1. Increasing Partisan and Ideological Competition in the Border States Good titles, and I am not saying this is one, give the audience and idea of what your argument will be. This presentation is not complete, but is intended to show you some good and bad examples.

2. Trending GOP in VA

3. Democratic Vote for President in VA

4. Liberals in Virginia Note how changing the Y scale major units to 25 makes it easier to see how close the state is to the “magic” 50% than the NC chart above

5. Liberals in North Carolina

6. 2004 1960 Red = dems, Blue = GOP-- what do these charts tell us about partisan change in NC; definitely interesting to see the regional patterns of partisan competition persisting after almost 50 years!

7. GOP Percent of Two Party Vote for President

8. Critique of Previous Slide Does showing all the GOP presidential vote for the 4 states in the region work? Definitely it is cluttered. I would need to provide a pretty strong interpretation of the chart for my audience. I think I might include it however, if only to show Way to interpret chart– Natl line is national average for GOP presidential candidate; states below purple line vote less GOP than rest of nation, above more than the nation. Since 1964, with exception of 1976 Jimmy Carter, Border States have voted more GOP than the nation as a whole. In particular, Virginia has constantly been more GOP since 1956; though seems to have changing in 2004. Especially interesting given that the measure of citizen liberalism in the previous slide edged above 50% for the first time in 2002.

9. Disaster– clearly trying to put the measures of state and citizen liberalism for all 4 states doesn’t work!

10. Maybe the measure of just citizen liberalism works? Can see TN remains moderate conservative, VA, NC trend toward center, KY moving conservative