1. GO131: International Relations Professor Walter Hatch Colby College The Unipolar Moment

2. Pax Romanica

3. Pax Britannica

4. Pax Americana

5. United States JapanGermanyFranceBritainRussiaChinaIndia BASIC Territory (thousand km) 9,26937835754724517,0759,5973,288 Population (million people) 2761278359601461,2621,014 Literacy rate (percentage) 9799 988252 MILITARY Nuclear warheads (1997)12,0700045019222,500>4085-90 Budget ($ billion) 28941253035311311 Personnel (thousand people) 1,3722363333172121,0042,4801,173 ECONOMIC Total GDP ($ billion, PPP) 9,2552,9501,8641,3731,2906204,8001,805 Per capita GDP ($) 33,90023,40022,70023,30021,8004,2003,8001,800 Manufacturing value-added ($ billion, 1996) 1,3441,117556290214NA30963 High-tech exports ($ billion, 1997) 63742011269968718332 Personal computers (per 1,000 people) 57128729722230337123 Power Resources

6. Durable Beyond Expectations In 1980s, many scholars predicted U.S. would be eclipsed. By Japan Or by “United States of Europe” But U.S. influence increased Until March 2003, U.S. led an international system characterized by harmony among the great powers

7. Why so durable? Unipolarity is inherently stable (Wohlforth) US has, until recently, used strategic restraint (Ikenberry)

9. A New Direction

10. So the US goes it alone

11. The Bush Doctrine Pre-emption or prevention Precedents in 1992 and 2000 Imperial, and proud of it

12. The End of Empire? Muslim outrage over U.S. support for Israel China’s attack on “hegemony” Division in the Western Alliance “Old Europe” refuses to bandwagon

13. Blowback