1. PART FOUR WORLD FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT International Business
Chapter Nine
Global Foreign Exchange and Capital Markets

2. Chapter Objectives To learn the fundamentals of foreign exchange
To identify the major characteristics of the foreign exchange market and how governments control the flow of currencies across national borders
To understand why companies deal in foreign exchange
To describe how the foreign exchange market works
To examine the different institutions that deal in foreign exchange
To show how companies make payment for international transactions

3. Foreign Exchange: Basic Concepts
Foreign exchange (Fx): money denominated in the currency of another nation or group of nations
[a financial instrument issued by a foreign country]
Exchange rate: the price of one currency expressed in terms another currency
[the number of units of a given currency needed to buy one unit of another currency]
Foreign exchange market: banks and currency exchanges that buy and sell foreign currencies and other exchange instruments
[a market for converting the currency of
one country into that of another country]

4. The Foreign Exchange Market: Major Segments
• Over-the-counter (OTC) market: commercial and investment banks
[most foreign exchange activity occurs here]
• Exchange-traded market: specialized securities exchanges where particular types of foreign-exchange instruments are traded
[instruments such as futures and
options are exchange-traded]

5. Fig. 9.1: Average Daily Volume in World Foreign Exchange Markets, 1989-2004

6. Currency Distribution of Global Foreign Exchange Market Activity
April April April April April April
CURRENCY
U.S. Dollar
Euro — — — —
Japanese Yen
Pound Sterling
Swiss Franc
All others
Source: Bank for International Settlements, Central BankSurvey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity, 2004.

7. The U.S. dollar is the most widely traded currency in the world because it serves as:
an investment currency in many capital markets
a reserve currency held by many central banks
a transaction currency in many international commodity markets
an invoice currency in many contracts
an intervention currency employed by monetary authorities in market operations to influence their own exchange rates
The most frequently traded currency pairs are:
- the U.S. dollar/euro [28%]
- the U.S. dollar/yen [17%]

8. Fig. 9.2: Geographical Distribution of Global Foreign Exchange Market Activity, April 2004

9. Location of the Foreign Exchange Market
London is the largest foreign exchange market (followed by New York, Tokyo, and Singapore) because of its strategic location between Asia and the Americas.
Market activity first heightens when Europe and Asia are open and again when Europe and the United States are open.
Cross-trading: using the U.S. dollar as a vehicle currency for trades between two other currencies
Cross rate: the exchange rate between two non-U.S. dollar currencies that is computed from the exchange rate of each currency in relation to the U.S. dollar
[Use currency A to buy currency C (US $1), and then use currency C to buy currency B.]

10. Fig. 9.3: The Circadian Rhythms of the Foreign Exchange Market

11. Map 9.1: International Time Zones and the Single World Market

12. Foreign Exchange Terms and Conventions
Bid: the price at which a trader is willing to buy a foreign currency
Offer: the price at which a trader is willing to sell a foreign currency
Spread: the difference between the bid and the offer rates, i.e., the trader’s profit
American terms: the U.S. point of view, i.e., the number of U.S. dollars per unit of foreign currency
European terms (indirect quote): the number of units of foreign currency per U.S. dollar
[continued]

13. Dollar-yen quote: dollar = base, yen = terms
• A quote in American terms (US$/Fx) is always the reciprocal of a quote in European terms (Fx/US$).
$1.00/¥ ¥106.04/$1.00
• Base currency: the quoted, underlying, or fixed currency
Traders always quote the base currency (the denominator) first, followed by the terms currency (the numerator).
An example:
Dollar-yen quote: dollar = base, yen = terms
Oct. 10, April 28, 2005
¥110.96/$1.00 ¥106.04/$1.00
The dollar (base) weakened; the yen (terms) strengthened.

14. Types of Foreign Exchange Markets
Spot market: the market in which foreign exchange transactions occur “on the spot,” i.e., for delivery within two business days following the date of agreement to trade
Spot rate: the rate quoted for transactions that require immediate delivery, i.e. within two days
Forward market: the market in which foreign exchange transactions occur at a set rate for delivery beyond two business days following the date of agreement to trade
Forward rate: a contractually established exchange rate between a foreign exchange trader and the trader’s client for delivery of foreign currency on a specified date
forward discount: the forward rate is less than the spot rate
forward premium: the forward rate is higher than the spot rate

15. Forward/Future Instruments
Forward contract: a contract between a firm or individual and a bank to deliver foreign currency at a specific exchange rate on a future date
Outright forward: a forward contract that is not connected to a spot transaction, i.e., a contact to deliver foreign currency beyond two days following the date of agreement at the forward rate
Fx swap: a simultaneous spot and forward trans-action, i.e., one currency is swapped for another on one date and then swapped back on a future date
Currency swap: the exchange of principal and interest payments via interest-bearing OTC financial instruments (e.g., bonds) [continued]

16. Futures contract: an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a given currency at a given (negotiated) price on a particular future date, as specified in a standardized contact to all participants in that currency futures exchange [not as flexible as a forward contract]
Option: an instrument traded both OTC and on exchanges that gives the purchaser the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a certain amount of foreign currency at a specified exchange rate within a specified amount of time [more expensive but also more flexible than a forward contract]
Strike price: the exchange rate specified in the option, i.e., the exercise price
Premium: the fee paid to the writer of the option

17. Foreign Exchange Markets: Thursday, April 28, 2005
US$ EQUIVALENT CURRENCY PER US$
COUNTRY THUR WED THUR WED
Brazil (Real)
Canada (Dollar)
India (Rupee)
Japan (Yen)
Russia (Ruble)
South Africa (Rand)
Switzerland (Franc)
U.K. (Pound)
Special Drawing Right
Euro
Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are based on exchange rates for the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen,
and the British pound.
Sources: International Monetary Fund; Wall Street Journal, 2005.

18. Exchange-based vs. Over-the-Counter Fx Instruments
EXCHANGE-BASED OTC
(OPTIONS & FUTURES) (FORWARD CONTRACTS)
Contract Specs. Standard + Custom Custom
Regulation SEC Self
Type of market Open outcry, auction Dealer
Transparency Yes No
Short margin req. Yes No
Anonymous orders Yes No
Mark positions daily Yes No
Audit trail Complete trail No
Participants Public cust. + Corp. & inst. users
corp. & inst. users
Source: The Philadelphia Stock Exchange.

19. Foreign Exchange Convertibility
Convertibility: the ability of residents and nonresidents to purchase foreign currency with a given (domestic) currency without government restrictions
External convertibility: the ability of non- residents to purchase foreign currency with a given currency without government limitations
Nonconvertibility: the inability of residents and nonresidents to convert a given currency into foreign currency because of government limitations
[continued]

20. A government may control the convertibility of its currency through:
Fully convertible currencies are those that govern-ments allow both residents and nonresidents to purchase in unlimited amounts, i.e., they are freely traded and accepted by central banks.
Hard currencies are fully convertible, relatively stable, and tend to be comparatively strong. Soft (weak) currencies are not fully convertible.
A government may control the convertibility of its currency through:
licensing
a multiple exchange rate system
advance import deposits
quantity controls
Currency controls add to the cost of doing business and thus serve as serious impediments to trade and investment.

21. The Uses of Foreign Exchange
The role of commercial banks:
buy and sell foreign exchange
serve as vehicles for payments between domestic and foreign customers
lend money in foreign denominations
Business purposes:
settlement of international business transactions
hedging [risk reduction through loss protection]
speculation [currency trading on expectations of future prices]
arbitrage [risk-free profit based on price differentials]
interest arbitrage

22. The Fx Trading Process
To settle foreign exchange balances, companies may work through:
local banks
commercial and investment banks (OTC market)
securities exchange brokers
Banks deal with each other in the interbank market, primarily through foreign-exchange brokers.
Brokers are specialist intermediaries who facilitate transactions in the interbank market by matching the best bid and offer quotes.
Banks’ fx dealers can trade foreign exchange:
directly with other dealers
through voice brokers
through electronic brokerage systems

23. Fig. 9.4: Structure of Foreign Exchange Markets

24. Fig. 9.5: Foreign Exchange Transactions

25. The Over-the-Counter Market: Commercial and Investment Banks
Top banks in the interbank fx markets are so ranked because of their ability to:
• trade in specific market locations
• handle major currencies
• handle major cross trades
• deal in specific currencies
• handle derivatives (forwards, options, futures, swaps)
• conduct key market research

26. Top OTC and Commercial and Investment Banks: Fx Trades
ESTIMATED BEST IN BEST IN BEST IN BEST IN
TRADING BANK MKT.SHARE LONDON NEW YORK EURO/US$ US$/YEN
1. Deutsche Bank %
2. UBS Warburg %
3. Citigroup %
4. HSBC %
5. Barclays % —
6. JP Morgan %
7. ABN Amro %
8. Merrill Lynch % — — — —
9. Goldman Sachs %
10.Morgan Stanley % — — —
Source: “2005 Euromoney Foreign Exchange Poll,” Euromoney (May 2005).

27. U.S. Securities Exchanges
U.S. exchanges where fx instruments (primarily options and futures) are traded include:
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME): offers futures and futures options contracts in more than a dozen foreign currencies
Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX): the only U.S. exchange that trades foreign currency options; lists six dollar-based standardized currency options contracts
Although options cost more than futures, large firms prefer options because of their greater flexibility and convenience.

28. Global Capital Markets: Eurocurrencies
Eurocurrency: any currency banked outside its country of origin
Eurocurrency market: an offshore, wholesale currency market [started with the deposit of U.S. dollars in London banks]
Eurodollars: dollars banked outside of the United States, i.e., a certificate of deposit in dollars in a bank located outside of the U.S.
(constitute 65-80% of the Eurocurrency market)
Eurocurrencies are also known as offshore currencies, while currencies banked within their country of origin are known as onshore currencies.

29. Major Sources of Eurocurrencies
Foreign governments or individuals who want to hold dollars outside of the United States
MNEs that have cash in excess of current needs
European banks with foreign currency in excess of current needs
Countries such as Germany, Japan, and Taiwan that have large balance-of-trade surpluses held as reserves

30. Demand for Eurocurrencies
Demand for Eurocurrencies reflects:
greater convenience
increased security
lower rates and thus higher yields
Demand for Eurocurrencies comes from:
sovereign governments
supranational agencies (e.g., the World Bank)
firms and individuals

31. Eurocurrency Borrowing
Eurocredit: a type of loan or line of credit that matures in one to five years
Syndication: the process of pooling the specific resources of several banks in order to spread the risks associated with large loans
London Inter-bank Offered Rate (LIBOR): reflects the interest rate London banks charge one another for short-term Eurocurrency loans
[Traditional loans are made at a certain percentage above the LIBOR.]

32. Global Capital Markets: International Bonds
Foreign bonds: sold outside of the borrower’s home country but denominated in the currency of the country of issue
Eurobonds: sold in countries other than the one in whose currency the bond is denominated; usually underwritten by a syndicate of banks from different countries; typically sold over-the-counter
Global bond: registered in different national markets according to the registration requirements of each market; traded simultaneously in numerous capital markets
Eurobonds may have currency options which allow the creditor to demand repayment in one of several currencies, thus reducing the exchange risk.

33. Global Capital Markets: Equity Securities
Private placement: an investment by a venture capitalist or other private party in exchange for stock
Market capitalization: the total number of shares listed times the market price per share
The three largest markets in the world are New York, Tokyo, and London.
The growth of emerging stock markets has been very sensitive to global economic conditions and events.

34. Map 9.2: Market Capitalization, 2001 (US$ Bil.)

35. Fig. 9.6: Growth of Emerging Stock Markets

36. Global Capital Markets: The Euroequity Market
Euroequity market: shares sold outside the boundaries of the issuing firm’s home country; issuing stock simultaneously in two or more countries in order to attract capital from a wider variety of shareholders
Global share offering: the simultaneous offering of actual shares on different stock exchanges
A major source of competition to the world’s traditional stock exchanges is the electronic trading of stocks through companies such as E*Trade.
[continued]

37. In addition to ADRs, there are:
American Depository Receipt (ADR): a negotiable certificate issued by a U.S. bank that represents underlying shares of stock of a foreign corporation held in trust at a custodial bank in a foreign country
In addition to ADRs, there are:
global depository receipts
European depository receipts
Depository receipts are traded like stocks, with each receipt representing some number of shares of an underlying stock.

38. Implications/Conclusions
• Approximately U.S. $1.2 trillion in foreign exchange is traded each day.
The major institutions that trade foreign exchange are the large commercial and investment banks (over-the-counter) and securities exchanges.
[continued]

39. The U.S. dollar is the most widely traded currency in the world, but London represents the main foreign exchange market in the world.
Some players buy and sell foreign exchange to settle trade transactions, some for purposes of foreign direct investment, others for purposes of portfolio investment, and still others for arbitrage and speculation.

40. Bretton Woods

41. Largest Contributors

42. US Dollar Movements

43. IMF Members’ Exchange Rate Policies, 2000

44. Incidence of Currency Crises 1975-1997
Number of Currency Crises per Country

45. Incidence of Banking Crises 1975-1997
Number of Banking Crises per Country

46. Peso Movements 94 95

47. Decline of the Ruble
Rubles/dollar

48. Impact of the Asian Financial Crisis on US Imports

49. Devalued Currency
1997
1998