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Jorge G. Gonzalez Against All Odds The Mexican Economy.

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Presentation on theme: "Jorge G. Gonzalez Against All Odds The Mexican Economy."— Presentation transcript:

1 Jorge G. Gonzalez Against All Odds The Mexican Economy

2 Recent Economic and Political Events ► U.S. recession and recovery  Exports to the U.S.  Remittances from the U.S.  Fluctuations in oil prices  Decline in direct foreign investment

3 Recent Economic and Political Events ► U.S. recession and recovery ► Export-led recession ► H1N1 Flu Virus ► Political gridlock ► Battle against organized crime

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6 Recent Economic and Political Events ► U.S. recession and recovery ► Export-led recession ► H1N1 Flu Virus ► Political gridlock ► Battle against organized crime ► Mexico – U.S. relationship

7 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle

8 Industrial Production Index (January 2000 = 100, January 2003 = 100) Source: Banco de México and FED www.banxico.org.mx; www.federalreserve.gov

9 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth

10 Real GDP % yearly change (2003 Prices) Source: INEGI www.inegi.gob.mx

11 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth ► Foreign direct investment

12 Foreign Direct Investment Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx DEM + NAFTA

13 Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx Debt Market Foreign Investment Billions of Dollars

14 Stock Market Foreign Investment Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

15 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth ► Foreign direct investment ► Mexican Peso and foreign sector

16 Exchange Rate Pesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

17 Exchange Rate Pesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

18 Inflation Differential vs. Exchange Rate Inflation Exchange Rate 344 266 Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

19 Merchandise Trade Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx Imports Exports

20 Family Remittances Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

21 Family Remittances Billions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

22 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth ► Foreign direct investment ► Mexican Peso and foreign sector ► Fiscal policy

23 Government Balance Balance / GDP Source: SHCP www.shcp.gob.mx

24 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth ► Foreign direct investment ► Mexican Peso and foreign sector ► Fiscal policy ► Price stability

25 Inflation Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

26 The Mexican Economy ► North American business cycle ► GDP growth ► Foreign direct investment ► Mexican Peso and foreign sector ► Fiscal policy ► Price stability

27 ► Rule of law ► Mexico – U.S. relationship ► War on poverty ► Energy sector and labor laws ► Domestic antitrust and competition ► Political Landscape  PRI: Enrique Peña Nieto  PRD: Marcelo Ebrard  PAN: ? Current Challenges

28 www.trinity.edu/jgonzal1 jorge.gonzalez@trinity.edu Against All Odds The Mexican Economy


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