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Due Diligence on Wind Energy Projects Site Assessment
30. October 2012, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
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1) Introduction – Lahmeyer International GmbH 2) Site Assessment
Outline 1) Introduction – Lahmeyer International GmbH 2) Site Assessment 3) Bankability criteria 4) On-site wind measurement 5) Wind farm planning and layout Distances Turbulences Turbine and site suitability Environmental restriction 6) Wind studies 7) Norms and guidelines 8) Appendix
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Lahmeyer International GmbH
Overview Company Lahmeyer International GmbH (LI) Founding Year 1966 Headquarter Bad Vilbel, Germany Services Technical and economic planning and consulting services Fields of Activity - Energy - Hydropower and Water Resources - Transportation LI Group 6 Associated Companies Employees LI Group: 1500 Turnover LI Group: 150 million Euro Representatives in 50 Countries
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Hydropower and Water Resources Division
Lahmeyer International GmbH Divisions & Departments Hydropower and Water Resources Division Energy Division Transportation GE 1 – Electrical Engineering Interdisciplinary technical advisor…. … covering the whole energy industry. GE 2 – Transmission and Distribution GE 3 – Privately Financed Projects GE 4 – Thermal Power Plants GE 5 – Renewable Energies I GE 6 – Renewable Energies II – Wind Energy GE 7 – Economics and Energy Efficiency
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GE6 – Wind Energy Department
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Global Presence LI has provided wind energy services in over
65 different countries around the world.
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All our services are tailored to our Clients specific needs.
Consulting Services – Overview Wind Potential Assessment Feasibility Studies Contractual Services Due-Diligence Services Market Analysis Planning and Design Financial & Economic Services Construction Supervision Operation & Maintenance Services All our services are tailored to our Clients specific needs.
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GE 6 – Wind Energy Division
Key References Wind measurements masts installed > 240 Country wide wind mappings > 14 countries Wind potential evaluations > 300 wind farms CFD wind studies > 120 wind farms Feasibility studies > 80 wind farms (> 3,300 MW) Due diligence studies > 600 wind farms (>12,500 MW) Construction supervision > 60 wind farms (> 1,700 MW) Operation and maintenance supervision > 90 wind farms (> 2,800 MW) CFD: Computal fluid dynamics
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Example: Zafarana IV Wind Park, Egypt
GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Zafarana IV Wind Park, Egypt Client New and Renewable Energy Agency (NREA) Main Data Installed capacity: MW Number of wind turbines: Type of turbine: Gamesa: G52, 850 kW Annual Energy Generation: GWh p.a. Execution Services Implementation Plan Tender procedure (incl. O&M Contract) PPA and tariff elaboration Construction Supervision O&M Supervision O&M: Bankers and Owner Engeneering Supervision during Operation management: turbine inspection, Checking operation management, Training, Recommendation for technichal improvements
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Example: Gangwon Wind Farm, Korea
GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Gangwon Wind Farm, Korea Client Unison Corporation, Korea Main Data Installed capacity: 98 MW Number of wind turbines: 49 Type of turbine: Vestas V80 – 2.0MW Annual Energy Generation: 244 GWh p.a. Execution Services Project Management Complete Planning and Engineering Full-time Construction Supervision Site Management Commissioning Quality Control and Assurance O&M Supervision Additional key data: The electricity output is 244GWh per year. For grid connection a new substation and a 154kV power line was constructed. The total length of the power line is 10.3km with 7.5km performed as overhead line and the remaining 2.8km as underground cable. The site is complex with an average elevation of 1,100m above sea level and access roads of totally 27.6km have been built. The full project cost including financing amount to 160 billion Korean Won, equivalent to about 154 million US Dollars. The long project history goes back to year 2000 when our plans have been forwarded to the local province. In 2001 a MoU between Unison and Lahmeyer for the joint project development has been signed, the project company was founded in Korea and we completed the feasibility study for the project. Only in 2002 we got official information about the feed-in tariff. The rest of the year is straight-forward project development: Obtaining power license, clarifying issues with the Military radar, environmental impact, and land-lease agreements. Then two obstacles appeared: One is an aviation route marker in the vicinity, which required a comprehensive impact study by the specialist consultant NAVCOM and which required a re-routing of our power line. And second a part of the wind farm area is located in an area of national interest where any construction was prohibited until a new law made exemptions for renewable energies. Under this new law a 2nd environmental impact assessment was performed and finally the remaining part of the project was approved with one and half year delay. After that we could present the project to investors, prepare the information memorandum and mandate the bank arranger.
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Example: Development of 3 Wind Farms in Sudan
GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Development of 3 Wind Farms in Sudan Client MINISTRY of ELECTRICITY AND DAMS (MED), SUDAN Main Data Planned capacity: 30 MW Foreseen turbine type: 800 – 2,500 kW Execution Services Update of Feasibility Studies: Assessment of the available wind data Wind farm siting Energy yield calculation Supervision of wind measurement campaign Electrical and civil wind farm layout Review of electrical conditions Economical and financial analysis Steering of CDM registration process Design and Tendering Preparation of Conceptual Design Preparation of Tender Documents Coordination of Tender process and contract negotiations Construction supervision Supervision of Construction Acknowledging the huge potential for renewable energies in Sudan, the Ministry of Electricity and Dams of Sudan (MED) intends to develop renewable energy power projects in order to promote sustainable development. In the initial stage, MED has foreseen to focus on wind energy projects explicitly and awarded an owners engineering contract to Lahmeyer International (LI) for the forthcoming wind park projects. The first three wind farms to be developed shall be located at Nyala (located in Darfour State in western Sudan) and Dongola (located in the north of Sudan) where on-site wind measurements have been performed in 2001 and 2002 by Lahmeyer International. Afterwards, feasibility studies have been prepared on basis of the wind turbine technology available at that time. A third project, which shall be located at the Red Sea Coast, shall be developed in the near future once a 12 months wind measurements campaign which shall start in April 2011 is completed. The planned capacity of the three projects are: Nyala: MW Dongola: MW Red Sea Cost: 180 MW For these projects, MED has engaged Lahmeyer International as its consultant. In the initial stage of the three projects, LI will review and update the former feasibility studies and will coordinate the wind measurements. Subsequently, the design and tender process will be initiated. According to MED, the projects shall be implemented as soon as possible. Thus, it is planned to select the turbine supplier in mid of 2011.
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Example: Feasibility Study Wind Energy on Phu Quoc Island, Vietnam
GE 6 – Wind Energy Division Example: Feasibility Study Wind Energy on Phu Quoc Island, Vietnam Client Electricity of Vietnam Power Company No.2 Main Data 2 existing Diesel power stations: 7 MW (total installed capacity) O/HFO fired generation (end 2005): 5 MW Existing distribution network: OH; 22kV (MV); 0.4kV (LV) Forecasted total demand by the end of 2010: 50 MW Execution Services Phase II: Conceptual Design Power demand analysis Electrical grid qualitative analysis Optimization of the wind farm layout EIA and resettlement plan Phase I: Feasibility Study Wind Resource Assessment (Identification of the five most promising locations) Site selection Wind farm concept Basic calculation of Specific Electricity Generation
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Task of Site Assessment:
Measurement and analysis of wind conditions Benefit: Early knowledge may save your money in case of too low wind conditions Benefit: Knowledge about the risks, e.g. turbulences, extreme wind conditions Annual energy production Benefit: Allows you to calculated the profitability of your wind project (in case FIT is available) or to calculate the PPA Wind farm layout and micro-siting Benefit: Licensable layout, considering restrictions, e.g. environmental, setbacks towards roads, high voltage lines, railways, residents Benefit: Choice of most suitable turbine Environmental impact assessment Benefit: Helps you to improve your layout in case results exceeds local laws Country wide or area specific wind mapping Benefit: Know the hot spots
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Goals of Site Assessment:
Knowledge about the wind conditions of your site Wind speed Wind direction Turbulences Extreme wind condition Air density Site suitability Choice of right turbine type Layout respecting restrictions Bankable and reliable wind and energy study Calculation of the income side and profitability
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Bankability criteria Site Assessment
On-site wind measurements Modelling with proper models, like WAsP for simple terrain and CFD for complex Wind farm layout Distances Restrictions Turbulence Available land Turbine suitability Site suitability Bankable wind resource and energy studies by independent consultants Bankable is what a bank accepts, even if they deviate from norms, guidelines and common practice
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On-site wind measurement
Why on-site measurement, instead of only modeling? All models, regardless if static (WAsP) or dynamic (microscale CFD, meso scale atmospheric models) have inherent limitations. Especially extrapolation of wind speed to greater heights above ground is problematic and affected with high uncertainty. Turbulence data and vertical profile at a complex site can only precisely be determined by measurement Extreme wind speed calculation for turbine class assignment is more reliable with on site measured time series Indispensable precondition for project financing Additional data for temperature, humidity, pressure and solar radiation can be gathered Reduction of uncertainty because of „real“ wind data lowers risk for banks and investors increasing of your project value
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On-site wind measurement
Key requirements to wind measurements Representative mast position In complex terrain more than one mast Measurement height minimum 2/3 of planned hub height State-of-Art sensors „First Class“ anemometers Individually calibrated anemometers Measurement of wind speed, wind direction, temperature Optionally air pressure, humidity, flow inclination Wind speed sensors (anemometer) at minimum three different levels; minimum distance 20 m Wind direction at two heights Mounting and mast design according to IEC Annex G Measurement documentation according to Measnet Minimum measurement period 1 year Permanent monitoring during measurement to avoid major failures
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On-site wind measurement
Quality of energy results stands or falls with the wind measurement More technical details in Annex
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Wind Farm Planning and Layout
Defining site borders (land availability, etc.) Site access (nearby roads, complexity of the site, etc.) Exclusions areas (e.g. distance to suburban areas, houses, streets, etc.) Wind Resource Distances between the turbines Respecting restrictions (e.g. noise, shadow flicker, animals) Obstacles (Rivers, mountains, villages, roads, transmission lines and other obstacles)
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Wind Farm Planing and Layout
Turbulences Distances Restrictions Available land
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Distances Rule of thumbs:
3-5 rotor diameter distance 90° to the main wind direction 5-10 rotor diameters distance in main wind direction The larger the wind farm, the more distance should be kept Orientation: Minimum 90 % park efficiency (=10 % wake losses)
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Turbulence Wake turbulence
Source: Wake turbulence
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Turbine suitability Choosing the right turbine for the site
IEC Classification Hub height, rotor diameter Transport possibilities Availability (supply) Service possibilities Restriction Track record Proven technology Reputation of manufacturer Site suitability Assessment of IEC class and subclass Turbulence calculation Site suitability confirmation of manufacturer
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Site Suitability Analysis
Qualified on-site wind measurement required Assessment of IEC Classes: Reference wind speed (Max 10min wind speed in 50yrs) Average annual wind speed Turbulence Intensity Calculation of turbulence intensity including: Ambient and representative turbulence intensity Effective turbulence intensity Wind class I II III Vref 50 m/s 42.5 m/s 37.5 m/s Vave 10 m/s 8.5 m/s 7.5 m/s Turbulence class at 15 m/s A 18.0 % B 15.7 % C 13.5 %
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Site Suitability Analysis
IEC III are made to low wind region Huge rotor diameter compared to small rated capacity Examples: Manufacturer Turbine type Rotor-diameter [m] Hub height [m] Rated Power [kW] Vestas V112 112 84, 94, 119, 140 3000 V126 126 119 Nordex N117 117 91, 120, 141 2400 Gamesa G114 114 93, 120, 140 2000 Goldwind GW109 109 90 2500 GW106 106 80, 90
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Site Suitability Analysis
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Environmental restrictions
Shadow Distance to housing areas Noise Wild Live Endangered Species – Bird trails Landscape Distance to National Parks, Monuments, etc. Country specific requirements
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Wind park planning Wind park planning, available land and exclusion areas merged
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Wind park planning Wind resource map
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Wind park planning Wind park planning, micro siting at optimal positions
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Key requirements to a bankable wind study
Site visit Quality control of wind data Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP)-Procedures (gap filling) Long-term correlation with suitable long-term references Vertical / Horizontal Flow Modelling Procedure Gross energy yield Loss estimation Uncertainty estimation Probability of Exceedance (PoE)
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Relevant norms and guidelines
IEC Annex G Mounting of instruments on meteorological mast IEC Ed.3: Wind turbines – Part 1: Design Requirements Specifies essential design requirements to ensure the engineering integrity of wind turbines Measnet: Evaluation of site specific wind conditions Site inspection Relevant meteorological parameters Representativeness of wind measurements Measurement documentation Data evaluation and extrapolation Derived results Reporting Technical Guidelines for wind turbines Part 6: Determination of Wind Potential and Energy Yields German guideline published by non-profit organization: Foerdergesellschaft Windenergie e.V. (FGW)
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Thank you for your kind attention
Q & A Thank you for your kind attention Contact: Anil Bindal Tel: +49 (0) Website:
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Q & A Appendix
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On-site Wind measurement
Sensors well-designed State of the art: „ First Class“ cup anemometers, with high measurement accuracy and relatively high insensitivity regarding turbulence and low power consumption Wind speed sensors individually calibrated in wind tunnel Wind direction measured with wind vanes Redundant wind speed (on same height above ground) and direction sensors (different heights) Additional sensors for temperature, humidity, pressure and evtl. solar radiation poor-designed Source: IEA Expert group study: 11. Wind speed measurement and use of cup anemometry
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On-site Wind measurement
General recommendations for met mast siting Representative position within wind farm Covering of as much turbine positions as possible within representative radius Position free from obstacles within a radius of times obstacle height Position with regular flow conditions Not on or behind sharp ridges (recirculation zones) Not in depressions Preferably in flat area or on smooth shaped hills
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On-site Wind measurement
Placing of met mast(s) on the Wind farm site Questions to be answered: How many met masts are necessary? Which height of mast is necessary? Where to put the met mast(s)? Additional measurement of vertical profile necessary?
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On-site Wind measurement
Number of met mast(s) on the wind farm site Two terrain types can be distinguished! Simple terrain (Desert) Complex terrain (Italian Alps) - Minor Relief - Negligible influence of orography on wind speed - Wind conditions only influenced by roughness - Significant relief - Slopes with steepness > 30% - Wind conditions influenced by roughness and orography
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On-site Wind measurement
Representative radius of met masts Terrain type Minimum measurement height a. g. Representative radius of mast (max. distance of any wind turbine to mast) Simple Terrain: (Example Desert) 2/3 of hub height 10 km Complex Terrain: (Example Italian Alps) 2/3 of hub height (mast on plateau), hub height if mast on ridge 2 km Could be even less in very complex terrain - Significant relief - Slopes with steepness > 30% - Wind conditions influenced by roughness and orography Source: MEASNET-Evaluation of site specific wind conditions, 2009
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On-site Wind measurement
Flow disturbances of tubular and lattice tower
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On-site Wind measurement
Example of State-of-the-Art Design: Top Sensors Source: IEC standard Alternative according to IEC : no single top sensor, two sensors at same height mounted on booms.
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Site Assessment Example for State-of-the-art design: Lower sensors
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