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Published byEvelyn Morrison Modified over 9 years ago
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Around the World In 45 Minutes April 2011
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Globalization
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Manufacturers Experiencing Rising Exports
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Export’s Contribution to GDP
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IGER.csuci.edu
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Why IGER? Bridge to Pacific Rim Prepare Our Students
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Areas Today Asia China Japan Budget Deficits Inflation
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Asia
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Asia’s Contribution to Global GDP Growth
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Soaring Industrial Production in Asia
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Investments in Asia
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Higher labor Costs in Asia ex Japan
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Asia Consumption Accelerating
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Asia Inflation Supply Shortages Demand Pull Not Much Slack
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Asia Place to Produce Invest Sell Future
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China’s Economy
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Share of Global GDP
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U.S. Treasury Securities 8% of all 25% of foreign owned
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RMB Liberalized Trades Settled World Currency
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China Big Consumer
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China’s Love Affair with Cars
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Buy a Car and Buy a Flat
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China’s Shrinking Trade Surplus
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House Prices for Asian Cities
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Gov’t Policies Purchase Restrictions Property Taxes Higher Interest Rates
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Five-year Plan Happy China
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China Inflation Social/ Political
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Conclusion Growth Cool Down Inflation Ease Control Property Prices Gradual Yuan Appr.
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Japan Unemployment Rate
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Japan Exports by Region
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Japan: Consumer Price Index
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Global Impact Supply Chain Financial Market Repatriate Yen Appreciation Interest Rates
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Supply-chain Impact
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Supply Chain 35% Boeing 787 20% Semiconductors 40% Electronic Comp 10% Laptop Batteries 25% NAND Flash chip
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Ships Contaminated by Radiation
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Sig Turning Point 1855 Tokukawa 1923 Nationalism 1945 Superpower 2011 ?
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Small Global Impact
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JapanVideo
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Risk for Us Not in Asia
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Locally Businesses: Asia Labor Force: Train
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Who Benefits? Commodities Producers High End Consumer Goods Machineries
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Big Ten in 2030 China U.S.A Japan Germany U.K. Brazil Mexico France Canada Korea
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Republican Proposal
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Interest Costs
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What to Do?
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Adult Conversation Serious Debate Political Climate Grand Bargain
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Entitlement Spending
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U.S. Defense Spending
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Higher Taxes
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Food Inflation Up 80% y/y Protests in N. Africa China 25% of U.S. Soy Ethanol 40% of Corn
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Inflation Risks Inflation Expectations Wage Increases
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Inflation Expectations
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Why No Deflation Inflation Expectations Wage Rigidities Import Prices Monetary Policy
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No Deflation Inflation Eventually Cost Push Excess Cap. Diminishes TaxesFees
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Ventura County April 2011
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IGER.csuci.edu
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DrSohn.com (not Dr.Sohn.com)
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