1. 1 DULBEA Does Unobserved Heterogeneity Matter? A Panel Data Analysis of the Gender Pay Gap Amynah Gangji, Kristian Orsini and Salimata Sissoko Dulbea (Université Libre Bruxelles)

2. 2 DULBEA Outlines  This paper provides evidences on the effect of controlling for unobserved individual heterogeneity in estimating the (un)adjusted gender pay differentials.  Using the European Community Household Panel (ECHP), we present a cross-country comparison of the gender pay gap over time (1994-2001) based on cross-section and panel data estimation techniques.

3. 3 DULBEA Data base The European Community Household Panel (ECHP)  Annual interview of a representative set of European households. Length: 1994-2001  Covers many topics, subdivided into 2 groups:  Data related to households (financial situation, housing conditions, durable consumption, children,…)  Data related to individuals (economic activities, income, education and training, health, social relations, migrations, satisfaction with various aspects of life, etc.) => valuable source of information: allow countries comparison thanks to a standardised methodology as well as to study changes over time at the micro level.

4. 4 DULBEA Sample *Countries: Belgium, Denmark, Ireland, Italy, United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Ireland, the Netherlands *Selected individuals: Wage-earners aged between 20 to 60 years, working in the private sector and not self-employed BE: 7.226 observations and 2001 individuals GE: 24.896 observations, 5759 individuals *Years: 1994-2001 *Unbalanced panel data (BE: 36%; GE: 33%; UK, IT, DK: 30%)

5. 5 DULBEA Countries  The select countries differ according to their welfare state model: The conservative-corporatist model (Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands and Spain) The Scandinavian model (Denmark) The liberal welfare model (Ireland and UK). Furthermore, we can identify Italy and Spain as representative of the Mediterranean mode

6. 6 DULBEA Countries  According to Gornick they also differ regarding the level of public support to child care arrangements, maternity and parental leave provision. High support (Denmark, France and Belgium) Medium support (West-Germany, Italy and the Netherlands) Low support (Ireland, Spain and United- Kingdom)

7. 7 DULBEA Methodology Wage equations Estimated model: ln W it = β 0 + β 1 X it + β 2 Z i + α i + ε it X it : time-varying explanatory variables, Z i : time-invariant explanatory variables, α i : unobserved heterogeneity term constant over time. E(α i )= 0, σ² α ε it : error term E(ε it )= 0, σ² ε, uncorrelated with X, Z and α

8. 8 DULBEA Methodology How to estimate the wage equation? Ordinary Least Square (OLS) bias since do not take into account the unobserved heterogeneity term Fixed effects model (FE) unbiased estimators but inefficient since do not take into account time-invariant variables Random Generalised Least Square (GLS) only if E(αi | Xit, Zi) = 0 (Hausman test) Random Generalised Least Square with instrumentation (IV/GLS) unbiased and efficient estimators

9. 9 DULBEA Methodology Wage equations 1. Fixed effects model: ln W it - ln W i. = β (X it - X i.)+ (ε it - ε i. ) where W i. = (1/T i ), X i. = (1/T i ) 2. Computation of the mean individual residuals 3. Between effect model If E(α i | X it, Z i )  0 =>Instrumentation of Z i Proper instruments: X i. strongly correlated with the Z i but uncorrelated with α i A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal?

10. 10 DULBEA Methodology Wage equations 4. Computation of variances estimations to compute weights. where σ²ε is the residual variance from the fixed effects model and σ² be the residual variance from the between regressions. 5. Estimation of the GLS equation Y it – θ i Y i. = (X it – θ i X i.)β + (1- θ i ) Z i γ + (ε it - θ i ε i.) A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal?

11. 11 DULBEA Methodology Hausman test Distributed as a chi-squared with a degree of freedom equal to the number of instruments used minus the number of time-invariant instrumented variables. If the test reject the null hypothesis, need to use new combination of instruments until the test accept the null hypothesis. A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal? Null hypothesis: E(αi | Xit, Zi) = 0

12. 12 DULBEA Average gender pay gap (1994 & 2001)

13. 13 DULBEA Estimation Variables used Actual tenure <1 year of tenure, 1-5 years, 6-10 years (reference), 11-15 years, 16 years and more. potential experience & potential experience squared: =age-age when started first job - tenure Type of contract: - permanent employment (reference) - fixed-term, short-term contract, casual work with no contract A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal?

14. 14 DULBEA Estimation Variables used Occupations - ISCO 1-DIGIT: 1. Legislators senior officials & managers 2. Professionals 3. Technicians & associate professionals 4. Clerks (reference) 5. Service workers&shops & market sales workers 6. Skilled agricultural&fishery workers 7. Craft and related trades workers 8. Plant & machine operators & assemblers 9. Elementary occupation A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal?

15. 15 DULBEA Estimation V ariables used Industries - ISCO 1-DIGIT: 1. Mining and quarrying (C) 2. Manufacturing (D) (reference) 3. Electricity, gas and water supply (E) (reference) 4. Construction (F) 5. Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles and personal and household goods (G) 6. Hotels and restaurants (H) 7. Transport, storage and communication (I) 8. Financial intermediation (J) 9. Real estate, renting and business activities (K)

16. 16 DULBEA Estimation Variables used Enterprise’s size: Small size (1-99 employees) (reference) Medium size (100-500 employees) Large size (>500 employees) Level of education: Education low (ISCED 0-2)(reference) Education medium (ISCED 3) Education high (ISCED 5-7) Job status Supervisory Intermediate, Non-supervisory (reference) A. Gangji, K. Orsini and S.Sissoko Why Are Inequalities so Unequal?

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22. 22 DULBEA Results  Strong positive effect of education upon wage BE, SP, UK: men better remunerated FR, GE, IT: women better remunerated for an upper secondary education, IRL: women better remunerated for tertiary education DK: women better remunerated  Positive influence of experience: concave relation  For all countries, except Spain, the return of experience is larger for men.

23. 23 DULBEA Results  An additional year of experience leads to from about 1.5% higher wage in Belgium, Denmark, France and Spain to 2.1-2.6% in Germany, Ireland, the Netherlands and UK  Wage increases with level of tenure.  The variables relative to job status (supervisory), size of the company and type of contract show, when significant, a positive relation between wage and degree of supervision of an employee, the size of firm or the permanent nature of an employment contract..

24. 24 DULBEA Conclusion  Controlling for individual heterogeneity, we observe an increase of the male-female differential, the rates of the return of experience and education as well as a reduction of penalty due to low tenure, low skilled occupations, fixed employment contract and relatively small enterprise size.