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IASSIST 2010 Data Reference in Depth (Part I): Subjects, Sources and Challenges Mary Tao Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed are mine.

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Presentation on theme: "IASSIST 2010 Data Reference in Depth (Part I): Subjects, Sources and Challenges Mary Tao Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed are mine."— Presentation transcript:

1 IASSIST 2010 Data Reference in Depth (Part I): Subjects, Sources and Challenges Mary Tao Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed are mine and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.

2 How the 3 Little Pigs Lost their Houses to subprime mortgages and other Big Bad Wolves

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5 What Happened? subprime mortgage crisis - 2007 credit crisis - 2008 global financial crisis - still ongoing

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7 How Did It Happen?? Low interest rates - more people can afford to buy houses Poor lending practices o NINA, NINJA o ARMS subprime mortgages o The Giant Pool of MoneyThe Giant Pool of Money o Booms and Busts: The Case of Subprime MortgagesBooms and Busts: The Case of Subprime Mortgages

8 How Did It Happen? easy credit from around the world mortgage securitization - led by investment banks in US, UK, Germany and Switzerland bank balance sheet- liquidity crisis o Bad Bank - visual representationBad Bank

9 "great ___ ___ wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money" By Matt Taibbi, "The Great American Bubble Machine" in Rolling Stone, July 9-23 2009

10 Source from Thiele in Chun, C. 1910. Die Cephalopoden Creative Commons Creative Commons

11 Financial Crisis Data Resources Banking Mortgages Credit Cards Other Financial Data

12 Banking Datasets CRSP-FRB Link o http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/banking_research/ datasets.html Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States - H.8 Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States - H.8 o http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h8/about.htm Reports of Condition and Income (Call Reports) o https://cdr.ffiec.gov/public/ SNL Financial $ Bloomberg $

13 QUARTERLY SUMMARY OF BANKING STATISTICS Third Quarter 2009

14 Mortgages Mortgage Market Statistical Annual $ Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) U.S. Bureau of the Census U.S. Credit Conditions: Mortgages First American CoreLogic LoanPerformance $ Equifax $ Haver Analytics $ Bloomberg $ o RATT function

15 http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/682/MortgageMarkets2006.pdf

16 http://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2010/Dudley10040 1.pdf

17 Mortgage-backed Securities Mortgage Market Statistical Annual $ o total securities issuance volume - see example in MBS Ratings and the Mortgage Credit BoomMBS Ratings and the Mortgage Credit Boom Bloomberg $ o RATT function

18 Credit Cards Equifax $ Bloomberg $ SNL Financial $ o Credit Card Delinquency Data

19 Other Financial Data Credit Ratings o Big 3 (Moody's, Standard & Poor's, Fitch) $  Moody's Corporate Default and Recovery Rates, 1920- 2007  Bloomberg, SNL Financial $ Credit Risk o Greece, Iceland o Big 3, Bloomberg $ o Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs)

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21 Reading/Viewing/Listening List The Current Financial Crisis: Causes and Policy Issues The Financial Crisis Timeline A Word on the Economy: Why Is the Country Facing a Financial Crisis? without audioA Word on the Economy: Why Is the Country Facing a Financial Crisis?without audio The Crisis of Credit Visualized

22 Thank you! Contact: mary.tao@ny.frb.org


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