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The Economic Policy Consequences of Electoral Systems: Can Proportional Representation Survive Globalization?

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Presentation on theme: "The Economic Policy Consequences of Electoral Systems: Can Proportional Representation Survive Globalization?"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Economic Policy Consequences of Electoral Systems: Can Proportional Representation Survive Globalization?

2 Eckstein and Electoral Systems

3 Three major questions about electoral systems (with tentative answers):

4 Brief Review of Electoral Systems

5 Two-Party Seat-Vote Functions

6 Policy Effects of Electoral Systems: Major Findings, 1980-present

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8 Strong link to Hall, Soskice, et al., Varieties of Capitalism

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11 Trade, Size, and PR

12 Imports as a percent of GDP, 1999

13 Natural log of population, 2000

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15 Imports as a percent of GDP, 1999

16 Natural log of population, 2000

17 Quick, incomplete, summary of state of evidence

18 Real Prices and PR: More Recent Work

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21 Five-Year Moving Average of Real Prices, All Democratic Countries and Years

22 How does this happen?

23 Why, if at all, does this matter? Does it make countries less competitive?

24 Goods Trade as Percentage of GDP

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28 Upshot: “new” globalization forces economies, developed and less developed, to

29 Conclusion: Globalization probably threatens PR in at least two ways:

30 Some crucial tests of this argument for the future:

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32 Imports, as a percent of GDP, 1999

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35 Population, natural log, 2000

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38 Government Spending as % of GDP, 1999

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41 Worldwide : Three-year moving average

42 Worldwide : Five-year moving average

43 OECD : Three-year moving average:

44 OECD : Five-year moving average:

45 NON-OECD : Three-year moving average

46 NON-OECD : Five-year moving average

47 Dependent variable is imports/GDP, OECD only

48 Emerging Giant


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