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SUCCESS IN MULTI-ASSET CLASS INVESTING
CI Investment Consulting Neal Kerr, SVP Alfred Lam, MBA, CFA, VP & Portfolio Manager Yoonjai Shin, CFA, Director
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AGENDA CI’s multi-manager excellence
Investment Consulting Team and philosophy Performance highlights Investment process Outlook
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MULTI-MANAGER EXCELLENCE
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CI INVESTMENT CONSULTING TEAM
Alfred Lam, CFA VP & Portfolio Manager Investment strategy / Asset allocations Fund selection/ Currency strategy Communications Lewis Harkes, CFA Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis Performance reporting Yoonjai Shin, CFA Director Fund/manager analysis Asset allocations Currency strategy Fund selection Project management Andrew Ashworth Analyst Fund/manager analysis Cash flow management Performance reporting Marchello Holditch, CFA Senior Analyst Fund/manager analysis
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$20 billion in assets under management
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT $20 billion in assets under management
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INDUSTRY RECOGNITION Best Fund of Funds Award - 2011
Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Award Morningstar Awards © Morningstar Inc. All Rights Reserved. Lipper Fund Awards are given by Lipper, Inc. to recognize funds that have provided superior consistency and risk-adjusted returns when compared to a group of similar funds. Awards are given to the fund with the highest value within its category for the time periods of three, five and 10 years according to the Lipper Leader ratings for Consistent Return, which reflect funds’ historic returns, adjusted for volatility, relative to peers. Lipper Leader ratings change monthly. For more information, see lipperweb.com. Although Lipper makes reasonable efforts to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the data contained herein, the accuracy is not guaranteed by Lipper. Users acknowledge that they have not relied upon any warranty, condition, guarantee, or representation made by Lipper. Any use of the data for analyzing, managing, or trading financial instruments is at the user’s own risk. This is not an offer to buy or sell securities. Portfolio Series Income Fund (Class A) was named Best Global Fixed Income Balanced Fund in February 2013 for the three and five-year periods ending Oct. 31, 2012, out of a category total of 26 and 19 funds, respectively.
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WHAT ARE YOU INVESTING FOR?
For fun? To get exposure to the markets? For stability and to grow wealth?
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TOTAL RETURN EQUATION Optimize Manage/Reduce Minimize Total return = Asset mix + Alpha + Market Beta + Currency – Tax – Fees Maximize Manage Reduce
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FORWARD-LOOKING ASSET MIXES
Price-Earnings Multiples Based on 12 Month Forward Operating Earnings Bottom Up Earnings Based on CPMS (TSE) and IBES (S&P) Consensus 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 TSX S&P 500 Overweight US Cumulative returns from April 2011 to August 2013: S&P/TSX -2.8% S&P 500 C$ +40.4% Source: TD Securities
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DYNAMIC INCOME ASSET MIX TO ACHIEVE SUPERIOR RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS
Weighting (%) 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 2013Q2 Target Cash 12 15 21 27 34 24 0% Government & Investment grade debt 49 44 41 36 31 60% High yield Corporate Bonds 22 19 18 13 20% High-dividend Stocks 20 Duration (years) 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.1 3.3 3.1 Represented by Portfolio Select Series: Select Income Managed Corporate Class [CIG 2265] Source: CI Investments
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ACTIVE SECTOR AND STOCK SELECTION
Source: CI Investments, Wilshire Associates. Data as of July 31, 2013
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CURRENCY MANAGEMENT ALSO SETS US APART
11.7% cumulative added value 10% hedged 30% hedged 30% hedged 50% hedged 70% hedged Dynamic hedging introduced Source: Bloomberg, CI Investments
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Long-term Government of Canada bond yield
INVESTMENT PROCESS 1. Income markets Average yield of Gov’t of Canada bonds with at least 10 years to maturity 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Long-term Government of Canada bond yield Implications: Low expected return: ~2% with 100% fixed income Increased volatility and downside Source: TD Securities
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INVESTMENT PROCESS 2. Power of multi-asset class optimization
25% equity 75% cash higher expected return lower volatility Base case
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Select Income Managed - CIG 2265
INVESTMENT PROCESS 3. Add-on’s to cash 25% equity currencies high yield bonds investment grade REITs further enhance returns & diversification reduce volatility add-on’s to outperform cash 75% Select Income Managed - CIG 2265
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+ INVESTMENT PROCESS 4. Add equity for longer-term horizons
Select Income Managed + Canadian equity U.S. equity EAFE equity EM equity
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SOLUTION FOR AN INVESTOR
Expected Return % . . PE expansion . . . Gov’t Bonds GIC Volatility 100i 100e 40i60e For illustration purposes only; there is no guarantee on results
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OUTLOOK: CANADA VS. U.S. Price-Earnings Multiples
Based on 12 Month Forward Operating Earnings Bottom Up Earnings Based on CPMS (TSE) and IBES (S&P) Consensus 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 TSX S&P 500 Source: TD Securities
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OUTLOOK: CANADA VS. U.S. 2013 2014 US 2.0% 3.2% Canada 1.6% 2.4%
GDP growth forecast US 2.0% 3.2% Canada 1.6% 2.4% Source: CIBC
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OUTLOOK: BOND MARKET Even though overnight rates have not changed, bonds have been volatile Government of Canada benchmark bond yields - 5 year GRAPH PERIOD: 1 year ending Sep 10, 2013 Buying Selling Source: Bank of Canada
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Thank You FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY
®CI Investments and the CI Investments design are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc. This communication is published by CI. Any commentaries and information contained in this communication are provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal investment advice. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained herein is accurate at the time of publication. However, CI cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no responsibility for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information contained herein. Facts and data provided by CI and other sources are believed to be reliable when posted. CI cannot guarantee that they are accurate or complete or that they will be current at all times. Information in this presentation is not intended to provide legal, accounting, investment or tax advice, and should not be relied upon in that regard. CI and its affiliates will not be responsible in any manner for direct, indirect, special or consequential damages howsoever caused, arising out of the use of this presentation. You may not modify, copy, reproduce, publish, upload, post, transmit, distribute, or commercially exploit in any way any content included in this presentation. You may download this presentation for your activities as a financial advisor provided you keep intact all copyright and other proprietary notices. Unauthorized downloading, re-transmission, storage in any medium, copying, redistribution, or republication for any purpose is strictly prohibited without the written permission of CI. Thank you
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