1. Ireland’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions & Projections for Agriculture 1990-2013 and 2014-2035 DAFM Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Consultation Seminar 15/05/2015 Paul Duffy, Bernard Hyde, Emilia Hanley, Saniul Alam, Brian Quirke

2. Overview nWhat is an emission inventory for agriculture nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 1990-2013 nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 2014-2035 nFuture data requirements – how can we account for mitigation nConclusions

3. National Emission Inventory Livestock Nitrogen fertilizer CattleSheepPigsPoultry GrazingHousedManure Management Housing type Duration Storage Land application Manure type Store type Other Livestock Lime

4. Emission sources and gases nEnteric Fermentation – CH 4 nManure Management – CH 4 & N 2 O nAgricultural Soils – N 2 O nDirect emissions – All forms of nitrogen nIndirect emissions – Atmospheric deposition of NH 3, leaching and runoff nUrea Application – CO 2 nLime Application – CO 2 nRice Cultivation, Prescribed Burning of Savannas, Field Burning of Agricultural Residues, Other carbon containing fertilizers and Other not included

5. Livestock categories nCattle nDairy Cattle nNon-Dairy Cattle nSheep nGoats nHorses nMules and Asses nSwine nPoultry nDeer nFur farming nOther – Alpacas ?

6. Livestock Categories (contd) CattleSheepPoultry Dairy cows Ewes Lowland Layers Other CowsEwes Upland Broilers Dairy HeifersRams Lowland Turkeys Other HeifersRams UplandGeese Cattle < 1 yrs - maleOther Sheep>1 - LowlandDucks Cattle < 1 yrs - femaleOther Sheep>1 - Upland Cattle 1 - 2 yrs - maleLambs - Lowland Other livestock Cattle 1 - 2 yrs - femaleLambs - Upland Horses Cattle > 2 yrs - male Mules and Asses Cattle > 2 yrs - female Pigs Goats BullsGilts in PigFarmed Deer Gilts not yet ServedMink and foxes Sows in Pig Other Sows for Breeding Boars Pigs 20 Kg + Pigs Under 20 Kg

7. Activity data nLivestock statistics – C.S.O. and DAFM nFertilizer statistics – DAFM nLime statistics – DAFM nFeeding practice info – Irish Research and IPCC Guidelines nManure Management data – Farm Facilities Survey 2003 & NFS 2010

8. National Emission Inventory Livestock Nitrogen fertilizer CattleSheepPigsPoultry GrazingHousedManure Management Housing type Duration Storage Land application Manure type Store type Other Livestock Lime

9. Overview nWhat is an emission inventory for agriculture nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 1990-2013 nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 2014-2035 nFuture data requirements – how can we account for mitigation nConclusions

10. GHG Emissions in Agriculture 1990-2013

11. GHG Emissions in Agriculture in non ETS 1990-2013

12. Drivers in Agriculture – Livestock 1 population 1990-2013 (relative trend)

13. Drivers in Agriculture – Livestock 2 population 1990-2013 (relative trend)

14. Drivers in Agriculture – Soils 1990-2013 (relative trend)

15. Overview nWhat is an emission inventory for agriculture nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 1990-2013 nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 2014-2035 nFuture data requirements – how can we account for mitigation nConclusions

16. Projected greenhouse gas emissions nTeagasc (FAPRI-Ireland) provide projections of animal numbers, crop statistics and N fertilizer use to 2035 nAssumes full implementation of FH2020 nPolicies and Measures nFertilizer - inhibitors

17. GHG Emissions and projection in Agriculture 1990-2035

18. Drivers in Agriculture – Livestock 1 population 1990-2035 (relative trend)

19. Drivers in Agriculture – Soils 1990-2035 (relative trend)

20. Overview nWhat is an emission inventory for agriculture nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 1990-2013 nGreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture 2014-2035 nFuture data requirements – how can we account for mitigation nConclusions

21. Data nInventory data hungry nReflect “real world/in the field” conditions ! nHowever, more data needed – manure management practices nHow can we assess mitigation options when we don’t know what the baseline is ?

22. Data nUrgent need to collate manure management data nSome information is available nResearch nOrigin Green nFarm Structure Survey nCarbon Calculator nNational Farm Survey nNeed for continuous assessment nMonitor effect of polices against a particular baseline nReport these effects in national inventory and projections estimates nNot just an issue for greenhouse gases – pollutant swapping/nutrient efficiency (N species) nAir pollutants – NH 3, NMVOC, PM and NO x nNitrates Directive and Water Framework Directive

23. Conclusions nNational inventories and projections nTrends 1990-2013 & 2014-2035 nFurther info available nInventory and Projections estimates are data hungry nUrgent need for management data nNeed for continuous assessment of management data nAssessment of mitigation options n“Real world/in the field” emissions nAlso need to consider other pollutants nPollutant swapping – NH 3, NO x, N 2 O nOther pollutants – PM, NMVOC nIn conjunction and not in isolation