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Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton A First Look at Business Cycles.

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Presentation on theme: "Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton A First Look at Business Cycles."— Presentation transcript:

1 Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton A First Look at Business Cycles

2 Peaks and Troughs Peak Trough These periods are caused Business Cycles What Causes Them? And What Can (or Should) Be Done About Them?

3 A First Look at Business Cycles Counter-Cyclical and Pro-Cyclical Indicators

4 A First Look at Business Cycles The Labor Market S SR S LR D H* w*

5 A First Look at Business Cycles A Temporary Demand Decrease D’ S SR S LR D H’H* w* w’

6 A First Look at Business Cycles A Temporary Demand Decrease D’ S SR S LR D H’H* w* w’ Wages Down Hours of Work Down

7 A First Look at Business Cycles A Temporary Demand Decrease D’ S SR S LR D H’H* w* w’ Wages Down Hours of Work Down GDP = AK  L (1-  ) Down

8 A First Look at Business Cycles A Temporary Demand Decrease D’ S SR S LR D H’H* w* w’ Wages Down Hours of Work Down GDP = AK  L (1-  ) Down Obviously a temporary demand increase will have the opposite effect

9 A First Look at Business Cycles Counter-Cyclical and Pro-Cyclical Indicators

10 A First Look at Business Cycles Counter-Cyclical and Pro-Cyclical Indicators The model seems to fit the facts

11 A First Look at Business Cycles A Productivity Increase S SR S LR D H* w*

12 A First Look at Business Cycles A Productivity Increase D’ S SR S LR D H* H’ w* w’

13 A First Look at Business Cycles A Productivity Increase D’ S SR S LR D H* H’ w* w’ Wages Up Hours of Work Up GDP = AK  L (1-  ) Up

14 A First Look at Business Cycles A Productivity Increase D’ S SR S LR D H* H’ w* w’

15 A First Look at Business Cycles Counter-Cyclical and Pro-Cyclical Indicators Now Patience

16 A First Look at Business Cycles Getting Going S SR S LR D w H

17 A First Look at Business Cycles Patience S SR S LR D w H

18 A First Look at Business Cycles Stimulation S SR S LR D w H D`

19 A First Look at Business Cycles Stimulation S SR S LR D w H D` While there is something to this graph, life is not that simple

20 A First Look at Business Cycles Stimulation S SR S LR D w H D` While there is something to this graph, life is not that simple The course is not over

21 A First Look at Business Cycles End ©2004 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved


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