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GPS or GP$? A Research Presentation by Jonathan Keller A Research Presentation by Jonathan Keller
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Commercial History Firsts in GPS History 1985-European receiver (Thales) 1989-US handheld receiver (Thales) 1990 GPS Company goes public (Trimble) 1993 GPS 24-satellite constellation complete, reliable aviation products available (Garmin) 1995 GPS Car navigation 1998 GPS/Cell Phone combination (Garmin) Firsts in GPS History 1985-European receiver (Thales) 1989-US handheld receiver (Thales) 1990 GPS Company goes public (Trimble) 1993 GPS 24-satellite constellation complete, reliable aviation products available (Garmin) 1995 GPS Car navigation 1998 GPS/Cell Phone combination (Garmin)
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The Industry Product sectors: ship, plane, car, and pedestrian navigation, cell phones, surveying equipment, weapons, shipment tracking, etc. Main Companies US market: Garmin, Thales (Magellan products), Trimble Navigation, TomTom Weak Oligopoly-many different specializations Rapidly Expanding-horizontally more than vertically Industry Size has quadrupled since 2005 Product sectors: ship, plane, car, and pedestrian navigation, cell phones, surveying equipment, weapons, shipment tracking, etc. Main Companies US market: Garmin, Thales (Magellan products), Trimble Navigation, TomTom Weak Oligopoly-many different specializations Rapidly Expanding-horizontally more than vertically Industry Size has quadrupled since 2005
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Garmin International Owned by Garmin Ltd Pedestrian GPS main player Founded in 1991, started in Aviation products Quickly moved to handheld GPS Privately owned by current CEO Dr. Min Kao and Gary Burrell until 2001 2003 went partially public on very stable financial standing Very fast growing company Owned by Garmin Ltd Pedestrian GPS main player Founded in 1991, started in Aviation products Quickly moved to handheld GPS Privately owned by current CEO Dr. Min Kao and Gary Burrell until 2001 2003 went partially public on very stable financial standing Very fast growing company
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Garmin Financial Information Garmin outpaced growth projected for it by Merrill Lynch (see chart next slide) Revenues over $1B last year and growing between 30-40% annually Volatile stock history (see chart) Garmin (market cap $9.4B) is now larger than the entire industry was when it went public Garmin outpaced growth projected for it by Merrill Lynch (see chart next slide) Revenues over $1B last year and growing between 30-40% annually Volatile stock history (see chart) Garmin (market cap $9.4B) is now larger than the entire industry was when it went public
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Expected Gross values from Merrill Lynch 2001
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Stock History
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Garmin: A Success Story Innovative (when stock hit low in 2004 released 44 new products in 1 quarter, 16 was the previous high for a year) Robust R&D Affordable Consumer Products Rapid Expansion 80% Market Share in Handheld GPS Innovative (when stock hit low in 2004 released 44 new products in 1 quarter, 16 was the previous high for a year) Robust R&D Affordable Consumer Products Rapid Expansion 80% Market Share in Handheld GPS
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Future of Commercial GPS Refining of current technology: Cell Phones (2001 FCC law), PDA’s cameras Touch-Screen, removable car systems Family Tracking Introduction of New Ideas Refining of current technology: Cell Phones (2001 FCC law), PDA’s cameras Touch-Screen, removable car systems Family Tracking Introduction of New Ideas
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