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1 John O’Donnell jod@tsugino.com Solar Thermal Power
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Electricity: Fuel of GDP
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Where Does Electricity Come From?
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Heat
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Heat Makes Steam
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Steam Becomes Electricity Best efficiency at highest temperature Primarily limited by materials
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Thermal Power Generation ½ all US potable water used here
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It’s not the heat, 40% of heat energy becomes electricity Total heat released is insignificant
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It’s not the heat, it’s the CO2 Each molecule of CO2, during its life in the atmosphere, traps 100,000 times more heat than was released when it formed. - Ken Caldeira, Carnegie Inst. Power generation is over 40% of US and world CO2 emissions, and is the fastest growing sector.
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100,000 times =
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Business As Usual: A Problem
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We have a problem
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http://tinyurl.com/hansen350 Targets and Methods
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SOLAR Primary Resources: Fuel Supply Uranium World energy use R. Perez et al. COAL Oil Gas waves Wind OTEC BIO HYDRO
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Solar Thermal Power Now competitively priced in US At $30/ton CO2, economics drives deployment Can deliver 90% of grid power Thousands of megawatts in contract/construction now Needed construction rates achievable US 2006 electricity: 92x92 mi
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On Peak Pwr is Most Expensive (and fastest growing) Base Load (coal, nuclear) Intermediate Combined Cycle Peaking GT
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Summer peak load growing 2x average use All “peak” load gas-fired Electricity generation fastest growing use of natural gas McKinsey, CERA, Simmons predict doubling++ of US natural gas prices within 5 years Solar Is Strategic and Economical
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Solar Thermal Power: 1914
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Solar thermal power systems Dish Tower Trough Linear Fresnel Concentrate Sunlight 50-3000x concentration Track Sun Position daily/seasonally Store Heat Energy Convert Heat To Power Turbine and Stirling Engines Economics Collector Cost Per Area Optical Efficiency Thermal Losses Engine Thermal Efficiency
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Factors Driving Cost-Efficiency Engine Efficiency Reflector Field Cost Per Area Thermal Losses T 4 Receiver Area Emissivity High Solar Concentration: Materials-limited, cost of precision reflectors and trackers Lower Concentration: Reductions in reflector cost outweigh lower thermal efficiency
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Solar thermal power systems Continuous Fresnel Point Line Dish Tower Trough Linear Fresnel Stirling Energy Systems Infinia Abengoa Solar Reserve Brightsource Torresol Solar Millenium Acciona Abengoa Ausra 1000-3000 C 550-1000 C 350-450 C280-380 C
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Concept of Tower Technology Storage
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Dish Engine Link
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Trough
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Solar Energy Generating Systems (SEGS) 354 MW Solar Electric Generating Systems (SEGS)
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l Linear Fresnel
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177 MW, 1 square mile 28 Carrizo Energy Farm for PG&E in CA; rendering; Online 11/10
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Solar Field Costs (Reflector + Receiver) DLR 2007 assessment of solar thermal pwr AQUA-CSP
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Variable Selective Surfaces
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Solar Thermal Plant Elements 31
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Highly specific design specifications regarding: primary HTF - pressure - temperature - power level - capacity Storage system ONE single storage technology will not meet the unique requirements of different solar power plants Thermal Energy Storage Challenges
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Thermal Energy Storage for CSP Plants Status und Development Commercially available storage systems – Steam Accumulator – 2-Tank sensible molten salt storage based on nitrate salts Alternative materials and concepts tested in lab and pilot scale – Solid medium sensible heat storage - concrete storage – Latent heat - PCM storage – Combined storage system (concrete/PCM) for water/steam fluid – Improved molten salt storage concepts – Solid media storage for Solar Tower with Air Receiver (e.g. natural rocks, checker bricks, sand) Future focus for CSP – Higher plant efficiency => Increase process temperature – New fluids: steam, molten salt, gas/air
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Steam Accumulators PS10 Saturated steam at 250°C 50 min storage operation at 50% load
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Molten Salt Storage – Andasol 1 Ø 38,5 m 14 m 292 °C 386 °C Storage capacity 1010 MWh (7.7h) Nitrate salts (60% NaNO3 + 40% KNO3) Salt inventory 28.500 t Tank volume 14.000 m³ 6 HTF/salt heat exchangers
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Storage: Meet Peak Demand++ Least Cost per kWh around 14 hrs storage Optimal economics depend on tariff California pays 2x/kWh noon-8pm M-F Spain, others no TOD
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Solar Thermal can supply over 95% US Grid Power 11 Mills & Morgan, SolarPACES 2008
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Solar Thermal vs Conventional - 2013 39 $/MWh
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Gerhard Knies, CSP 2008 Barcelona More than 90% of world pp could be served by clean power from deserts (DESERTEC.org) ! Land is not (remotely) a constraint 40 world electricity demand (18,000 TWh/y) can be produced from 300 x 300 km² =0.23% of all deserts distributed over “10 000” sites
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US Solar Resource 100% US electricity 92x92 miles
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World Solar Resources 42
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High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) Low-Loss (3%/1000 km)
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deserts + technology for energy, water and climate security Sun-belt + technology belt synergies interconnection technology cooperation 44 Gerhard Knies, Taipei e-parl. + WFC 2008- 03-1/2 CoR White Paper 2007
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45 Interstate Highway System HVDC Superhighways Interchanges to today's hubs Stability, Cost, Job Growth, Energy + Climate Security
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Can this be done? Give us 100% Clean Electricity within 10 years. 800 GW by 2017 80 GW/yr build! Resource availability Readiness of technology Transmission corridors Cost of power Reliability of supply
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US Power Generation 50 yr History www.eia.doe.gov 47 Market forces caused 70 GW/yr buildout China building >100 GW/yr Can we build 80 GW/yr? Yes Can
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48 http://tinyurl.com/perez-v-08
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