program Plan (RHSP/AHSP) Graduates –Eight Student Groups Evaluated: All Students and each Race/Ethnicity Percent of Graduates the met College Ready Criterion on Reading and Math –Eight Student Groups Evaluated: All Students and each Race/Ethnicity Postsecondary Readiness Index 4

20. 20 Minimum Size Requirements IndicatorAll StudentsStudent Groups Index 4 Graduation Rates (4-year and 5-year) None, SA < 10>= 25 students RHSP/AHSP Rates (4-year)None, SA < 10 >= 25 students STAAR Percent Met Level IINone, SA < 10 >= 25 students Accountability Target: IndicatorAll African Amer. Amer. Indian AsianHispanic Pacific Island. White Two or More ELL Special Ed. Total Points Max. Points 4-yr. grad. rate84.3%78.8% 91.6%86.0%44.2%69.8%533.5700 5-yr. grad. rate85.1%78.8%80.0%92.1%84.0%48.9%77.5%546.4700 Highest Graduation Total78 RHSP/DAP82.7%76.4%83.6%83.0%325.7400 RHSP/DAP Score (Total RHSP/DAP divided by maximum points)81.4 STAAR % Met Level II Final on at least two tests 29%16%40%23%38%36%182600 STAAR Score (STAAR total points divided by maximum points):30 College-Ready Graduates (ELA and Math) 82.0%72.0%78.0%89.0%321.0400 College-Ready Score (Total points divided by maximum points)80.2 Postsecondary Readiness Index 4 With All Four Components : 57 Without all four, use STAAR Component : 21 Overall Index ScoreWeightTotal STAAR Score 30.0.25 7.5 Graduation Score 78.0.25 19.5 RHSP/DAP Score 81.4.25 20.4 College-Readiness Score 80.2.25 20.5 Index Score67.9

21. 21 Accountability Target: District 13; ES 12; MS 13; HS 21 IndicatorAll African Amer. Amer. Indian AsianHispanic Pacific Island. White Two or More ELL Special Ed. Total Points Max. Points STAAR % Met Level II Final on at least two tests 29%16%40%23%38%36%182600 STAAR Score (STAAR total points divided by maximum points): 30 Minimum Size Requirements IndicatorAll StudentsStudent Groups Index 4STAAR Percent Met Level IINone; SA < 10 students >= 25 students Postsecondary Readiness Index 4

22. 22 Postsecondary Readiness Index 4 Score Projected TargetDiff Goal Points Needed 715-87915169 1415141522239 441529444549506 741559747576773  ASSUMPTION of a 2-4 point increase to 15 for ES, 15 MS, 25 HS; STAAR targets only, Example: Max score (100) – current score (7) = 93 x 0.1 = 9.3 + 7 = 16 (>15)

23. Accountability System 23 Performance Rates Year12-1313-1414-1515-1616-1717-1818-1919-20 Math75%79%83%87%91%95% 100% Reading/ELA75%79%83%87%91%95%98%100% Participation Rates Year12-1313-1414-1515-1616-1717-1818-1919-20 Math95% Reading/ELA95% Federal Graduation Rates for previous year cohorts Year2012-20132013-20142014-2015 4-year Rate 78.0%80.0%83.0% 5-year Rate85.0% Federal Limits on Proficient Results on Alternative Assessments Modified2012-2013 and 2013-20142% for the All Students Group Alternate2013 through 20201% for the All Students Group Safeguard Measures and Targets Source: TEA waiver application

24. Thank you Date: 10/01/2014 Presenter: Carla Stevens Assistant Superintendent, Research and Accountability