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Published byMelvyn Murphy Modified over 9 years ago
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ANNUITIES & DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW RATE OF RETURN
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ANNUITY EQUATIONS ARE USED TO EVALUATE DIFFERENT OPTIONS FOR FINANCING PROJECTS THE BASE PROJECT FOR THIS CLASS ASSUMES THAT THE PROJECT IS 100% FUNDED BY THE COMPANY FROM AVAILABLE FUNDS. 100% EQUITY DEBT FUNDING - MORE TYPICAL FUNDING IS ON THE ORDER OF 20% - 40% EQUITY WITH THE REMAINDER AS DEBT 60% - 80%.
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EXAMPLE OF ANNUITY CALCUATIONS
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ANNUITY EXAMPLE
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RESULTS OF EXAMPLE THE RANGE OF VALUES FOR THE REGULAR PAYMENTS IS $798,950 TO $1,247,033 PER YEAR THE LOWEST PAYMENT VALUES OCCUR WHEN THE NOTE IS PAID OVER THE LONGEST PERIOD OF TIME THIS IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGHEST INTEREST RATE
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RESULTS OF EXAMPLE THE RANGE OF THE PRESENT WORTH VALUES IS FROM $8,860,759 TO $8,905,852 THE LOWEST PRESENT WORTH OCCURS WHEN THE LOAN COSTS (POINTS) ARE MINIMIZED THIS IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOWEST INTEREST RATE AND SHORTEST TERM SO THE BEST OPTION IS THE ONE THAT HAS THE LOWEST PRESENT WORTH VALUE
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PRESENT WORTH ANALYSIS PRESENT WORTH VALUE THIS IS NET PRESENT WORTH OF ALL THE PAYMENTS THAT WILL BE MADE TO COMPLETE THIS LOAN THIS METHOD PROVIDES AN OBJECTIVE BASIS OF COMPARISON EVEN THOUGH THE TERMS, INTEREST RATES AND LOAD COSTS ALL VARY. THIS IS ONE VARIATION OF THE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW RATE OF RETURN (DCRR)
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FORMAL DCRR SEE PAGE 328 FOR REFERENCE FORMAL VERSION OF CALCULATES THE DCRR INTEREST RATE THAT WOULD YIELD A NET PRESENT WORTH OF $0 FOR A PROJECT OVER A SPECIFIED LIFETIME SOMETIMES CALLED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN, INTEREST RATE OF RETURN, INVESTOR’S RATE OF RETURN
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INVESTMENT PERIOD (DCRR) FOR THIS CALCULATION, AN INVESTMENT IS MADE IN A FACILITY OVER A SPECIFIED CONSTRUCTION TIME PERIOD THESE VALUES START AT YEAR ZERO THEY ARE EXPRESSED IN CURRENT (CONSTANT VALUE) DOLLARS FOR EACH YEAR THEY ARE CONSIDERED NEGATIVE VALUES BECAUSE THEY ARE EXPENDITURES
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PROFIT PERIOD (DCRR) THE RETURN IS CALCULATED FROM THE PROFIT EARNED DURING OPERATIONS THESE VALUES START IN THE FIRST YEAR AFTER CONSTRUCTION THEY ARE EXPRESSED IN CURRENT DOLLARS, OVER THE LIFE OF THE FACILITY THESE ARE CONSIDERED POSITIVE VALUES BECAUSE THEY REPRESENT NET PROFITS
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DCRR CALCULATION BOTH THE INVESTMENT AND THE PROFIT RETURN ARE DISCOUNTED BACK TO A COMMON TIME AT YEAR ZERO FOR THE OVERALL PERIOD j WHICH IS THE SUM OF THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION PERIODS FOR EACH YEAR THE CALCULATION COULD BE BASED ON THE FORMULA
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DCRR INTEREST CALCULATION DCRR INTEREST CALCULATION THE DCRR IS THE VALUE OF i WHEN WHERE j IS THE LIFETIME OF THE PROJECT
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DCRR EXAMPLE
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DCRR EXAMPLE CALCULATION
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DCRR TRIAL & ERROR
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DCRR EXAMPLE RESULTS
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ANALYSIS OF DCRR RESULTS THE RESULTS INDICATE A DCRR OF 11.85% IN THEORY, IF THE PLANT WERE 100% FINANCED, A LOAN AT A RATE OF 11.85% COULD BE PAID BACK OVER THE LIFE OF THE PROJECT
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DCRR APPLICATION THE EXAMPLE CAN BE USED TO DEMONSTRATE THE ADVANTAGES OF DEBT FINANCING THE CALCULATION CAN BE REPEATED WITH AN ASSUMPTION OF 25% EQUITY FINANCING AND REDUCING THE PROFIT EACH YEAR TO ACCOUNT FOR INTEREST PAYMENTS THE RESULT SHOWS THE DCRR INCREASES TO 30% FOR THE DEBT FUNDING APPROACH
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COMPARISON OF ALTERNATES THE RESULTS OF THE REVISED DCRR CALCULATION SHOW THAT A PROJECT THAT HAS 100% FUNDING MIGHT HAVE A RELATIVELY SMALL DIFFERENCE ABOVE CURRENT INTEREST RATES AND NOT BE ATTRACTIVE THE SAME PROJECT WITH DEBT FUNDING MAY HAVE A RETURN COMFORTABLY ABOVE THE CURRENT INTEREST RATES
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OTHER COMPARISONS THE SIGNIFICANT VALUE TO THIS TYPE OF CALCULATION IS BASED ON OBJECTIVE COMPARISON OF VARIOUS TYPES OF PROJECTS AND/OR VARIOUS CONFIGURATIONS OF ONE PROJECT INDEPENDENT OF PROJECT LIFE INDEPENDENT OF CURRENT INTEREST RATES
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