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Published byRobert Robinson Modified over 9 years ago
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The Economic Policy Consequences of Electoral Systems: Can Proportional Representation Survive Globalization?
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Eckstein and Electoral Systems
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Three major questions about electoral systems (with tentative answers):
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Brief Review of Electoral Systems
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Two-Party Seat-Vote Functions
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Policy Effects of Electoral Systems: Major Findings, 1980-present
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Strong link to Hall, Soskice, et al., Varieties of Capitalism
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Trade, Size, and PR
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Imports as a percent of GDP, 1999
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Natural log of population, 2000
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Imports as a percent of GDP, 1999
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Natural log of population, 2000
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Quick, incomplete, summary of state of evidence
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Real Prices and PR: More Recent Work
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Five-Year Moving Average of Real Prices, All Democratic Countries and Years
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How does this happen?
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Why, if at all, does this matter? Does it make countries less competitive?
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Goods Trade as Percentage of GDP
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Upshot: “new” globalization forces economies, developed and less developed, to
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Conclusion: Globalization probably threatens PR in at least two ways:
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Some crucial tests of this argument for the future:
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Imports, as a percent of GDP, 1999
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Population, natural log, 2000
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Government Spending as % of GDP, 1999
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Worldwide : Three-year moving average
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Worldwide : Five-year moving average
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OECD : Three-year moving average:
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OECD : Five-year moving average:
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NON-OECD : Three-year moving average
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NON-OECD : Five-year moving average
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Dependent variable is imports/GDP, OECD only
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Emerging Giant
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