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Spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41411 Lecture 4: Extent and Nature: Self-Reports.

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Presentation on theme: "Spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41411 Lecture 4: Extent and Nature: Self-Reports."— Presentation transcript:

1 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41411 Lecture 4: Extent and Nature: Self-Reports

2 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41412 recap: 3 “pictures” General trends (refer to UCR figures in last lecture): –Most youth crime is property crime –Overall rise since 1960s; violent rise in 80s-90s, decline since late 1990s

3 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41413 “bivariate correlates” of youth crime 1.Age: property peak at 16 violent later at 17-18 2.Sex: males are 85% of violent index; 75% total 3.Race: African-Americans over 40% of all violent index –interaction of age, sex, and race: African-American males aged 14-24 make up 15% of homicide victims and 27% of offenders. This group is about 1% of the population 4.Ethnicity: Latino overrepresentation in murder (?) 5.Class: kids from low-income census tracts most arrested 6.Chronics: 6% of male population responsible for 50% of arrests 7.Local trends: fewer violent as percent of total; but percent violent increased until mid-90s

4 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41414 problems with police picture 1."Dark Figure" or tip of the iceberg- most youth crime is concealed (e.g. drug use) or unreported (e.g. theft) –Systematic versus random error 2.Changing norms and expectations (marijuana, prostitution) 3.Changes in police priorities or "crackdowns" 4.Police professionalization as emergent process 5.No information on group offending 6.Local biases, misclassifications; 7.UCRs stop at arrest stage (cases dropped) 8.If multiple crimes by same offender, only most serious reported 9.No federal crimes in UCR (comparatively minor flaw)

5 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41415 self-reports: a second picture of delinquency Key Concepts –Prevalence (participation) and –Incidence (frequency) “Monitoring the Future” –~50,000 students in 400 schools each year since 1975 –drug use, delinquency, and attitudes Methodology –sampling and external validity –response bias and internal validity –operationalization measuring rape

6 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41416 bivariate correlates Age Sex Race/Ethnicity Social Class Chronics/High-incidence offending Group delinquency or co-offending

7 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41417 Self-Reported Use of Gun or Knife to Get Something by Sex (Armed Robbery), 1980-2003

8 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41418 Self-reported Taking Something Worth over $50 by Sex (Larceny), 1980-2003

9 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 41419 Self-reported Taking Something Worth less than $50 by Sex (Petty Theft), 1980-2003

10 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414110 Self-Reported Use of Gun or Knife to Get Something by Race (Armed Robbery), 1980-2003

11 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414111 Self-reported Taking Something Worth over $50 by Race (Larceny), 1980-2003

12 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414112 Self-reported Taking Something Worth less than $50 by Race (Petty Theft), 1980-2003

13 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414113 lifetime use: 2003 12 th graders Alcohol Cigarettes Any illicit drug Marijuana Amphetamines Tranquilizers Cocaine MDMA (X) LSD Methamphetamine Steroids 77% 54% 51% 46% 14% 10% 8% 6% 4%

14 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414114 class self-report survey CLASS SELF-REPORT SURVEY –Disclaimer –Overview of findings –Calculating Prevalence and Incidence

15 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414115 index crimes prevalence incidence n%favg INDEX PERSONAL rape00%0.0 robbery67%18.00.2 agg. assault1417%29.00.4 INDEX PROPERTY burglary810%18.50.2 larceny-theft2632%72.50.9 auto theft2126%41.5.5 arson34%8.00.1 INDEX SUBTOTAL 2.3

16 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414116 other nonindex prevalence n % incidence f avg assault2227%44.50.5 weapon1012%28.00.3 vandalism4555%103.01.3 solicitation00%0.0 petty $5-505263%188.02.3 petty <$56174%224.02.7 "OTHER" SUBTOTAL 7.2

17 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414117 substance use prevalence n % incidence f avg cocaine1518%51.50.6 marijuana5871%267.03.3 lsd/mushroom1620%39.00.5 dist.liquor5263%197.02.4 dealer-mj2328%66.50.8 dealer-nonmj810%34.00.4 DRUG SUBTOTAL 8.0

18 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414118 Average Incidence of Self-Reported Delinquency by Sex in Soc 4141 Spring 2005

19 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414119 Sex and Self-Reported Total Delinquency in Uggen's JD Classes

20 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414120 Sex and Self-Reported Index Crimes in Uggen's JD Classes

21 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414121 Self-Reported Delinquency in Uggen's Juvenile Delinquency Classes

22 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414122 GROUP EXERCISE ON SRD –Form groups of 3-5; –Discuss hypotheses on handout –Hand in 1 sheet of paper signed by all

23 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414123 Critique of Self-Report Studies Data problems Reliability? Internal validity: reverse record checks External validity or generalizability Few analogous ADULT measures of self-reported crime (yet)

24 spring 2005chris uggen – soc 414124 next Victimization Cobain book


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