1. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder Dr. Bill Elder Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership

2. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Overview Big Picture Demographics of U.S. & Mo. –Aging (implications…national and local) –Greater regional interconnectedness –More Diverse Patterns (economics, culture) Springfield Regional Economic Partnership –Strong and Continuing Growth… –Evidence of Regional Cooperation… –Sustainability in Challenging, global times. For Detailed Data Google “OSEDA”

3. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis DataData InformationInformation KnowledgeKnowledge WisdomWisdom “The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU OSEDA… “..No one of us is as good as all of us…” Dave Steckel

4. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Area2010 CountChangePct. Chg Missouri5,988,927393,7167.0 Barry County35,5971,5874.7 Christian County77,42223,13742.6 Dade County7,883-40-0.5 Dallas County16,7771,1167.1 Greene County275,17434,78314.5 Lawrence County38,6343,4309.7 Polk County31,1374,14515.4 Stone County32,2023,54412.4 Taney County51,67511,97230.2 Webster County36,2025,15716.6 Region602,70388,83114.7 Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership 10% of Mo, 23% of Growth, 2 X State rate

5. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis New Census information … World: 6,892,893,953 U.S.: 311,874,651 (9.7%) Missouri: 5,988,927 (7.0%) 2010 Population Count & Percent Change from 2000 Check out new Census tools at census.gov and OSEDA and…. Elsewhere…

6. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis New Census information … Complete Count Data American Community Survey (ACS) “Period Estimates by Size” Just Google “Census” or “OSEDA” for More information

7. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Rapid growth and large states Five states account for 17% of U.S. Growth Six states account for 54% of U.S. Growth not just fast but.. Big 37 M 25 M 18.8 M

8. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions More Regions of growth near regions of decline

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10. 2000 - 2010 AREACounties2010 CountPct StateChange Pct Change Metro34 4,375,51073.1% 305,5487.5% Non-Metro81 1,613,41726.9% 88,1685.8% Micro24 803,42713.4% 64,7018.8% Non-Mirco57 809,99013.5% 23,4673.0% Missouri115 5,988,927100.0% 393,7167.0% 2010 Missouri “Metro” and “non-Metro” Source: U.S. Census, 2010 Census “Public Law 94 File”

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12. “Urban” and “Rural” Connections

13. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Dots make patterns more apparent

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20. Male Female Male Female Population Pyramids of Missouri Percent of Total Population 20002020 New Pyramids in March

21. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Age Structure in the OREP

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26. Senior Report….

27. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Percent Population Over 65 Same Indicator but Different Implications

28. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Aging in Place in the North Percent 85+

29. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Brand New Kids Count Information

30. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Increasing Poverty and Stratification

31. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Foundational Issues--Expectations

32. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Married Couple Families with Children Missouri married couple families with children declined to 19.4% of households in 2009 -- nearly 29,000 fewer than in 2006 (ACS, 2009) County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

33. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Commuting…. Percent of Working Outside County of Residence, 2005-2009 ACS County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

34. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Household Income Missouri median household income increase by 5.3% between 2006 and 2009 from $42,841 to $45,229. Meanwhile, U.S. Median household income rose 3.5% from $48,451 to $50,221. Not surprisingly, the five year ACS period estimates show higher incomes associated with urban areas and major transportation routes.

35. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Percent of Population in a Different House Percent One Year Ago Same CountyDifferent County Branson Micro Area15,23019.48.411.0 Springfield Metro Area88,43320.813.27.6 Missouri950,61516.19.46.7 Housing Changes….

36. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Challenging Times….

37. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Challenging Times... Regional Differences

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39. Bachelor’s Degrees The 2009 ACS reported that nearly a million Missourians 25 and older had completed a bachelor’s degree (25.2%). That is up from 17.8% in 1990 and 21.6% in 2000. The corresponding U.S. number of persons with a bachelor’s degree in 2009 was 53.3 million (27.9%). Five-Year period ACS Estimates Shows Missourians with higher education are centered in regional trade and service centers

40. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Bachelor Degrees

41. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder Dr. Bill Elder Missouri Treads and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership

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44. From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Associate Degrees

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47. High School Completers The 2009 ACS reported that 1.3 million Missourians 25 and older had a high school education (32.0%). The corresponding U.S. number is 57.6 million (28.5%). The ACS five year estimates show relatively lower rates of high school completion in south central Missouri and the “Bootheel.” Regions also associated lower income levels and higher poverty rates.

48. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Married-Couple Families In 2009, married-couple families comprised less than 50% of Missouri households. (Missouri, US Census, 2009 American Community Survey) County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.