1. Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Twelfth Edition
and the Triola Statistics Series
by Mario F. Triola

2. Chapter 9 Inferences from Two Samples
9-1 Review and Preview
9-2 Two Proportions
9-3 Two Means: Independent Samples
9-4 Two Dependent Samples (Matched Pairs)
9-5 Two Variances or Standard Deviations

3. Key Concept
In this section we present methods for (1) testing a claim made about two population proportions and (2) constructing a confidence interval estimate of the difference between the two population proportions.
This section is based on proportions, but we can use the same methods for dealing with probabilities or the decimal equivalents of percentages.

4. Notation for Two Proportions
For population 1, we let:
= population proportion
= size of the sample
= number of successes in the sample
(the sample proportion)
The corresponding notations apply to
which come from population 2.

5. Pooled Sample Proportion
The pooled sample proportion is given by:

6. Requirements
1. We have proportions from two independent simple random samples.
For each of the two samples, the number of successes is at least 5 and the number of failures is at least 5.
n ≥ 5
n(1- ) ≥ For each of the two samples
page 457 of Elementary Statistics, 10th Edition

7. Test Statistic for Two Proportions
where (assumed in the null hypothesis)
Example given at the bottom of page of Elementary Statistics, 10th Edition.

8. Testing Two Proportions
P-value: P-values are provided by, use Table A-2.
Critical values: Use Table A-2. (Based on the significance level α, find critical values by using the procedures introduced in Section 8-2 in the text.)

9. Confidence Interval Estimate of p1 – p2
Example at the bottom of page 461 of Elementary Statistics, 10th Edition
Rationale for the procedures of this section on page of Elementary Statistics, 10th Edition

10. Example
Do people having different spending habits depending on the type of money they have?
89 undergraduates were randomly assigned to two groups and were given a choice of keeping the money or buying gum or mints.
The claim is that “money in large denominations is less likely to be spent relative to an equivalent amount in many smaller denominations”.
Let’s test the claim at the 0.05 significance level.

11. Subjects Given 4 Quarters
Example
Below are the sample data and summary statistics:
Group 1
Group 2
Subjects Given $1 Bill
Subjects Given 4 Quarters
Spent the money
x1 = 12
x2 = 27
Subjects in group
n1 = 46
n2 = 43

12. Example Requirement Check:
The 89 subjects were randomly assigned to two groups, so we consider these independent random samples.
The subjects given the $1 bill include 12 who spent it and 34 who did not. The subjects given the quarters include 27 who spent it and 16 who did not. All counts are above 5, so the requirements are all met.

13. Example
Step 1: The claim that “money in large denominations is less likely to be spent” can be expressed as p1 < p2.
Step 2: If p1 < p2 is false, then p1 ≥ p2.
Step 3: The hypotheses can be written as:

14. Example Step 4: The significance level is α = 0.05.
Step 5: We will use the normal distribution to run the test with:

15. Example
Step 6: Calculate the value of the test statistic:

16. Example
Step 6: This is a left-tailed test, so the P-value is the area to the left of the test statistic z = –3.49, or The critical value is also shown below.

17. Example
Step 7: Because the P-value of is less than the significance level of α = 0.05, reject the null hypothesis.
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that people with money in large denominations are less likely to spend relative to people with money in smaller denominations.
It should be noted that the subjects were all undergraduates and care should be taken before generalizing the results to the general population.

18. Example
We can also construct a confidence interval to estimate the difference between the population proportions.
Caution: The confidence interval uses standard deviations based on estimated values of the population proportions, and consequently, a conclusion based on a confidence interval might be different from a conclusion based on a hypothesis test.

19. Example
Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the two population proportions.
What does the result suggest about our claim about people spending large denominations relative to spending small denominations?

20. Example

21. Example
The confidence interval limits do not include 0, implying that there is a significant difference between the two proportions.
There does appear to be sufficient evidence to support the claim that “money in large denominations is less likely to be spent relative to an equivalent amount in many smaller denominations.”

22. Why Do the Procedures of This Section Work?
The distribution of can be approximated by a normal distribution with mean p1, and standard deviation:
The difference can be approximated by a normal distribution with mean p1 – p2 and variance
The variance of the differences between two independent random variables is the sum of their individual variances.

23. Why Do the Procedures of This Section Work?
The preceding variance leads to
We now know that the distribution of is approximately normal, with mean and standard deviation as shown above, so the z test statistic has the form given earlier.

24. Why Do the Procedures of This Section Work?
When constructing the confidence interval estimate of the difference between two proportions, we don’t assume that the two proportions are equal, and we estimate the standard deviation as

25. Why Do the Procedures of This Section Work?
In the test statistic
use the positive and negative values of z (for two tails) and solve for
The results are the limits of the confidence interval given earlier.

26. #8 The herb ginkgo biloba is commonly used as a treatment to prevent dementia. In a study of the effectiveness of this treatment, 1545 elderly subjects were ginkgo and 1524 elderly subjects were given a placebo. Among those in the ginkgo treatment group, 246 later developed dementia, and among those in the placebo group, 277 later develop dementia. We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that ginkgo is effective in preventing dementia.
Test the claim using a hypothesis test.
Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval