1. PACS 4500 Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Guy Burgess Co-Director Conflict Information Consortium, University of Colorado UCB 580, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0580, (303) 492-1635 burgess@colorado.edu burgess@colorado.edu Copyright © 2014 Guy Burgess and Heidi Burgess

2. Due Dates Project Topic Questions Project Team Matchmaking?

3. Neuroscience & Peacebuilding http://www.internationalp eaceandconflict.org/foru m/topics/an-introduction- to-neuroscience-for- peacebuilders-mari- fitzduff#.VL2ONEfF98E

4. Think Before You March http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/01/16/think-before-you-march- charlie-hebdo-islamist-terrorism/

5. Anti-Terror Protests http://mobile.nyti mes.com/2015/01 /14/opinion/thoma s-friedman-we- need-another- giant-protest.html

6. Information Fads http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2015/01/the-year-in-news/

7. Information Fads http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2015/0 1/the-year-in- news/

8. Beyond the Invisible Fist A Very Large-Scale Strategy for Promoting More Constructive Forms of Competition and Conflict The Concept of Intractability Guy Burgess & Heidi Burgess Co-Directors Conflict Information Consortium, University of Colorado UCB 580, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0580, (303) 492-1635, burgess@colorado.eduburgess@colorado.edu Copyright © 2014 Guy Burgess and Heidi Burgess

9. Beyond Intractability History

10. Intractability & The Limits of Resolution Conflict Resolution Consortium Research Information

11. SPIDR Best Practices http://law.gsu.edu/cncr/pdf/papers/BestPracticesforGovtAgenices.pdf

12. Definition by Example  International: Israel/Palestine, Tibet, Kashmir  Public Policy: Taxes, climate change, homosexual marriage, abortion, affirmative-action, unionization  Interpersonal: Innumerable conflicts between individuals in family, workplace, and community settings

13. Intractability Continuum Tractable Intractable Individual conflicts all at various points along a continuum from tractable to intractable

14. Coleman’s Definition: The Five Percent http://www.fivepercentbook.com/

15. Attractors  Like a black hole, everything nearby is pulled into them, and escape is very difficult, if not impossible. http://attractorsoftware.org/

16. No Zone of Possible Agreement (ZOPA) Party A Winning Outcomes Party B Winning Outcomes Party A Winning Outcomes ZOPA Party B Winning Outcomes Intractable Tractable

17. Simplified to “Us vs. Them” “Intractability happens,” according to Coleman, “when the many different components of a conflict collapse together into one mass, into one very simple “us versus them” story that effectively resist change.”

18. Polarization Alliance Formation, Coalition Building Cold War Alliances

19. Interlocking Issues http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/06/13/world/middleeast/1000000029 39855.mobile.html?from=homepage

20. Mid-East Complexities http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_world_/2014/07/17/the_middle_east_friendship_chart.html

21. Intractable Conflicts / More Tractable Dispute Episodes  Conflicts – underlying, long-running, tensions between the parties based on differing interests with respect to distributional issues, moral questions, status, and identity.  Disputes – episodes within the context of the larger conflict that may be resolved by agreement or various types of legal, political, military or other power contests.

22. Conflicts and Disputes  The underlying conflict is intractable and cannot be resolved in the near (or even long) term.  Dispute episodes within the context of that conflict are, however, routinely resolved by power contests (or, sometimes, agreement).  The cumulative effect of these resolved disputes determines the “outcome” of the larger conflict for the moment.  The underlying conflict is only “resolved” when there is no significant challenge to the prevailing situation (outcome) for an extended.

23. The Football Analogy (sort of) Disputes are the plays and conflict is the game with special rules: 1) the game never ends, and 2) the goal is to keep the ball at your end of the field.

24. Abortion Dispute History A partial list of major abortion-related disputes in the United States and associated shift in aggregate social policies. Pro-ChoicePro-Life Abortion prohibition laws Abortion legalization efforts (state-level) Roe v. Wade GOP decision to focus on the abortion issue Pro-Choice interest group organization Pro-Life interest organization Pro-Life Supreme Court appointments Pro-Choice Supreme Court appointments Threats abortion providers State-level abortion restriction legislation Many other disputes in various arenas

25. 1 st Party / Advocacy Perspective The field’s heroes and heroines are almost always associated with long-term efforts to promote social justice through constructive, nonviolent, confrontation strategies. Compromise / final resolution model virtually never delivers.

26. The United States Case Similar dynamics doubtless afflict many other countries, however.

27. Optimal Wealth Distribution Fixing the Inequality Problem: What Will It Take?

28. Gates Picketty

29. The Clerisy Democrats as the party of the.1%

30. Reich: The Truth About the Economy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTzMqm2TwgE

31. Pew http://www.people-press.org/2014/06/26/the-political-typology-beyond-red-vs-blue/

32. Polarization

33. Pew Typology

35. Partisan Views on Inequality http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/04/28/americans-agree-inequality-has- grown-but-dont-agree-on-why/

36. Poverty and “Stuff” http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/05/02/chart-of-the- week-how-americas-poor-can-still-be-rich-in-stuff/

37. The US Cultural Divide George Lakoff Moral Politics Google Books Link Strict Father / Nurturing Mother

38. Beyond the Invisible Fist A Very Large-Scale Strategy for Promoting More Constructive Forms of Competition and Conflict The Complexity of the Human Needs Problem (Have/Have Not) Guy Burgess & Heidi Burgess Co-Directors Conflict Information Consortium, University of Colorado UCB 580, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0580, (303) 492-1635, burgess@colorado.eduburgess@colorado.edu Copyright © 2014 Guy Burgess and Heidi Burgess

39. Have/Have-Not Complexity Problems at the Top Natural Selection New Class Differences Superstar Effect Money Addiction Boundless Greed Rationalization Zero-Sum Thinking Concentration of Wealth Discrimination Problems at the Bottom Family Disintegration Withdrawal from the Workforce Low Educational Expectations Scarcity Thinking Crime Systemic Problems Prison Industrial Complex Poverty Capitalism Cheating Advantages Automation Technological Advance Kludgeocracy Employer's Market (Fear Economy) Lack of Compassion Underperforming Schools Tax Structure Red Tape Regulations

40. Problems at the Top

41. “Assortative Mating” The many reinforcing advantages of the elites and semi- elites

42. Super Star Effect

43. Money Addiction http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/01/19/opinion/sunday/for-the-love-of- money.html?from=opinion

44. Rationalizing Boundless Greed “Makers” vs. “Takers”

45. Banking “Ethics” http://www.forbes.com/sites/halahtouryalai/2012/12/27/10-biggest-banking-scandals-of-2012/

46. Zero-Sum Society

47. Matthew’s Law “To whomsoever hath, to him shall be given” Kenneth Boulding The Concentration of Wealth/Power A.K.A The Golden Rule – “He who has the gold makes the rules.” Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely. Lord Acton

48. Discrimination Race Gender Religion Color National Origin Physical or Mental Handicaps

49. Problems at the Bottom

50. Marriage and Poverty http://www.heritage.org/childpoverty/united-states

51. Family Problems http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/01/23/opinion/kristof-modern- family-matters.html?from=opinion

52. Low Educational Expectations http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2014/01/14/arne-duncan-school- expectations-are-too-low-in-the-united-states

53. Scarcity and Thinking http://www.amazon.com/Scar city-Having-Little-Means- Much/dp/0805092641

54. Long Term Employment Trends http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_16/b4224007222337.htm

55. Criminal Behavior

56. Systemic Problems

57. Prison Industrial Complex http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_incarceration_rate

58. The Lance Armstrong Effect In a highly competitive environment, cheating (exploitation of customers, employees, and the environment) is the tie-breaker. The “win” goes to the best cheater. For capitalism to work, government must “level the playing field” by preventing cheating.

59. Technology / Social Equity http://www.aspeninstitute.org/policy-work/communications-society/power-curve-society-future-innovation- opportunity-social-equity

60. Technological Advance http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/01/12/opinion/sunday/fri edman-if-i-had-a-hammer.html

61. Red Tape

62. Kludgeocracy http://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/kludgeocracy-in-america

63. The Economy: Employers Market http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/12/27/opinion/krugman-the-fear-economy.html

64. The Fear Economy http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/12/27/opini on/krugman-the-fear-economy.html Reserve Army of the Unemployed

65. Economic Stress / Lack of Compassion http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/11/opinion/does-rising-inequality-make-us- hardhearted.html?ref=thomasbedsall

66. Under Performing Schools

67. Tax / Subsidy Structure http://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/279-82/21352-the-year-of-the-great-redistribution

68. Pew Taxonomy Partisan Anchors 1 -- Steadfast Conservatives – socially conservative populists (the tea party) 2 -- Business Conservatives – Pro Wall Street, pro-immigrant 3 -- Solid Liberals – liberal across-the-board Less Partisan, Less Predictable 4 -- Young Outsiders – conservative views on government, not social issues 5 -- Hard-pressed Skeptics – financially stressed and pessimistic 6 -- Next-generation Left – young, liberal on social issues, less so on social safety net 7 -- Faith and Family Left – racially diverse and religious Bystanders – young, diverse, on the sidelines of politics

69. Table Numbers Group Assignments 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Windows Door Screen Front

70. Have/Have-Not Complexity Problems at the Top Natural Selection New Class Differences Superstar Effect Money Addiction Boundless Greed Rationalization Zero-Sum Thinking Concentration of Wealth Problems at the Bottom Family Disintegration Withdrawal from the Workforce Low Educational Expectations Scarcity Thinking Crime Estimate “Explant Percentage of Explained Variance” associated with each factor. Systemic Problems Prison Complex Cheating Advantages Automation Kludgeocracy Employer's Market Lack of Compassion Underperforming Schools Tax Structure Red Tape Regulations

71. Discussion Questions  For your group, estimate what the group thinks about the importance of the various causes of inequality. Rank according to truthfulness, impact, and susceptibility to change.  Discuss the differences between your views and the views of other groups.  Think ways in which you might be able to build a working coalition with other groups.  Try to avoid the “51% Hammer” syndrome.

72. Extra Slides

73. The Robin Hood Coalition No More Robber Barons Techno-imperialism Takers Don’t Make Reclaim the Wealth No More Corruption (legal and illegal) Innovation for Opportunity Our Own Destiny Protecting the Commons

74. The Multifaceted Inequality Problem http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/17/opinion/brooks-the-inequality- problem.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

75. The Undeserving Rich http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/20/opinion/krugman-the-undeserving-rich.html

76. Brooks Response http://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/279-82/21578-david-brooks-utter-ignorance-about- inequality

77. Technology / Social Equity http://www.aspeninstitute.org/policy-work/communications-society/power-curve-society-future-innovation- opportunity-social-equity