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Water Science and Technology: Catalysing water - society transitions Glen Daigger & Ger Bergkamp IWA – The International Water Association 7 th World Water Forum Kick-off Daigu (Korea), 13 May 2013
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We have major challenges 1.8 billion people do not have access to safe water 2.5 billion people have no safe sanitary toilets that they can use in privacy 80% of urban and industrial wastewater is not de-polluted before re-use or discharge causing major pollution 250,000 km2 of dead zones existing in coastal water and oceans $ 160 billion is the 2013 damage by storms, floods, and other natural catastrophes
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We have agreed many things Halving, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water.”(Johannesburg, 2002) Halving, by the year 2015….the proportion of people who do not have access to basic sanitation.”(Johannesburg, 2002) “we intend to enhance policy coherence, adapt existing institutional arrangements and establish frameworks to maximize benefits and synergies across sectors” (Marseille, 2012) The World Water Forums moved from problems to focusing on solutions …and now IMPLEMENTATION
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To IMPLEMENT requires major changes in water management: Science & Technology are Key Transitions Innovation is key for making these transitions happen Science and Technology play big role in innovations and water & sanitation transitions of our societies in the coming decades
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Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum Rationale Innovation in the Water Sector Occurs Just Like in Other Sectors Water Can Become a Constraint on Other Sectors or an Enabler of Change Transformational Innovations Typically Come From Outside of Water Social, Cultural, and Political Factors, Along with Economics, Determines Adoption Let’s Solve Some Big Problems! Copyright © 2009 International Water Association
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Early Adopters Time Number of Installations Innovator s Early Majority Late Majority Laggards Like New Things Fund Research Seek Advantage Leaders Seek Advantage Copy Leaders Adopt Out of Necessity Avoid Disadvantage Adopt to Survive Rogers, E. M., Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press, NY, 2003.. Technology Transitions and Competition Technology Adoption Follows the Classic S-Curve
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Parker, D. S., “Introduction of New Process Technology Into the Wastewater Treatment Sector,” WEFTEC, 2010.. Technology Transitions and Competition Technology Adoption: S-Curve HPO Activated Sludge Treament
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Parker, D. S., “Introduction of New Process Technology Into the Wastewater Treatment Sector,” WEFTEC, 2010.. TF/SC Technology Transitions and Competition Technology Adoption: S-Curve Trickling Filter – Solids Contact Treatment
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Technology Transitions and Competition ENERGY - Log Scale - Changes in ORDERS of MAGNITUDE Grübler, et al., Energy Policy, 27, 1999, 247-280.
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Technology Transitions and Competition DESALINATION Slow adoption of new technology
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Innovation in the Water Sector Occurs Just Like in Other Sectors Water Can Become a Constraint on Other Sectors or an Enabler of Change Transformational Innovations Typically Come From Outside of Water Social, Cultural, and Political Factors, Along with Economics, Determines Adoption Let’s Solve Some Big Problems! Copyright © 2009 International Water Association Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum Rationale
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Vital Water Graphics: An Overview of the State of the World’s Fresh and Marine Waters,UNEP, 2008 Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change Water Use by Sectors Large variety of water uses across the world
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change Water Use by Sectors Water Supply & Sanitation: Major Gaps ~ 3 Billion no water at home or in the Vicinity (45 %) ~ 4 Billion no continuous Access to Water (60%) ~ 4.5 Billion With No Sewerage (70 %) ~ 5.5 Billion With No Treatment (80%)
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change Water - Energy Nexus Water for Energy Production and Vice Versa National Climate Assessment, Draft, 2013
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Water Interest are - Globally Agriculture is the Largest Consumer of Water Vital Water Graphics: An Overview of the State of the World’s Fresh and Marine Waters,UNEP, 2008 Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change Water – Agriculture Nexus Agriculture Water Demand Largest and Rising
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Environemtal Outlook Baseline – IMAGE suite models, PBL,2011 Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges 3.9 Billion People in Severe Water Stress Basins
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OECD 2050 scenarios Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Water Stress increase in BRIICS Countries OECD 2011.
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook – Unprecedented Challenges Water Quality deteriorating - 1970 OECD 2011
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Water Quality deteriorating - 2000 OECD 2011
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Water Quality deteriorating - 2030 OECD 2011
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Water Quality deteriorating - 2050 OECD 2011
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Water Quality deteriorating - 2050 OECD 2011
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Financial Risks increasingly seen by Business
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Sector Constraint & Enabler of Change 2050 Outlook - Unprecedented Challenges Business engaging in Water Risks & Solutions
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Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum Rationale Innovation in the Water Sector Occurs Just Like in Other Sectors Water Can Become a Constraint on Other Sectors or an Enabler of Change Transformational Innovations Typically Come From Outside of Water Social, Cultural, and Political Factors, Along with Economics, Determines Adoption Let’s Solve Some Big Problems! Copyright © 2009 International Water Association
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Kurzewil, R, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Penguin Group, NY, 2006. Transformational Innovations ICT sector - Log scale - Changes in ORDERS of MAGNITUDE
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Transformational Innovations Solar Energy - Log scale - Changes in ORDERS of MAGNITUDE
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Kurzewil, R, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Penguin Group, NY, 2006. Transformational Innovations EDUCATION sector : Expenditure 1950-2000: UP +1 order of magnitude
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Transformational Innovations Water & Resource Recovery Emerging technologies and early adoption
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Transformational Innovations Water & Energy Anaerobic sewage treatment: Carbon -> Biogas
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ICT Biotechnology Nanotechnology Materials AI - Robotics Sensors Business and Financing Models Governance Regulations Transformational Innovations “Outside Water Sector” 2013-2050: orders of magnitude change
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Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum Rationale Innovation in the Water Sector Occurs Just Like in Other Sectors Water Can Become a Constraint on Other Sectors or an Enabler of Change Transformational Innovations Typically Come From Outside of Water Social, Cultural, and Political Factors, Along with Economics, Determines Adoption Let’s Solve Some Big Problems!
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Social, Economic and Political Conditions GDP and Stock Market Growth 1890 – 2010/2050 Changes in Orders of Magnitude
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Project Aqueduct Social, Economic and Political Conditions Clustering of Water Challenges in Stress Areas 2050 Water Stress Projection
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Social, Economic and Political Conditions Constrains on Cost Effective Solutions India – Water availability Cost Curves
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Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum Innovation in the Water Sector Occurs Just Like in Other Sectors Water Can Become a Constraint on Other Sectors or an Enabler of Change Transformational Innovations Typically Come From Outside of Water Social, Cultural, and Political Factors, Along with Economics, Determines Adoption Let’s Solve Some Big Problems!
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Let’s Solve Some BIG Problems Access to Safe Water & Sanitation Rest of the World : Africa – South/South East Asia 2050: 1.9 Billion still no access to safe sanitation OECD 2011
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Let’s Solve Some BIG Problems Water Scarcity as the Oil Runs out North Africa – Middle East – West Asia
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Let’s Solve Some BIG Problems Salinization of Coastal Water Bangladesh
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Let’s Solve Some BIG Problems Degradation of Coastal Waters : Land Based Pollution USA – Europe – China – Japan – Korea
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Let’s Solve Some BIG Problems Resources Depletion Resources Recovery Nitrogen – Phosphorus – Metals – Energy – others
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01. Thematic Process Encouraging more active participation of policy-makers than before 02. Regional Process Collecting issues via virtual forum from various stakeholders 03. Political Process Opening on-line discussion room for each region 04. Science & Technology Process NEW 05. Water Expo, Side Events Developing diverse programs for people’s interest and involvement Sharing know-how & experience, Showcasing new technologies 42 Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum
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To explore Science and Technology aspects to address global water challenges and to share wisdom of innovative and appropriate tools and best practices Vision Concept & Strategic Direction Collecting WISDOM and Sharing Experience to address water challenges To provide diagnosis of water challenges of developing countries by sharing accumulated knowledge and experiences of water management of developed countries Pragmatic & Innovative Programs for Realization of CREATIVE ECONOMY Pioneering Integrated and Creative Future Market for Science, Technology and ICT - Future Technology, Appropriate Technology, Best Practice Science & Technology in the 7thWorld Water Forum
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