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Location Intelligence Conference 2006 John Baronello Manager, Strategic Modeling Walgreens Market Strategies L.L.C. Walgreen Co, 847.315.4837 John.baronello@walgreens.com Advanced Spatial analysis is changing location strategy at Walgreens: How science transforms the process of decision making.
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Walgreens Bio: $42.2 Billion in sales $1.6 Billion in earnings 480 Million prescriptions sold 170,000 Employees 4,950 stores in 45 states (+ Puerto Rico) REAL ESTATE GOALS 7000 stores by 2010 475 openings/year Company Figures MPR Reviews 1,000 Locations/Year
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Advanced Spatial Analysis Transformed Market Planning & Walgreen’s Ability to Make Profitable Location Decisions Brief History of Walgreens Market Strategies 2006 Next Generation 2000 9 Site Analysts, “dirt kickers” –Restricted Productivity –Best Estimation of TA –Analog Forecast ScanUS Desktop Forecast Sales & Dilution Do not address optimal strategy or network effects Very limited quantitative evaluation Ability to Understand the Network & Optimal Location Strategy 30 Market Managers/Analysts –Market Concentration ESRI Enterprise GIS 4 GIS Managers/Analysts –Enterprise GIS strategy 3 Strategic Modeling Managers/Analysts –Advanced Modeling & Optimization Advanced Location Strategy Segmentation Model GIS Network Optimization Model Optimization of Growth Vehicles in Markets Location Intelligence integrated with Marketing, Advertising, etc. Advanced Quantitative Methods Utilized to Derive Strategy
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Culture Shock of Art & Science at Walgreens: Strategic Modeling How did Walgreens Market Strategies change so drastically in 6 years? Enterprise GIS, Advanced Modeling, Optimization Methods, & Development of Market Strategists –Hammering location relationships and data that supported our strengths and repeatedly proving the link to ROI. Evolving Market Managers from Site Analysts –Defining the “generalist” & “specialist” Spatial Modeling Techniques Applied to Strategy Evaluation Implementation!!! Implementing Advanced Analytics for Strategy Evaluation: The specialist & generalist equilibrium Generalists need specialists to simplify complex systems with modeling Specialists need generalists to “see the system” How the specialists and generalists interact: Location Models need to be analyzed spatially Logic of the models need to be clearly defined & analyzed spatially Goodness of fit is the least important attribute
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