1. SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS Tony E. Smith University of Pennsylvania Point Pattern Analysis Continuous Pattern Analysis Spatial Regression Analysis

2. POINT PATTERN ANALYSIS Example Application Areas Housing Sales Crime Incidents Infectious Diseases Philadelphia Example Intergroup Conflict Incidents

3. Where are Conflict “Hot Spots” ? Only meaningful relative to Population  Perhaps even Racial mix What would random incidents look like ? How analyze this statistically ? ACTUAL RANDOM

4. CONTINUOUS PATTERN ANALYSIS Example Application Areas Weather Patterns Mineral Exploration Environmental Pollution Geologic Analyses Venice Example INDUSTRY VENICE

5. Results for Venice: Can be 95% confident that each meter of industrial drawdown lowers the Venice water table by at least 15 cm. Predicted Water Table Levels Analysis for Policy Conclusions ACTION: Drawdown was restricted (1973) RESULT: Venice elevation increased (1976)

6. SPATIAL REGRESSION ANALYSIS Example Applications Urban Area Data by: census tracts National Area Data by: block groups states counties Columbus Crime Example OHIO Columbus

7. Columbus Census-Tract Data Crime Rate per capita Explanatory Variables Median Income House Values