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Building Biodiversity Information Infrastructure: Anticipating Avian Influenza Spread Patterns A. Townsend Peterson University of Kansas
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H5N1 Spread
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What Do We Know?
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Characterize Migratory Bird Movements: Massive Data Assembly Bird Occurrence Data – Summer and Winter – Breeding Bird Survey - ~15M records – Christmas Bird Count - ~20M records – Bird Banding Laboratory Data - ~65M records ~13M recoveries, much less that connect seasons Environmental Data – support interpolation of species’ ranges – Climate data, topography/landform data, surface reflectance (NDVI) data
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Data Available
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Fill the Gap: Mexico “Mexico Atlas” – 350,000 specimens, 68 natural history museums – 16 years of work – 202,000 records now georeferenced
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Integrating Museums
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Key Seasonal Distribution Info
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Forecasting AI Spread in America
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Birds from westernmost Alaska migrate almost exclusively to California
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species But just a relatively small distance inland, Alaskan birds migrate both to California and broadly into the Interior
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 3
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 4
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 6 … note decreasing importance of migration to California …
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 7 … now essentially exclusively Interior …
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 8 – note East Coast begins to receive migrants
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7 Arctic Waterfowl Species Window 10 – note exclusively East Coast now
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Lessons Learned Vast amounts of biodiversity information exist But not always in useful formats Biodiversity challenges such as AI demand prompt and efficient responses Need to build biodiversity data infrastructure: – Digitize biodiversity data – Integrate biodiversity data among institutions ORNIS, MaNIS, FishNet, HerpNet, … DiGIR, TAPIR – Enable biodiversity data via georeferencing – Quality control and error detection
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Thank You! town@ku.edu
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