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Industry Growth and Capital Allocation: Does Having a Market- or Bank-based system Matter? Thorsten Beck and Ross Levine
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Two Competing Financial systems Market-based system Representative countries:USA, UK Bank-based system Representative countries:Germany, Japan
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Key Issue Which type of financial system is more advanced in terms of facilitate economic growth? Policy Implications for developing country
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Four Competing Views Bank-based view Market-based view Financial Services view Law and finance view
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Bank-based view Gerschenkron(1962) Banks more effectively finance industrial expansion in developing countries Rajan and Zingales(1999) Powerful banks induce firms to reveal information Banks without regulatory restrictions achieve optimal size Stulz(2000) Banks effectively provide external resources to firms which need stage financing
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Market-based view Allocating Capital effectively Hellwig(1991), Rajan(1992) Powerful banks hinder innovation Hellwig(1998), Wenger and Kaserer(1998) Collusion problem in bank-based system Allen(1993) Financial markets promote R&D-based firms
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Financial services view Levine(1997) Focusing on financial system’s ability to provide specific services: revealing information, reducing transaction cost, etc.
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Law and finance view La Porta,Lopez-de-silanes,Shleifer and Vishny(2000) The role of legal system in determining the level of financial development The more protection on outside investors, the advanced the financial system
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Testify these hypothesis Criterions of good financial system: 1.Providing external finance 2.Facilitating the formation of new establishment 3.Improving the efficiency of capital allocation across industries
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Methodology Panel Methodology:Cross-industry,cross- country Regressions From Rajan and Zingales(1998) Cross-Country Methodology:Investment Flow Efficiency From Wurgler(2000)
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Panel Methodology Basic Model
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Some variables External: External Finance Dependence Definition: the ratio of capital expenditures minus cash flow from operations divided by capital expenditures Data resource: Compustat FS: Financial development Indicator: Finance-Aggregate Definition: The first principal component of Finance-Activity and Finance-Size
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FS:Financial Structure Three Indicators: 1.Structure-Aggregate Definition: The first principal component of Structure-Activity and Structure –Size 2.Restrict-Aggregate Grading the restrictions on banks 3.State Ownership Definition: the percentage of assets of the 10 largest banks owned by government
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Extension of basic model(1)
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Extension of basic model(2)
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Predictions of different views Market-based view: 1.Structure-Aggregate 2. Restrict-Aggregate 3. State Ownership
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Predictions of different views Bank-based view: 1.Structure-Aggregate 2. Restrict-Aggregate 3. State Ownership
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Predictions of different views Financial-services view: Law and Finance view:
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Cross-country Methodology Basic model:
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Conclusion The results support the financial services and law and finance views. No support for either the bank-based or the market-based views.
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