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Trading Strategies & Simulation
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Working Basic Profiles ► Buy Call ► Sell Call ► Buy Put ► Sell Put
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First Applications ► Protective Put ► Covered Call
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Protective Put ► Combine Long Stock with Purchase of Put ► Choose Expiry to match horizon of desired protection of downside. ► Choose Strike around (usually just above) current Stock Price ► Protects Stock Price from loss beyond put premium ► Very Similar to Car Insurance (although everyone’s strike is below the current car value due to deductibles)
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Covered Calls ► Combine Long Stock with Sale of Call ► Choose Strike around (usually just above) current Stock Price ► Protects Stock Price from loss less than call premium ► Guarantees Sale Price (X + Prem Recv’d)
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Writing Calls to Generate Income ► Can be very conservative or very risky, depending on the remainder of the portfolio ► An attractive way to generate income with foundations, pension funds, and other portfolios that will always hold the stock used in the cover ► A very popular activity with individual investors
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Writing Calls to Generate Income (cont’d) ► Writing calls may not be appropriate when Option premiums are very low The option is very long-term
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Simulation
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► Brokerage Account and Delayed Data from Exchanges ► Activate Some Strategies ► Document Intent, Execute and Resolve ► Make Some Money, Have Some Fun! Simulation
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Exchanges ► Chicago Board of Trade www.cbot.com www.cbot.com ► Chicago Merchantile Exchange www.cme.com www.cme.com ► New York Board of Trade www.nybot.com www.nybot.com ► New York Merchantile Exchange www.nymex.com www.nymex.com
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CBOT ► Agricultural Corn (C), Soybeans (S), Soybean Oil (BO), Soybean Meal (BM), Wheat (W), Oats (O) ► Interest Rates 10y Notes (TY), 30y Bond (US) ► Indexes Dow Jones 30 (DJ)
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CME ► Meats Live Cattle (LC), Feeder Cattle (FC), Lean Hogs (LH), Pork Bellies (PB) ► Lumber (LB) ► Indexes Equity: S&P 500 (SP), NASDAQ 100 (ND) ► Foreign Exchange British Pound (BP), Canadian $ (CD), Japanese Yen (JY), Swiss Franc (SF), Euro (UR) ► Interest Rates Euro$ (ED), T-Bill (TB)
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NYBOT ► Food & Fiber Cocoa (CC), Coffee (KC), Sugar-World (SB), FCOJ (OJ) Cotton (CT) ► Indexes (NYFE) US$-Index (DX)
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NYMEX ► Energy Light, Sweet Crude Oil (CL), Heating Oil (HO), Unleaded Gasoline (HU), Natural Gas (NG) ► Metals Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Copper (HG)
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Positions ► $500,000 portfolio ► No more than $150,000 in any one position ► At least 4 option and 2 futures trades 4 options as we discuss options 2 futures as we discuss futures ► Each position must have: Documented opinion Documented Security information Initial Trade Price Daily Closing Prices Final Closing Price
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Documented Security Information ► Contract/Position Size ► Contract/Position Value ► Last Trading Day of Contract ► Contract/Position Initial Margin Deposit
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Trades 1 & 2
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Multi-Option Trading Strategies Take a position in: ► A mixture of calls & puts This is known as a combination ► 2 or more options of the same type This is known as a spread
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A Long Straddle Combination Figure 4-1: Buy 1 Call & 1 Put @ Same X Profit STST X Prices are expected to move, but don’t know which way.
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A Short Straddle Combination Profit STST X Prices are not expected to move, either way (RISKY!!!). Get to keep premiums, but possible unlimited losses. Figure 4-2: Sell 1 Call & 1 Put @ Same X
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A Long Strangle Combination X1X1 X2X2 STST Figure 4-3: Buy 1 Call @ Hi X & Buy 1 Put @ Low X Profit Prices are expected to move BIG, but don’t know which way, and willing to give up some profit to pay less for position.
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A Short Strangle Combination X1X1 X2X2 STST Figure 4-3: Sell 1 Call @ Hi X & Sell 1 Put @ Low X Profit Prices are not expected to move beyond X 1 or X 2, but not willing to bet they might move between. Get to keep premiums, but unlimited possible losses.
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Bull Spread Using Calls ► Figure 4.7: Buy 1 Low X Call, and Sell 1 Hi X Call X1X1 X2X2 Profit STST Prices are expected to rise, but only modestly (not above X 2 ). Willing to give up “above X 2 ” to pay less for position (compare to naked call).
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Bull Spread Using Puts Buy 1 Low X Put and Sell 1 Hi X Put X1X1 X2X2 Profit STST
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Bear Spread Using Puts Sell 1 Lo X Put and Buy 1 Hi X Put X1X1 X2X2 Profit STST Again, as you are willing to give up move “below X 1 ”, position costs less than naked put.
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Bear Spread Using Calls Figure 4-8 : Buy 1 Hi X Call, and Sell 1 Lo X Call X1X1 X2X2 Profit STST Prices are expected to fall, but only modestly (not below X 1 ). Willing to give up “below X 1 ” to pay less for position (compare to naked put).
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