1. The Use of Global Datasets for Risk and Vulnerability Assessment: the GRAVITY project Pascal Peduzzi, United Nation Environment Programme Pascal.Peduzzi@grid.unep.ch Hy Dao Damien Rochette Christian Herold

2. Context The UNDP/ERD World Vulnerability Report Expert Meeting on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Indexing, Sept. 2000 UNDP/ERD - UNEP/GRID contract, 4 staffs paid at GRID-Geneva Feasibility study : Feb.-Jun. 2001 Consolidation : Jul.-Dec. 2001

3. Risk Mitigation ?

4. Formula Risk i = Hazard i x Population x Vulnerability i Realized Risk (CRED) Hazard x population Physical exposure = Vulnerability Risk tot = Risk volc + Risk flood + Risk cycl. + … + Risk n

5. Geophysical and statistical datasets

6. Access to information in time

7. Exploration of the CRED For 1980-2000

8. Selection criterion

9. Need special consideration for: Tsunamis: Papua New Guinea (67.8%), Ecuador (14.3%) Landslides: China (6%), India (3,46%), Indonesia (13,88%), Peru (33%), Colombia (4,2%), Philippines (4.59%) and Ecuador (10.2%). Need to take into account drought Drought (food insecurity) = 46.54%

10. The choice of indicators

11. Using the database on population CIESIN/UNEP

16. Socio-economic datasets

17. Identified factors

18. Crossplot between estimated and realized risk for floods r = 0.61

19. Several products

20. Exposure to flood

21. Thank you Http://www.grid.unep.ch/preview