1. Fire Effects Planning Framework PROPOSED Agenda Working session Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06 -Overview and orientation (powerpoint presentation) - Gather/process/analyze data (working meeting) - fire behavior - fire effects - crosswalk creation - Create Map Library (subsequent task by individual forest)

2. Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% Species Size/ Structure Crown fire potential 1 st Order Fire Effects Effect on whitebark pine Mapping Multiplier Information Source WB-only Seed/sap1, 2, or 3High Undesirable Effects WB established but not reproducing yet Tomback et al. 2001, FOFEM All except seed/sap 1,2, or 3 High Desirable Effects restore native fire regime +1000 Tomback et al. 2001, FOFEM All other species mixes All 2 or 3High Highly Desirable Effects provide potential WB habitat +100 Keane, Arno Pers. Comm. 1 Low or moderate Desirable Effects+1 Keane, Arno pers. Com. No BurnAllNone Not Habitat rock above 6500’ -100N/A Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) Crosswalk fire behavior to fire effects on values/objectives 3 Photograph by Steve Sutherland; 2 years post-fire Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST Fire Effects Planning Framework 2004 Fire Effects Map Library Fire Behavior Effects on Whitebark pine Effects on Lynx foraging habitat Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% Fire Effects Fire Behavior Vegetative attributes Desirability Landscape Dynamics Simulation Models Identify resources of interest Identify associated vegetative attributes Identify fire ecology 1 FlamMap 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Based on FireFamilyPlus weather analysis for Energy Release Component Model fire behavior 2 Update vegetative attributes post-season 5 Create map library for - land, fuels, fire planning, - AMR/WFU activities 4 Source

3. Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. NFDRS Plans - Useful for determining appropriate weather station, key thresholds, i.e. season ending/slowing events. NFDRS Plan input Land Management Plan Objectives – Where all Forest Service unplanned ignition objectives come from.. LMP Objectives input Local Experience – critical for model calibration Local Experience input Will we meet objectives with this ignition? Output IGNITION GIS Data – spatial modeling Input GIS Data

4. Step 1: Gather data and Identify key conditions Fire Weather * weather thresholds (FMP) * weather stations * fire behavior parameter for fire mgmt (ERC, BI, FL …) Resource issues * current and desired condition * map-able attributes species/habitat relationship (wildlife) * fire ecology * fire behavior parameter for effects (ERC, BI, FL …) GIS DATA SETS * Farsite set (topography, fuels, vegetation canopy fuels) * resource data layers

5. Weather data FireFamilyPlus Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt) Seasonal %’s Threshold %’s 80, 90, 99 th %.wnd,.wtr,.fms Step 2: Model Fire Behavior Fuels data (LANDFIRE) Fuel Model Stand Height Crown Bulk Density Crown Base Height Canopy Cover PVTGROUPPVT GROUP NAME HT_GRP 1Upper Subalpine Forest G1,G2 2 Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic D3, E2 3 Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric F1, F2 4 Upper Montane Forest - Mesic C2, D2 5 Upper Montane Forest - Xeric C1 6 Lower Montane Forest - Mesic B2, B3 7 Lower Montane Forest - Xeric A2, B1 8Upper Subalpine Shrub - HerbaceousNF5 11 Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous NF1,NF2A, NF2, NF4 13 Agricultural XX1 14 Urban/Barren XX4 15 Water XX5 Vegetation/ Imagery Canopy Fuels Fuel Model Crosswalk

6. Weather data FireFamilyPlus Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt) Seasonal %’s Threshold %’s 80, 90, 99 th %.wnd,.wtr,.fms Step 2: Model Fire Behavior Fuels data (LANDFIRE) Fuel Model Stand Height Crown Bulk Density Crown Base Height Canopy Cover PVTGROUPPVT GROUP NAME HT_GRP 1Upper Subalpine Forest G1,G2 2 Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic D3, E2 3 Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric F1, F2 4 Upper Montane Forest - Mesic C2, D2 5 Upper Montane Forest - Xeric C1 6 Lower Montane Forest - Mesic B2, B3 7 Lower Montane Forest - Xeric A2, B1 8Upper Subalpine Shrub - HerbaceousNF5 11 Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous NF1,NF2A, NF2, NF4 13 Agricultural XX1 14 Urban/Barren XX4 15 Water XX5 Vegetation/ Imagery Canopy Fuels Fuel Model Crosswalk INPUTSOUTPUTS

7. Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire 15-39 years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed 11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High -1011 No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll000 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 2 or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only

8. Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire 15-39 years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed 11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High -1011 No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll000 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 2 or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only Stored as set of rules or as.txt file

9. Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire 15-39 years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed 11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High -1011 No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll000 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 2 or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only Stored as set of rules or as.txt file FOFEM FVS-FFE SIMPPLLE WHRM URM Publications Expert Systems

10. FlamMap Crown Fire Potential Rate of Spread Fireline Intensity Step 4a: Create Fire Behavior Library 99 th % 90 th % 80 th %

11. Fire Behavior Library Step 4b: Create Fire Effects Library Restoration/Fuels Lynx 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Aquatics Fire Fighter Safety Cavity Nester

12. Initial vegetation Lynx habitat Fire effects on vegetation Fire effects on Lynx habitat

14. Fire Effects Library 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Uses: Set fuel treatment priorities

15. Uses: Model alternatives and future consequences This example shows use of SIMPPLLE FVS-FFE can also be used.

16. Incident Support Maps are draft, and illustrative only Uses: Go/NoGo (WFIP analyses) cost containment Quantify benefits or reductions in risk within MMA Consider potential benefits when determining suppression strategy by flank

17. Uses: Map Library for Fire Planning BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST 2004 Fire Effects Map Library Fire Behavior Fire Effects

18. Fire Effects Planning Framework Working session Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06 FEPF website search on Fire Effects Planning Framework User’s Guide Bitterroot Map Library Fire Behavior Examples Flammap (Bitterroot) Farsite (Dixie) FOFEM/ expert opinion (Yellowstone NP) Resource Examples Lynx (Bitterroot) Ponderosa pine (Dixie) Aspen (Dixie) Whitebark pine (Bitterroot, Yellowstone) Resources http://leopold.wilderness.net/research/fprojects/fepf/leopold.wilderness.net/research/fprojects/fepf/

19. What does it really take to make this work? Resource Objectives (conf. call, meeting) Weather (station, time period) Vegetation data (local vs. LANDFIRE) Calibration (vegetation, fire behavior, fire effects)