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Welcome To The 42 st HPC User Forum Meeting September 2011
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Important Dates For Your Calendar FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: International Meetings: 2011 CEA in France, October 3 & 4 2011 HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 6 & 7 2012 Imperial College, UK June 5 & 6 2012 US Meetings: 2012 April 16 to 17, Richmond, Virginia 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan
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Thank You To Our Sponsors! Gold Intel HP Silver Altair AMD Appro International Platform Computing Bronze Adaptive Computing Bright Computing General Atomics Mellanox Panasas Qlogic
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Dinner Thanks to: General Atomics & Qlogic
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Tuesday Dinner Vendor Updates: 10 Minutes Qlogic Panasas Mellanox General Atomics DDN Bright Computing Appro AMD Altair Adaptive Computing
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Welcome To The 42 st HPC User Forum Meeting September 2011
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Dinner Thanks to: General Atomics & Qlogic Breakfast Thanks to: AMD
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Thank You To Our Sponsors! Gold Intel HP Silver Altair AMD Appro International Platform Computing Bronze Adaptive Computing Bright Computing General Atomics Mellanox Panasas Qlogic
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Introduction: Logistics Ask Mary if you need a receipt We have a very tight agenda (as usual) Please help us keep on time! Review handouts Note: We will post most of the presentations on the web site Please complete the evaluation form
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www.hpcuserforum.com
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New HPC Innovation Award Program: www.hpcuserforum.com/innovationaward/
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Welcome Steve Finn HPC User Forum Chairman
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Important Dates For Your Calendar FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: International Meetings: 2011 CEA in France, October 3 & 4 2011 HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 6 & 7 2012 Imperial College, UK July 5 & 6 2012 US Meetings: 2012 April 16 to 17, Richmond, Virginia 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan
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HPC User Forum Mission To Improve The Health Of The High Performance Computing Industry Through Open Discussions, Information- sharing And Initiatives Involving HPC Users In Industry, Government And Academia Along With HPC Vendors And Other Interested Parties
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Steering Committee Members Steve Finn, Cherokee Information Services, Chairman Sharan Kalwani, KAUST, Vice Chairman Earl Joseph, IDC, Executive Director Vijay Agarwala, Penn State University Alex Akkerman, Ford Motor Company Doug Ball, The Boeing Company Rupak Biswas, NASA Ames Paul Buerger, Avetec Steve Conway, IDC Research Vice President Jack Collins, National Cancer Institute Jeff Broughton. NERSC/Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Merle Giles, NSCA/University of Illinois Chris Catherasoo, Caltech James Kasdorf, Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center Doug Kothe, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Paul Muzio, City University of New York Michael Resch, HLRS, University of Stuttgart Vince Scarafino, Industry Expert Allan Snavely, San Diego Supercomputer Center
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IDC HPC Market Update
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Top Trends in HPC The global economy in HPC is growing again 2010 grew by 10%, to reach $9.5 billion We are forecasting ~7% growth over the next 5 years Major challenges for datacenters Power, cooling, real estate, system management Storage and data management continue to grow in importance Software hurdles will rise to the top for most users SSDs will gain momentum and could redefine storage GPUs are seeing real tractions in certain verticals The worldwide Race on Petascale is in full speed
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18 1.The Worldwide Economic Recovery Will Restore HPC Growth 2.The Battle for HPC Leadership Will Become Increasingly Global and Strategic 3.More Real-World Applications Will Be Run at Trans- Petaflop Speeds 4.There May Be More Emphasis on Software…Finally 5.The Alternative Processor Wars Will Keep Heating Up 6.The HPC Staffing Shortage Will Grow More Acute 7.Cloud Computing Will Ramp Up Slowly in HPC, But Will Find a Number of Strong Niches 8.The HPC Storage Market Will Continue to Grow Faster than the HPC Server Market 9.InfiniBand Will Continue To Take Market Share from Proprietary Interconnects While Ethernet Remains the Leader 10.Power and Cooling Will Become an Even Greater Concern IDC Top 10 HPC Predictions for 2011
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HPC WW Market Results
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HPC Vendor Revenue Shares, 2010
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2010 HPC WW Market Results Q110Q210Q310Q410Full Year Supercomputer669,521780,655847,9601,183,4413,481,57736.6% Divisional273,752299,286316,688379,0091,268,73513.3% Departmental688,785791,416842,511956,5073,279,21934.5% Workgroup372,914333,110348,131420,6381,474,79215.5% Total2,004,9732,204,4662,355,2892,939,5959,504,323100.0% Source: IDC HPC Qview 2012
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Revenue Share by Vendor Supercomputer Segment
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Revenue Share by Vendor Divisional Segment
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Revenue Share by Vendor Departmental Segment
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Revenue Share by Vendor Workgroup Segment
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Industry/Application Segments HPC Server Revenue by Application/Industry 20092010Growth Bio-Sciences 1,171 1,29410.4% CAE 913 1,06016.1% Chemical Eng 187 2038.6% DCC & Distribution 478 54915.0% Economics/Fin 205 26630.1% EDA/IT/ISV 559 62912.5% Geosciences 564 6057.2% Mechanical Design 75 806.5% Defense 894 9516.3% Government Lab 1,418 1,5207.2% University 1,721 1,8326.4% Weather 371 41211.0% Other 80 10429.2% Total Revenue 8,637 9,50410.0% Source: IDC 2011
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By Region 1Q201
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By Operating System 1Q201
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The HPC Market Beyond The Servers
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The Broader HPC Market 20092010 Servers 8,637,114 9,504,323 Storage 3,022,990 3,328,312 Middleware 1,062,365 1,103,797 Applications 2,971,167 3,164,293 Service 1,658,326 1,727,976 Total 17,351,963 18,828,701
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HPC Buyer Driving factors
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2011 Buyer Driving Factors
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HPC Market Forecasts
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HPC Server Revenue ($M) Forecast 201020112012201320142015CAGR HPC Revenues 9,504 10,034 10,564 11,397 12,371 13,4497.2% System Units 119,845 133,044 146,243 165,391 172,306 179,5158.4% Source: IDC 2011
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HPC Server Revenue ($M) Forecasts Compared To Last Year Comparison of Old and New HPC Revenue Forecasts 2009201020112012201320142015 New Forecast 8,637 9,504 10,034 10,564 11,397 12,371 13,449 Previous Forecast 8,637 9,240 9,842 10,444 11,047 11,706 - Source: IDC 2011
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Conclusions 2010 was a year of return to healthy growth in the worldwide HPC market IDC predicts the HPC market will continue growth in 2011 and grow by 7% to 9% in 2011 And then will rebuild to reach $13.5 billion by 2015 The recovery will benefit HPC segments unevenly: With hard-hit verticals such as automotive recovering more slowly than oil and gas, or government and academia The Supercomputer segment growth will remain turbo-charged by government spending aimed at HPC leadership and “petaflop club” membership And could exceed our current forecasts
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38 But There are Still Major Customer Pain Points Software is still the #1 roadblock Better management software is needed –HPC clusters are still hard to setup and operate –New buyers – require “ease-of-everything” Parallel software is lacking for most users –Many applications will need a major redesign –Multi-core will cause many issues to “hit-the-wall” Clusters are still hard to use and manage System management & growing cluster complexity Power, cooling and floor space are major issues Third party software costs Weak interconnect performance at all levels RAS is a growing issue Storage and data management are becoming new bottle necks Lack of support for heterogeneous environment and accelerators
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Please email: hpc@idc.com Or check out: www.hpcuserforum.com Questions?
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Agenda: Day One Morning Wednesday, September 7, 2011 7:15amNetworking Breakfast 8:00amWelcome, Steve Finn, Sharan Kalwani and Earl Joseph Morning Session Chair: Steve Finn 8:15amHPC Market Update, Earl Joseph and Steve Conway 8:30amHPC in Materials Science Tim Germann, LANL Bobby Sumpter, Oak Ridge National Laboratory 9:30am - 10:00am Break Duane Johnson, Ames Laboratory Charles Robert Welch, US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineers Research & Development Center (ERDC) 11:00amThe 1000 Genomes Project, Skip Garner, Virginia Tech 11:30amInvited Vendor Technology Updates: Intel and HP 12:00pmNetworking Lunch
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AM Break Thanks to: Mellanox Lunch Thanks to: Platform Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
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Thank You To: Platform Computing For Lunch
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Agenda: Day One Afternoon Afternoon Session Chair: Rupak Biswas 1:00pmModeling and Simulation of Large Scale Reactive Systems in Extreme Conditions, Andres Jaramillo-Botero, Caltech 1:30pmHPC in Materials Science: Best Practices in Managing HPC & Simulation Resources for Improving TTM, Eric Morales, Ping Golf 2:00pmSuccessful HPC Cloud Examples: Teri Dewalt, IBM 2:15pmMicrosoft "Azure" Cloud Update, Ryan Waite 2:30pmData-intensive Computing at SDSC, Allan Snavely, SDSC 3:00pmBreak 3:30pmUpdate on Lustre and OpenSFS, Norm Morse 4:00pmPanel: The Future of Lustre, Moderator: Paul Buerger Norm Morse, OpenSFS Peter Bojanic, Xyratex Bob Ciotti, NASA Ames John Josephakis, DDN Tommy Minyard, TACC Brent Gorda, Whamcloud Stephen Simms, Indiana University 5:00pmNetworking Break and Time for 1-on-1 Meetings 6:30pm Special Reception and Dinner Event
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Thank You To: Adaptive Computing For The Break
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Dinner Logistics Special Dinner Event Sponsored by Intel and HP
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Welcome To Day 2 Of The HPC User Forum Meeting
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Dinner Thanks to: Intel and HP Breakfast Thanks to: Appro
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Thank You To Our Sponsors! Gold Intel HP Silver Altair AMD Appro International Platform Computing Bronze Adaptive Computing Bright Computing General Atomics Mellanox Panasas Qlogic
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Important Dates For Your Calendar FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: International Meetings: 2011 CEA in France, October 3 & 4 2011 HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 6 & 7 2012 Imperial College, UK July 5 & 6 2012 US Meetings: 2012 April 16 to 17, Richmond, Virginia 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan
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Agenda: Day Two Morning 8:10amWelcome, Earl Joseph and Steve Finn Morning Session Chair: Vince Scarafino 8:15amIDC Update on New EU HPC Parallel Software Programs and Initiatives 8:30amExascale & Heterogeneous Programs and Addressing the Software Issues: Exascale Opportunities and Challenges, and HECToR update, Andy Jones, NAG Heterogeneous Systems, Sriram Swaminarayan, Los Alamos National Laboratory The Real Future of HPC Cloud Computing, Jeff Broughton, NERSC 10:00am - 10:30am Break The AFRL Heterogeneous Condor Cluster, Mark Barnell, Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) 11:00amPanel on Power & Cooling in HPC Moderator: Tim Carroll, Dell Janus: A Co-Designed Facility and Supercomputer, Henry M. Tufo, Ph.D., University of Colorado at Boulder Power & Cooling Techniques at the Texas Advanced Computing Center, Tommy Minyard, Ph.D., University of Texas DIY HPC Clusters: Deploying a high performance compute cluster at Stanford, Steve Jones, Stanford University 12:00pmNetworking Lunch
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Am Break Thanks to: Panasas Lunch Thanks to: Altair Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
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Thank You Altair Engineering For Lunch
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Agenda: Day Two Afternoon Afternoon Session Chair: Sharan Kalwani 1:00pmHPC as an Ecosystem, Michael Resch, University of Stuttgart, High Performance Computing Center 1:30pmVendor Technology Update: Platform Computing 1:45pmHPC Applications in Materials Science, George Fitzgerald, Accelrys 2:15pmInternational Exascale Software Project (IESP), Peter Beckman, Argonne National Laboratory 2:45pmBreak 3:15pmOverview Of NITRD Activities Related To High Performance Computing, Bryan Biegel 3:45pmIDC Update on Large HPC Systems in Japan and China 4:15pmExascale Directions, Jeff Nichols, Oak Ridge National Laboratory 4:45pmMeeting Wrap-Up, Steve Finn, Steve Conway and Earl Joseph 5:00pmMeeting Ends
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Thank You To: Bright Computing For The Break
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Important Dates For Your Calendar FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: International Meetings: 2011 CEA in France, October 3 & 4 2011 HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 6 & 7 2012 Imperial College, UK July 5 & 6 2012 US Meetings: 2012 April 16 to 17, Richmond, Virginia 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan
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Thank You For Attending The 42 st HPC User Forum Meeting
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Please email: hpc@idc.com Or check out: www.hpcuserforum.com Questions?
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