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1 Common Stocks Residual Owners: o Stockholders of a firm are entitled to dividend income derived from the firm’s earnings. Stocks may provide a steady stream of current income through dividends. Stocks may increase in value over time through capital gains.
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3 Market Performance Routine Decline: a drop of 5% or more in one of the major market indexes, like the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Correction: a drop of 10% or more in one of the major market indexes Bear Market: a drop of 20% or more in one of the major market indexes
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4 Stock Returns: Both price changes, called capital gains, and dividend income: Over past 50 years, stock returns have ranged from +48.28% in 1954 to -21.45% in 1974 Stock returns over past 50 years have averaged around 11% From 1998 through mid-’03, DJIA averaged 1.7%
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5 Provide opportunity for higher returns than other investments Over past 50 years, stocks averaged 11% and high- grade corporate bonds averaged 6% Good inflation hedge since returns typically exceed the rate of inflation Easy to buy and sell stocks Price and market information is easy to find in financial media Unit cost per share of stock is low enough to encourage ownership
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8 Stocks are subject to many different kinds of risk: Business risk Financial risk Market risk Event risk Hard to predict which stocks will go up in value due to wide swings in profits and general stock market performance Low current income compared to other investment alternatives
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10 Stock Split: when a company increases the number of shares outstanding by exchanging a specified number of new shares of stock for each outstanding share Usually done to lower the stock price to make it more attractive to investors Stockholders end up with more shares of stock that sells for a lower price Investor with 200 shares in a 2-for-1 stock split would have 400 shares after the stock split If the stock price was $100 before the split, the price would be near $50 after the split
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11 Treasury Stock: shares of stock that were originally sold by the company and have been repurchased by the company. Share repurchases are often called “buybacks.” Reduces the number of shares outstanding to public Companies buyback when they believe stock is undervalued and a good buy Companies may try to raise undervalued stock price or prop up overvalued stock price May be used for employee stock option plans
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12 Classified Common Stock: common stock issued in different classes, each of which offers different privileges and benefits to its holders Different shares may have different voting rights Often used to allow a relatively small group to control the voting of a publicly-trade company Ford family owns “B” shares and other investors own “A” shares; Ford family controls 40% of Ford Motor Company May have different dividend payout schedules
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14 Par Value: the stated, or face, value of a stock Mainly an accounting term and not very useful to investors Book Value: the amount of stockholders’ equity The difference between the company’s assets minus the company’s liabilities and preferred stock Market Value: the current price of the stock in the stock market
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15 Market Capitalization: the overall current value of the company in the stock market Total number of shares outstanding multiplied by the market value per share Investment Value: the amount that investors believe the stock should be trading for, or what they think it’s worth Probably the most important measure for a stockholder
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16 Earnings Per Share: the amount of annual earnings available to common stockholders, stated on a per-share basis
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17 Dividends Dividend income is one of the two basic sources of return to investors. Dividend income is more predictable than capital gains, so preferred by investors seeking lower risk. Dividends are taxed at maximum 15% tax rate, same as capital gains. Dividends tend to increase over time as companies’ earnings grow; increases average 3-5% per year. Dividends represent the return of part of the profit of the company to the owners, the stockholders.
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18 Dividend Payout Ratio: the portion of earnings per share (EPS) that a firm pays out as dividends Companies are not required to pay dividends Some companies have high EPS, but reinvest all money back into company
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19 Key Dates for Dividends
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20 Dividends and Dividend Yield Dividend Yield: a measure to relate dividends to share price on a percentage basis Indicates the rate of current income earned on the investment dollar Convenient method to compare income return to other investment alternatives
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21 Stock Dividend: payment of a dividend in the form of additional shares of stock Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIPs): plans where cash dividends are automatically reinvested into additional shares of the firm’s common stock Over 1,000 companies offer DRIPs Usually have no brokerage fees Uses dollar-cost averaging
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22 Blue Chip Stocks: financially strong, high-quality stocks with long and stable records of earnings and dividends Companies are leaders in their industries Relatively lower risk due to financial stability of company Popular with investing public looking for steady growth potential, perhaps dividend income Provide shelter during unsettled markets Examples: Wal-Mart, Proctor & Gamble, Microsoft, United Parcel Service, Pfizer and 3M Company
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23 A Blue Chip Stock
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24 Income Stocks: stocks with long and sustained records of paying higher-than average dividends Dividends tend to increase over time (unlike interest payments on bonds) Examples: Verizon, Conagra Foods, Pitney Bowes.
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26 Growth Stocks: stocks that experience high rates of growth in operations and earnings Investors expect higher price appreciation due to increasing earnings; pay little or no dividends Examples: Lowe’s, Harley-Davidson, Starbucks, Kohls
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28 Speculative Stocks: stocks that offer potential for substantial price appreciation, usually due to some special situation such as a new product. Examples: Chipotle, P.F. Chang’s, Quicksilver.
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30 Tech Stocks: stocks representing the technology sector of the market Small companies that have never shown a profit and blue chip stocks of large companies that are growth-oriented Difficult to put value on due to erratic or no earnings Examples: Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Dell.
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32 Cyclical Stocks: stocks whose earnings and overall market performance are closely linked to the general state of the economy Best for investors willing to move in and out of market as economy changes Examples: Caterpillar, Maytag Corp.
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34 Defensive Stocks: stocks that tend to hold their value, and even do well, when the economy starts to falter Stock price remains stable or increases when general economy is slowing Products are staples that people use in good times and bad times, such as electricity, beverages, foods and drugs; Gold stocks. Best for aggressive investors looking for “parking place” during slow economy Examples: Proctor & Gamble, WD-40
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36 Market Capitalization Small-Cap Stocks: under $1 billion Mid-Cap Stocks: $1 billion to $4 or $5 billion Large-Cap Stocks: more than $4 or $5 billion
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37 Small-Cap Stocks: small companies with market capitalizations less than $1 billion Provide opportunity for above-average returns (or losses) Usually do not have a financial track record Earnings tend to grow in spurts and can have dramatic impact on stock price Usually not widely-traded; liquidity is issue Examples: Rubio’s, Hot Topic, Sonic Corp.
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38 Mid-Cap Stocks: medium-sized companies with market capitalizations between $1 billion and $4 or $5 billion Provide opportunity for greater capital appreciation than Large-Cap stocks, but less price volatility than Small- Cap stocks Usually have long-term track records for profits and stock valuation “Baby Blues” offer same characteristics of Blue Chip stocks except size Examples: Wendy’s, Barnes & Noble, Petsmart, Cheesecake Factory
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39 Large-Cap Stocks: large companies with market capitalizations over $4 or $5 billion Number of companies is smaller, but account for 80% to 90% of the total market value of all U.S. equities Bigger is not necessarily better Tend to lag behind small-cap and mid-cap stocks, but typically have less volatility Examples: AT&T, General Motors, Microsoft
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40 Investing in Foreign Stocks Globalization of financial markets is growing U.S. equity market is less than 50% of world equity markets Six countries make up 80% of world equity market U.S. market remains largest and one of best performing equity markets Much of performance of non-U.S. markets is due to changes in currency exchange rates
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41 Going Global International investing is more complex and riskier than domestic investing International investing requires investors to be right on more factors: Must pick right stock Must pick right market Must pick correct direction for currency exchange rate fluctuations
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42 Returns on International Investments Stronger U.S. dollar has negative impact on foreign investments Weaker U.S. dollar has positive impact on foreign investments
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43 Stock Investment Strategies Buy-and-Hold Investors buy high-quality stocks and hold them for extended time periods Goal may be current income and/or capital gains Investors often add to existing stocks over time Very conservative approach; value-oriented
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44 Strategies Current Income Investors buy stocks that have high dividend yields Safety of principal and stability of income are primary goals May be preferable to bonds because dividends levels tend to increase over time Often used to provide to supplement other income, such as in retirement
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45 Strategies Quality Long-Term Growth Investors buy high-quality growth stocks, mid-cap stocks and tech stocks Capital gains are primary goal Higher level of risk due to emphasis on capital gains Significant trading of stocks may occur over time Diversification is used to spread risk “Total Return Approach” is version that emphasizes both capital gains and high income
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46 Strategies Aggressive Stock Management Investors buy high-quality growth stocks, blue chip stocks, mid-cap stocks, tech stocks and cyclical stocks Capital gains are primary goal High level of risk due to emphasis on capital gains Investors aggressively trade in and out of stocks, often holding for short periods Timing the market is key element Time consuming to manage
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47 Strategies Speculation and Short-Term Trading Also called “day trading” Buy speculative stocks, small-cap stocks and tech stocks Capital gains are primary goal High risk due to emphasis on capital gains in short time period Trade in and out of stocks, often holding for extremely short periods Looking for “big score” on unknown stock Time consuming & high trading costs
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48 Review 1.The investment appeal of common stocks. 2.Historical stock returns and how measured. 3.Dividends. 4.Different kinds of common stock values. 4.Types of common stocks. 5.Strategies.
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