1. World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water NOAA Satellite Conference 2013 WMO Space Programme www.wmo.int/sat WMO

2. Presentation Outline 1.Factors influencing WMO Priorities 2.WMO Vision and Priorities 3.Global Framework for Climate Services 4.Why are Spaced-based Observations Important to WMO 5.Challenges for Space- based Observations

3. WMO Mandate The UN specialized agency to coordinate weather, climate, hydrology and water resources, and related environmental issues among its 191 Member countries and territories Establishing standards and international observational networks Promoting free and open exchange of meteorological data in real-time Designating global/regional centres for provision of specialized products and services Furthering the application of meteorology to important economic sectors Encouraging and coordinate research and training in meteorology Coordinating capacity building in particular for less developed countries Fostering international partnerships among other UN and non UN structures

4. What are the drivers behind WMO's priorities?

5. Rising Public and Stakeholder Concerns... The past is no longer a trustworthy indicator of the future and New paradigms are required to support adaptive decision-making

6. Increase in mean near-surface temperature (°C) from (1989-98) to (1999-2008): ECMWF Reanalyses The World is Warming Key Question is it a single of a long term change?

7. © Compliments of the Met Office There is evidence.. Increased Occurrence of National Temperature and Precipitation Extremes (Source: WMO country data). The previous two decades recorded highest number of National 24hour Precipitation Record Highest number of broken National Maximum T° Records in 2001-2010 compared to the previous three decades Lowest number of broken National minimum T° Records in 2001-2010 compared to the previous three decades Fits with IPCC... more hot days and more heat waves less cool nights Intensification of heavy rainfall

8. What happens in the poles, does not stay in the poles...

9. Social and Economic concerns... Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database

10. Social Welfare Concerns...

11. Concerns... Shifting Demographics How we live –increasing urbanization –increasing our exposure Where we live –migration to coasts/flood plains –increasing our vulnerability Growing Population -> 9 Billion –rising demand for resources, energy, food and water

12. Australian fires, Feb 2009Cold winters, UK, 2009, 2010 Moscow heatwave, 2010 Pakistan flooding, 2010 UK flooding, July 2007 Protecting society against extreme weather events in the future requires predicting the climate at regional and local scales Growing sense of urgency… Natural variations are compounded by global warming may give unprecedented extremes

13. Exposure Vulnerability Weather and Climate Extremes Climate Change and Variability CHANGING Implications of Moving into Uncharted Territory? Risk

14. WMO Vision and Priorities beyond 2015...

15. WMO Vision... world class leadership, performance and International cooperation Its attributes: Develops the capability of all its Members especially the least developed and most vulnerable, Shares weather, climate and water information and services world-wide, Gains access to best-in-class expertise and participation from all its Members Fosters effective international as well as interdisciplinary cooperation and partnerships And strongly contributes to sustainability and development goals: Saving lives and livelihoods of all people Supporting economic benefits for all nations, responsible use and development of natural resources Informing strategies for resilience and preparedness Informing wise choices for (future) adaptation to weather and climate extremes

16. Strategic Priorities 2016 and Beyond Climate Services: Implementing the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) WIGOS/WIS: Implementation of integrated observation and information systems Disaster Risk Management: Aligning to new DRR Platform Safe Transportation: Services to aviation and marine Capacity Development: Focus on least developed countries Research: seamless prediction/polar and urban

17. Global Framework for Climate Services

18. GFCS Offers... an operational climate service at global, regional and national levels accessible to all A future where climate services is enabling society to better manage risks and opportunities arising from climate variability and change, especially for those who are most vulnerable to climate related risks

19. Pre-requisites for climate services Available: at time and space scales that the user needs, Dependable: delivered regularly and on time, Usable: presented in user specific formats so that the client can fully understand, Credible: for the user to confidently apply to decision- making Authentic: entitled to be accepted by stakeholders in the given decision contexts Responsive and flexible: to the evolving user needs, and Sustainable: affordable and consistent over time.

20.  Water  Disaster risk reduction  Health  Agriculture/foo d security GFCS Priorities

21. Significant Economic and Societal Benefits... Significant investment in science & technology has created a readiness for provision of climate services

22. GFCS Implementation Priorities Governance – Leadership and management capacity to take the Framework forward Capacity development –Linking climate service users and providers. –Developing national capacity in developing countries. –Strengthening regional climate capabilities. Implementation of high-profile projects to address gaps in across pillars and priority areas Improving climate observations in data sparse areas Promote partnerships among stakeholders for addressing gaps and priorities Infrastructural Capacities of Countries as of Aug 2010 to provide Basic, Essential, Full and Advanced Climate Services.

23. Why are space based observations important to WMO?

24. 1960's –First Weather Satellites (TIROS) –WMO World Weather Watch (1963) 1970's –Storm monitoring and tracking –Coordinating Group on Meteorological Satellites (1972) 1980's –High Performance Computing –Significant Weather model development 1990's –Climate scenario models –Data Assimilation of satellite data 2000's –Climate Reanalyses –Higher Resolution Weather and Climate Models

25. TIROS ESSA A Legacy of US Satellite Systems NOAA GOES ATS SUOMI-NPP

26. Why are space based observations important to WMO? 1960's First Weather Satellites (TIROS) WMO World Weather Watch (1963) 1970's Storm monitoring and tracking Coordinating Group on Meteorological Satellites (1972) 1980's High Performance Computing Significant Weather model development 1990's Climate scenario models Data Assimilation of satellite data 2000's Climate Reanalyses Higher Resolution Weather and Climate Models Today Global Framework for Climate Services WMO Integrated Global Observing System Disaster Risk Management Safe transportation Research Priorities

27. WMO Integrated Global Observing System Components –Global Observing System –Global Atmosphere Watch –Hydrological Observing System –Global Cryosphere Watch Space based Observing Systems can support all four components

28. WMO Space-based Global Observing System

29. Steady Improvements in Weather Prediction

30. Example Satellite Observations in NWP Atmospheric Motion Vectors AMSU-A Sea Surface Temperature SSM/I GPS-RO

31. Challenges and Opportunities for Space-based Observation WMO and its Member Priorities –CEOS should activate their Charter on Disaster Management in advance of pending dangers based on early warnings from days to weeks –GFCS will place new demands for climate based monitoring (scale and scope) as well as related satellite products in support of its priorities on food and water availability security, health and disaster management –Meteorological satellites form a key component of World Weather Watch under WIGOS. However, advances in weather and seasonal to inter-annual modelling require information from other satellites to better initiate boundary layer conditions, atmospheric chemistry and atmosphere-ocean-ice interfaces

32. Need an Integrated Global Observing System meet all requirements

33. Challenges and Opportunities for Space-based Observation WMO –Global Integrated Polar Prediction System - research priorities related to weather and climate modelling scales under WWRP/WCRP would be best served by space-based observations –Urban Meteorology - research priorities would require higher resolution satellite observations to support urban scale weather and climate modelling –Future Earth initiative - led under ICSU will also require more... Technology –improving observations, processing, communications, data access Applications –complex, global environmental and societal issues –improved knowledge and data exploitation –adoption by decision makers Growing number of space-faring nations –increased capability and resilience –greater coordination Economic Pressures –demonstrate and communicate societal benefits –optimize the system

34. Thank You