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Chapter 10: Growth – Long run Facts of Growth From fluctuations (Short and Medium runs) to growth (Long run)
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Characterization of three worlds (on average) 1 st World: -Rich, Healthy, Educated, Happy 2 nd World: -Moderate Income, Moderate Health, Moderate Education and Moderate Happiness 3 rd World: -Poor, Diseases, Low Education, Wars, Corruption, Depression
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Case of US (Real GDP in 2005 dollars)
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Case of US (Real GDP per capita in 2005 dollars)
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Standard of living Question: How do we understand whether a country has a higher standard of living than some other country? E.g. China and Luxembourg ChinaLuxembourg
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Standard of living (cont’d) Potential candidate: GDP Problem: China’s GDP is 121 times the GDP of Luxembourg. But standard of living in Luxembourg is much higher! Solution: look at GDP per capita GDP per capita in Luxembourg is 18 times higher than in China
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Standard of living (cont’d) Is GDP per capita without its problems? - Everything is much cheaper in China (including food, housing, appliances etc.) So, $6000 in China will buy more than $6000 in Luxembourg Solution: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Look at how much they can purchase with the respective per capita GDP amount.
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Growth in advanced countries
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Does Money lead to Happiness?
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Convergence Growth Rate of GDP Per Person since 1950 versus GDP per Person in 1950; OECD Countries
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Convergence Growth Rate of GDP per Person since 1960, versus GDP Per Person in 1960 (2005 dollars); 76 Countries
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Growth – A primer Did you really think you could dodge math?? Production function: Y = F(K, N) CRS: doubling all factors exactly doubles output DRS: doubling all factors results in less than a double increase in output IRS: doubling all factors results in more than a double increase in output
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Growth – Output per worker Y/N is output per worker K/N is capital per worker We would like to model growth in an economy Let’s consider the contribution of a single worker:
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Growth – Output per worker Under constant returns to scale: Decreasing marginal product of capital: Each added capital unit adds less to output than the previous unit
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Growth – Output per worker What happens when there is a shift in technology?
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