1. October 15, 2013

2.  You are only responsible for readings, lectures, and themes up through last week (through October 10)  Theme list for midterms will be finalized by tomorrow 11 AM  Be Connect smart: download lectures rather than relying on system

3.  Course reset  Policy cycle  Agenda setting  Policy formulation ▪ Policy analysis

4. 4 environment governance markets policies actions Conse- quences

5. 5 Agenda-Setting Policy Formulation Decisionmaking Policy Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation

6. 6  Social Agenda (general, systemic): issues that the public thinks deserve attention from government  measures: polls, media  Formal Agenda (government): issues explicitly up for active and serious consideration by policy makers  measures: announced proposals, throne speech

7. Media coverage NGP from Oct 1 2011-Sep 15, 2013, Clayoquot 1993

8. Source: http://greenpolicyprof.org/wordpress/?p=686http://greenpolicyprof.org/wordpress/?p=686

9. 9  Kingdon’s “streams” model: a confluence of  Problem stream  Politics stream  Policy (solution) stream  Opens a “policy window”  Opportunity for “policy entrepreneurs”

10. 10  Changes in “Problem”  indicators  knowledge, technology  focusing event  Changes in “Politics”  changing public mood  elections  interest group strategies

11.  Changes in “Problem”  indicators  knowledge, technology  focusing event  Changes in “Politics”  changing public mood  elections  interest group strategies  How did the mid-term timber supply issue get on the government’s agenda? 11

12.  How did the mid-term timber supply issue get on the government’s agenda?

13. 13 Agenda-Setting Policy Formulation Decisionmaking Policy Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation

14. THINKING  Policy analysis of alternatives TALKING  Consultation with stakeholders 14

15.  Special Committee on Timber Supply

16. 16 1. Verify, define and detail the problem 2. Establish evaluation criteria 3. Identify alternative policies 4. Assess alternative policies 5. Display and distinguish among alternatives 6. Implement, monitor, and evaluate the policy

17.  Define problem  Criteria for evaluation  Identify multiple alternatives  Outcomes/consequences of alternatives  Compare/tradeoff  Recommended decision 17

18. 1. Verify, define and detail the problem 2. Establish evaluation criteria 3. Identify alternative policies 4. Assess alternative policies 5. Display and distinguish among alternatives 6. Implement, monitor, and evaluate the policy  Define problem  Criteria for evaluation  Identify multiple alternatives  Outcomes/consequences of alternatives  Compare/tradeoff  Recommended decision

19.  don’t confuse with solutions  quantify if possible  be skeptical about common causal claims

20.  apply to outcomes, not alternatives  build on problem definition  common:  Effectiveness  Efficiency (cost-effectiveness)  equity  political acceptability  robustness and improvability

21.  start comprehensive, end up focused  Alternative = option  The status is an alternative

22.  projection = model + evidence  attach magnitude estimates  breakeven estimates  avoid excessive optimism  scenario-writing  other person’s shoes

23.  Commensurability  Confront the tradeoffs Alternatives/ criteria Criterion 1Criterion 2Criterion 3 Alternative 1321 Alternative 2213 Alternative 3213

24. ANALYSIS  Neutral stance on Solutions, Problem framing  Careful, balanced use of evidence ADVOCACY  Position based on group’s interest  Strategic framing  More selective use of evidence Does effective analysis ignore other side’s argument, or engage it? The best argument explicitly addresses an opponents strongest claim and discredits it with evidence and reason

25.  11-12: Midterm review session led by Gabrielle  There will be no presentation: Come in with questions  12-1: Special session for those whose native language is not English

26.  Tuesday October 22  CHBE 103 FRST 523 + FRST 415 A-K last name  FRST 1221 – L- Z last name  George Office hours  Today 2:30-3:30  Wednesday 10-12  Monday – 10-2:30  Gabrielle: FSC 2227 Wednesday 3:30-4:30, Friday from 9-10 am.

27.  First tutorial on writing brief – Problem definition  “flipped classroom”  You are required to read the one-pager on problem definition that is that will be posted on Connect by the evening of October 22  Come to class ready to work with your groups to define your problem