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Reliable & Resilient The Value of Our Existing Coal Fleet An Assessment of Measures to Improve Reliability & Efficiency While Reducing Emissions May 2014 – www.nationalcoalcouncil.orgwww.nationalcoalcouncil.org
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National Coal Council The National Coal Council provides advice and recommendations to the Secretary of Energy on general policy matters relating to coal and the coal industry. NCC is a Federal Advisory Committee organized under FACA legislation.
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Study Leadership & Lead Authors NCC Chair ~ John Eaves, President & CEO, Arch Coal Coal Policy Comt. Chair ~ Fred Palmer, Sr. VP Peabody Energy CPC Vice Chair ~ Bill Brownell, Chairman, Hunton & Williams Study Chair & NCC Vice Chair ~ Jeff Wallace, VP, Southern Co. Study Technical Chair ~ Steve Wilson, GM R&D, Southern Co. Lead Author ~ Doug Carter, Independent Energy Consultant Author ~ Ed Cichanowicz, Independent Engineering Consultant Author ~ EPRI Team lead by Stu Dalton, Sr. Govt. Rep.
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Secretary Moniz’s Request “What can industry and the Department of Energy, separately and jointly, do to facilitate enhancing the capacity, efficiency and emissions profiles of the existing coal generation fleet in the United States through application of new and advanced technology? Such a study would also address the jobs implications of modification and addition of equipment at existing coal fired power plants.” January 31 st, 2014
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Polar Vortex 2014 “This country did not just dodge a bullet – we dodged a cannonball.” Nick Akins, CEO, American Electric Power
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Polar Vortex 2014
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Projected 2020 Energy Capacity by Fuel
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Estimated U.S. Primary Energy Consumption
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U.S. Electricity Generation by Energy Source
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U.S. Generation by Fuel 2012
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Generation Fuel Mix for All Power Generation Entities
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Generation Fuel Mix for Cooperatives
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Generation Fuel Mix for Public Power Utilities Source: AAPA
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Levelized Cost of Electricity
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Value of Existing Coal Fleet: Electricity Cost Savings
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Source of U.S. Electric Power Source: Data from DOE/EIA
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Average Retail Electricity Prices by State 2012 Source: Data from DOE/EIA
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Fuel Price Volatility
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Future Fuel Prices Source: Data from AEO-2014, DOE-EIA
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“Boom” is Still Ahead for U.S.
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Impact of Energy Costs on Discretionary Income Source: American Association of Blacks in Energy
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30% of Global Coal is in the U.S.
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U.S. Coal-Fueled Electricity Supply Chain Figure Courtesy of Peabody Energy
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Increasing Coal Use - Declining Emissions
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Power Plant Emission Trends
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U.S. GDP 1947-2013
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Annual U.S. Electricity Generation
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Monthly Generation from Natural Gas & Coal
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Henry Hub Spot Prices
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Natural Gas Price Predictions vs. Actual Price
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U.S. Coal-Fueled Generating Capacity Additions
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Coal Generating Capacity by State Based on EIA-FM 860 data
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Projected Coal Capacity in 2025 Based on EIA-FM 860 data
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DOE RD&D Budget for Coal Use Technologies
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Power Plant Efficiency Opportunities
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Coal Moisture Impact on Efficiency Source: Courtesy of E.ON.
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Condenser Fouling & Turbine Heat Rate Source: Australian Government Department of the Environment
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Schematic of Topping Cycle for Conventional Rankine Power Station
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CCS Pilot & Demonstration Plant Timeline
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www.nationalcoalcouncil.org www.nationalcoalcouncil.org/NEWS/NCCValueExistingCoalFleet.pdf Janet Gellici. EVP & Chief Operating Officer, NCC 202-223-1191 ~ jgellici@NCC1.orgjgellici@NCC1.org
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