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FAST FOOD INDUSTRY IN THE U.S.
Meredith Drummond, Jess Krause, Sofia Steinberger, & Tory Trippe
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Advertising Strategies Analysis and Recommendations
AGENDA Introduction Industry Analysis Advertising Strategies Analysis and Recommendations
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WHY FAST FOOD? Study impacts of health awareness trends
Change from “fast” and “low price” to higher quality food due to consumer demands How fast food industry advertising has changed to adapt to trends
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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
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BACKGROUND: PRODUCTS & CONSUMERS
Industry Definition: Restaurants where quick service food products are paid for before consumption. Distribution Chain: Consume off Site Delivery Service Restaurant Direct to Consumer Consume on Site
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BACKGROUND: PRODUCTS & CONSUMERS
Product & Services Segmentation in the Fast Food Restaurant Industry 2015 IBISWorld.com
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REVENUE Revenue in the Fast Food Restaurant Industry IBISWorld.com Dip due to recession Revenue Growth 1.6% 0.2% 2.6% -0.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.8% 2.0% 1.4%
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CONSUMER SPENDING - Key industry driver is increasing 3.0% 2.2% -0.4%
Consumer Spending in the Fast Food Industry IBISWorld.com Dip due to recession - Key industry driver is increasing Consumer Spending Growth 3.0% 2.2% -0.4% -1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6%
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EMPLOYMENT Employment in the Fast Food Restaurant Industry IBISWorld.com Dip due to recession Employment Growth 3.0% 0.6% 0.9% -2.6% -1.8% 2.1% 0.7%
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CONCENTRATION Industry concentration: Low, increasing
Fast Food Marketshare IBISWorld.com Industry concentration: Low, increasing Number of firms in the industry: 4,562 Four Firm Concentration Ratio 36.2 Sources: IBISWorld.com, Hoovers Online
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INDUSTRY COMPETITION Degree of barriers to entry: Degree of rivalry:
high, increasing Degree of barriers to entry: low, increasing Reasons for low barriers: Franchising component Wide array of food concepts Primary means of differentiation: Price Quality of food Location/Convenience Style of food Service/Ambience Source: IBISWorld.com
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INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE Description 2015 Outlook Impact
Relative Importance Consumer Spending Total amount spent by Americans on services and new goods and net purchases of used goods Expected to increase Healthy Eating Index Percentage of a recommended diet that an average American consumes Expected to slowly increase Agricultural Price Index Nominal prices received by farmers for US agricultural products; indicator of prices restaurants can expect to pay Expected to decrease Consumer Confidence Index Level of confidence consumers have in the economy Expected to increase More Important Less
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INDUSTRY ORGANIZATION
Supply Chain: Supplier Supplier Distributor Restaurant Consumer Supplier Source: Duke University
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MAJOR PLAYERS Company Market Share Strategies
Financial Performance for 2015 in United States 17% Focused on modernizing the format of its stores More aggressive push into breakfast segment Revenue expected to increase 3.7% 10.8% Opens multi-branded restaurants in high-traffic areas Revenue expected to decrease by 12.4% 6.7% Shift to Five Dollar Footlong promotion from “Eat Fresh” campaign Revenue expected to increase 5.6% 4.4% Strategic price increases Shift in sales mix towards more premium products Revenue expected to increase 2% Source: IBISWorld.com
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BACKGROUND: TECHNOLOGY
Level of technology change: Medium Drivers: Reduce labor and food costs Types of technology: Wireless technology ordering systems, mobile technology Point-of-sale systems Just-in-time scheduling Social media
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REGULATION AND ROLE OF GOVERNMENT
Level of regulation: Medium, increasing Regulations around 4 main issues: Food safety and standards Labor relations Smoking bans Franchising laws
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ADVERTISING STRATEGIES: TV
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ADVERTISING SPENDING BY BRAND IN THE UNITED STATES IN 2013
Ad Spend by Restaurants in 2013 Statistica Prisoner’s Dilemma
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MCDONALD’S STILL LEADS THE WAY IN GLOBAL BRAND VALUE
2015 Value of Top 10 Fast Food Brands Worldwide Statistica Yum! Is ranked 4th after Starbucks (8.2 bn)
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A Closer Look at McDonald’s Brand Value
McDonald’s Global Brand Value Statistica
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BRAND LEADERS HAVE LOWEST AD TO SALES RATIOS
% Jubille4 Gold Ad-Sales ratio of 11.91% in 2007,10.25% in 2008, .42% in 2009, 5.72% in 2010 and defaulted in 2011
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AVERAGE AD-TO-SALES HAS DECREASED FROM 3. IN 2007 TO 2
AVERAGE AD-TO-SALES HAS DECREASED FROM 3.0* IN 2007 TO 2.53 IN 2014 FOR THE INDUSTRY * Excludes:Jubilee4 Gold
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TELEVISION DOMINATES ADVERTISING EXPENDITURE
2013 Advertising Spend in the food & beverage industry in the US by medium Statista MOST AMOUnt of ad spend is on Cable TV
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QUICK SERVICE RESTAURANTS REPRESENT THE LARGEST ADVERTISERS IN FAST FOOD SPACE
Total TV advertising expenditure TV advertising data
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INDUSTRY LEADERS DOMINATE TV AD AIR TIME
Total seconds of TV advertising TV advertising data Coffee & Donut Restaurants Quick Serve Restaurants Pizza Restaurants & Delivery Services McDonalds spends advertises for the most amount of time (36% of total TV Advertising time in fast food category) Yum! Brands, which owns Taco Bell, Pizza Hut and KFC is responsible for approximately 24% of fast food TV advertising time
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Morning News & Overnight Ad Slots have the highest fast food adverting traffic
Proportion of TV advertising by daypart for fast food categories TV advertising data In general the morning news and overnight time slots are the most popular time slots for fast food advertisers 05:00 AM- 09:00 AM 09:00 AM- 12:00 PM 12:00 PM- 03:00 PM 03:00 PM- 05:00 PM 05:00 PM- 07:00 PM 07:00 PM- 08:00 PM 08:00 PM- 11:00 PM 11:00 PM- 11:30 PM 11:30 PM- 01:00 AM 01:00 AM- 05:00 AM Prime time is one of the top three most popular times for fast food advertisements as this is where viewership is highest The popularity of the overnight and morning news time slots are most likely due these slots being relatively cheap as well as being relevant for breakfast food items
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Typical after lunch time Typical after dinner time
FAST FOOD COMPANIES ADVERTISE WHEN CUSTOMERS WILL BE MOST RECEPTIVE TO THE PRODUCTS Total seconds of TV advertising by time of day TV advertising data Typical after lunch time Typical after dinner time Afternoon and evening coffee purchasing behaviors is likely highly variable for the average consumer and is influenced by primarily by endogenous factors such as mood or energy level. As a result coffee advertisers can have a greater effect on customer’s purchasing behavior at these strategic times. Coffee and donut advertising spikes at after-meal times to incentivize impulse buys Pizza Restaurants have an advertising spike at 4 PM and 11 PM to incentivize impulse & binge purchases
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Reality and Drama are the most popular programs among fast food advertisers
Total seconds of TV advertising by program type TV advertising data Most engaging programs So more likely to be engaged in advertisements
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subsections of the fast food market allocate their TV ad spend differently between program types
Proportion of TV advertising time per program type TV advertising data Coffee and donut restaurants advertise the most heavily in reality, which accounts for 77% of their total TV adverting time The entirety of this reality TV spike comes from Starbucks
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Most fast food chains diversify their advertising strategy, but advertise on only one program type
Proportion of TV advertising by program type TV advertising data Dunkin advertises on Sports “America Runs on Dunkin”, ppl think of their team/America In general, high profit margin customers most likely female, Reality TV has high female viewership Coffee & Donut Restaurants Quick Serve Restaurants Pizza Restaurants & Delivery Services Most brands advertise across several TV show types in order to diversify their audiences Some brands choose to advertise on only one or two types of programs including Dunkin Donuts, Hardees and Jimmy John’s
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NBC is the top network for fast food advertisers
Proportion of TV advertising spending network TV advertising data Network # of Viewers 5.804 mil 3.155 mil 8.089 mil 6.434 mil 1.414 mil Median Age 49.3 46.2 55.6 52.3 47.1 # Adults 18-49 1.3 mil 0.9 mil 1.4 mil 0.5 Median HH $55,00 $49,300 $43,500 $47,200 $40,600
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MOST FAST FOOD BRANDS ADVERTISE PRIMARILY WITH ONE OR TWO NETWORKS
Proportion of TV advertising network TV advertising data Network effect – same consumers seeing same ads = higher recall (memory jamming) Coffee & Donut Restaurants Quick Serve Restaurants Pizza Restaurants & Delivery Services Within the fast food space, generally the smaller brands advertise with fewer networks while larger brands such as McDonalds advertise on many. This is likely because there are network effects due to memory jamming. In general pizza restaurants advertise on a variety of networks despite being on the whole smaller brands
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TV INSIGHTS WHEN: Advertise Morning News, Overnight, Prime Time
Coffee chains advertise after mealtime to create impulse buys WHERE: Reality & Drama Shows Advertise on genres that match targeted audience Product Placement WHO: Brands use network demographics with high viewership in their target audience (i.e. Spanish Language) WHY: Drive impulse buys & brand recall
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ADVERTISING STRATEGIES: HEALTH & OBESITY
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FAST FOOD AND ADVERTISING TO CHILDREN
What we know: • There is a correlation between exposure to fast food advertising and children’s food consumption/body weight • Exposure to fast food television ads has been associated with a 1.1% rise in children’s consumption of fast food although no direct connection between bmi and advertising, we know that fast food is heavily associated with bmi
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ADVERTISING TO CHILDREN STRATEGIES
•In 2012, McDonald’s advertised 16% more to children than teenagers and 8% more to children than adults •Ads for healthy kids meals only account for 25% of fast food TV ads for children •Several Fast Food companies offer advergame apps •Advertising for non-kids’ meals on children’s network (i.e. Subway) “Fast food restaurants also continued to target black and Hispanic youth, populations at high risk for obesity and related diseases.20 Increased advertising on Spanish-language TV raises special concerns. Combined advertising spending on Spanish-language TV by all fast food restaurants increased 8% from 2009 to KFC and Burger King increased their spending by 35% to 41% while reducing Englishlanguage advertising, and Domino’s and Subway increased Spanish-language advertising by more than 15%. Hispanic preschoolers’ exposure to fast food ads on Spanish-language TV increased by 16% reaching almost one ad viewed per day. They also saw 100 more of these ads than older Hispanic children or teens saw. However, just 5% of Spanish-language ads viewed by Hispanic children promoted kids’ meals. As in 2009, black children and teens saw approximately 60% more fast food ads than white youth, due largely to greater TV viewing. However, advertising for Starbucks, Popeyes, Papa John’s, and some Burger King products appeared during programming watched relatively more often by black youth. Black and Hispanic youth were more likely than their white and non-Hispanic peers to visit one-third or more of all fast food websites. For instance, Hispanic youth were 30% more likely to visit HappyMeal.com, and black youth were 44% more likely to visit the site.” -
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ADVERTISING TO CHILDREN, BY PRODUCT
Children's food and beverage advertising consumption in U.S. 2013 Statista
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INCREASE IN ADVERTISING TO MINIORITIES
Advertising targeted at black youth contains 60% more calories and sodium compared to white peers In 2012, black youth saw twice as many ads for Starbucks and Popeyes than their white peers Combined advertising spending on Spanish-language TV by all fast food restaurants increased 8% from 2009 to 2012
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US CONSUMERS FEEL THAT FAST FOOD ADS ARE RELATIVELY TRUSTWORTHY ADS
Which advertisements do you feel are the most trustworthy? Statista
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Highest Fast Food Per Capita States
OBESITY AND FAST FOOD AVAILABILITY Most Obese States Highest Fast Food Per Capita States South Carolina Mississippi Ohio Louisiana Nebraska Texas Indiana Iowa Tennessee Wyoming Kansas Arkansas Oklahoma Kentucky
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HEALTH SECTION INSIGHTS & IMPLICATIONS
Advertising fast food to children manipulates the perception of what is healthy to both children and parents Fast food advertisers are specifically targeting minority groups: Minorities are seeing more fast food advertisements The content contains more calories This will lead to a more obese minority population
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RECOMMENDATIONS
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RECOMMENDATIONS Investment Strategy
Market Leader (McDonald’s) is decreasing in brand value: look to other firms that are capitalizing on consumer’s changing preferences Subway exceeds McDonald’s in # of stores (US) & annual growth rate Highest growth sector lies with fast casual Advertising Strategy Adapt to consumer’s shift in preferences Focus on quality food & experience Continue to capitalize on impulse buys depending on target market
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THANK YOU
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