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© Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Analysis of Asymmetries of Trade Statistics between Germany and China.

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Presentation on theme: "© Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Analysis of Asymmetries of Trade Statistics between Germany and China."— Presentation transcript:

1 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Analysis of Asymmetries of Trade Statistics between Germany and China

2 Statistisches Bundesamt © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics

3 Statistisches Bundesamt Year German imports Country of origin China Chinese exports Country of final destination Germany Asymmetry* Bn. US Dollar% 200329.117.5- 39,6 200441.823.8- 41,8 200550.832.5- 36,0 200661.240.3- 34,1 * (export-imports)/imports Eastward:China Germany

4 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Year German exports Country of destination China Chinese imports Country of origin Germany Asymmetry* Bn. US Dollar% 200320.724.3- 15,1 200426.130.4- 14,0 200526.430.7- 14,0 200634.637.9- 8,8 * (export-imports)/imports Westward:China Germany

5 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt German Imports from China 2005 Bn. US Dollar (Origin: German statistics) CN Other Countries DE Import DE Country of consignment CN: 32,9 Country of origin CN: 50,8 19,1 31,7 1,2 Other Countries* Export CN Country of destination DE: 32,5 *under that Hongkong: 9,3 Netherlands: 4,5 1,6 Re-export of Chinese goods

6 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Year German imports China as the country of consignment (China as the country of origin) Chinese exports Germany as the country of final destination Asymmetry * (CIF/FOB) Asymmetry * (FOB/FOB) Bn. US Dollar% 200317.7 (29.1)17.5- 0,9 (-39,6)5,1 200426.2 (40.8)23.8- 9,4 (-41,8)- 4,0 200532.9 (50.8)32.5- 1,2 (-36,0)4,7 200640.9 (61.2)40.3- 1,3 (-34,1)4,6 * (export-imports)/imports Westward:China Germany

7 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Chinese Imports from Germany 2005 Bn. US Dollar (Origin: Chinese statistics) DE Other Countries CN Import CN Country of consignment DE: 25,0 Country of origin DE: 30,7 9,8 20,9 4,1 Other Countries* Export DE Country of destination CN: 26,4 *under that Hongkong: 4,7 Netherlands: 1,9 Belgium: 1,7

8 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Year German exports China as the country of destination Chinese imports Germany as the country of consignment (Germany as country of origin) Asymmetry* Bn. US Dollar% 200320.719.3 (24.3)+ 6,8 (-15,1) 200426.124.8 (30.4)+ 5,1 (-14,0) 200526.425.0 (30.7)+ 5,6 (-14,0) * (export-imports)/imports Eastward:China Germany

9 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Chinese Imports from Germany 2005 Bn. US Dollar DE Other Countries CN Import CN Country of consignment DE: 25,0 Country of origin DE: 30,7 9,8 20,9 4,1 Other Countries* Export DE Country of destination CN: 26,4 *under that Hongkong: 4,7 Netherlands: 1,9 (0,35) Belgium: 1,7

10 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Year German exports China as the country of destination Chinese imports Germany as the country of consignment (adjusted) Asymmetry * (CIF/FOB) Asymmetry * (FOB/FOB) Bn. US Dollar% 200320.722.1- 6,4- 0,8 200426.127.7- 5,9- 0,2 200526.428.0- 5,6- 0,0 * (export-imports)/imports Eastward:China Germany

11 © Statistisches Bundesamt, Division Foreign Trade Statistics Statistisches Bundesamt Main reasons for discrepancies between Chinese and German foreign trade figures  Differing declaration of the partner country “Hongkong-effects”, “Rotterdam-effects”  Evaluation of transactions (“fob” for exports, “cif” for imports)  Differing methods for detecting market prices  Over (under) estimation of export (import) values  Specific movements (processing, repair, involvement of warehouses


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