1. Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Regional Perspective
Martin Eran-Tasker
Technical Director
Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Singapore Aviation Academy
29 – 30 August 2013

2. Overview AAPA Global mobility Asia Pacific Aviation
Business conditions
Growing demand
Info share
Closing thoughts

3. Serving the community and always open to new members
AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Regional trade association
Members include major international airlines based in Asia Pacific
Open to all scheduled international airlines based in Asia Pacific region
Committed to promoting sustainable growth of the aviation industry serving both passenger and freight needs
Permanent secretariat headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Representation in Washington and Brussels
Flight Operations Safety WG
Cabin Safety WG
Serving the community and always open to new members

4. Aviation: moving the world
Air travel delivers global mobility
2,900 million passengers
Carries 35% by value of global trade
Wider social and economic benefits
Outstanding safety record
Source: ATAG

5. Asia Pacific Diverse geographic region
Home to more than 4 billion people
62% of the world’s population
Generates 30% of global GDP
Wide range of income levels
Dynamic economies delivering global growth
Aviation widely recognised as a key contributor to economic and social development
Political diversity remains challenging: need for multilateral cooperation

6. Asia Pacific Aviation US$175 billion revenue US$5.2 billion net profit
705 million passengers
493 million domestic
212 million international
16 million tonnes of cargo
> 5000 aircraft
Asia Pacific market share based on RPKs and FTKs
% dom PAX = 70%, international = 30%
Asia Pacific carriers overall market share:
25% of global passenger traffic
40% of global cargo traffic
Data: Financials & Traffic: 2012 Estimates
Source: Combined AAPA + non-AAPA airlines GMT+7 to GMT+12

7. Growing demand

8. Aspirational Demand for Air Travel
Trips per capita
Rising incomes, urbanisation,
social development
GDP per capita US$

9. The growing middle class
Source: Airbus

10. World Traffic by airline domicile (RPK billions)
Asia Pacific traffic will grow significantly
World Traffic by airline domicile (RPK billions)
Source: Airbus GMF

11. Asia Pacific fleet expansion
2011 airplanes
Source: Boeing
CMO

12. Info Share

13. ICAO ASPAC Region 40 Contracting States and Administrations
1,207 commercial airports
359 airlines
5,090 aircraft in service representing 25% of Global fleet
Projected to almost triple by 2032
40 air navigation service providers
Air transport supports 6.1 million jobs
Aviation Safety high priority
Going forward maintaining status quo can only result in increasing the number of accidents and major incidents

14. US Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)
In 1998 CAST committed to the goal to reduce the commercial aviation fatality rate in the USA by 80% by 2008.
In 2008 CAST reported it had reduced the fatality rate by 83%
CAST success the result of the voluntary collaboration between the FAA and Industry by examining past accident data and developing and implementing Safety Enhancements (SE)
CAST approach now is to be proactive and focus on examining emerging and changing risks to identify prevention strategies based on the analysis from incident data
Greater emphasis on acquiring, sharing and analyzing aviation safety data (FOQA) on a voluntary basis
CAST now committed to the goal of 50% from 2010 to 2025 and working with other government and industry partners

15. Regional activities - COSCAP
Formed under the umbrella of ICAO’s Technical Co-operation Programme (TCP)
Primary purpose to enhance flight safety in the region
Ongoing effort to improve aviation safety in Asia through
Needs assessment
Supporting the establishment of a national safety framework
Sharing of safety practices
Provision of technical assistance and training for capacity building
Implementation of safety enhancement initiatives

16. Regional activities – ICAO APAC RASG/ RAST
RASG grouping of the regions regulators
Established to address and implement regionally the Global Aviation Safety Plan / Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASP/GASR).
Focus on ICAO priorities Runway safety, CFIT, LOC
RAST joint regulator/ industry forum developing safety enhancements to address ICAO priorities
Focus on the sharing of data and best practices

17. AAPA FOSWG &CaSWG
Regional industry safety forum open to Asia Pacific International airlines (2X per year)
Data management and analysis
Benchmark airline safety performance
Support capacity building within the region
Promote the sharing of safety data and best practices
Promote the sharing and implementation of best practices to enhance regional safety
Data driven safety priorities: Wild life hazards, Infrastructure deficiencies, runway safety, CFIT, LOC, safety outreach efforts

18. Airline safety compliance approach
Implemented safety, data management and reporting systems to be in compliance with national regulatory requirements that are based on ICAO Annexes (1,6,8,11,13, 14 and now 19)
Reports safety in accordance with national requirements
Tendency towards a reactive approach
Limited data sharing
Reactive response to incidents
SMS requires a proactive/ interactive approach to addressing accident/ incidents
Identifying and understanding the main hazards and risks to the airline operation a challenge

19. You cannot fix what you cannot measure
Safety solutions cannot be fixed in isolation or by directive
It requires the regions regulators and industry to collaborate and cooperate at national and regional level by:
Gathering and analysing all types of safety data
Sharing safety data and the information gained from the analysis
Sharing of best practices, data analysis tools and techniques, data management
Being data rich is not enough if it lacks direction, clear objectives and targets
Assurance of data protection at national and regional level to avoid misuse
Data protection critical, requires regional and global partnerships to realize an effective integrated safety management system.

20. Challenges
Asia Pacific diverse region has varying levels of capability and capacity among regulators and airlines
Joint regulatory and industry consultations/ activities not the norm, although slowly changing
Building “trust” between involved parties (government, regulator, airport, ANSP, airlines, senior management, politicians, unions and the travelling)
Agreeing on common models and methodologies, and criteria for reporting and benchmarking
Identifying an acceptable (independent) gatekeeper
Requires long term investment and commitment in resources
Overcoming, working with the Legal system

21. Closing Thoughts
Aviation is a key part of everyday modern life and drives global economic and social development
Aviation has an outstanding safety record
To realize an effective integrated safety management system requires partnerships based on cooperation and collaboration
Regional safety needs to be inclusive and requires regional thinking and regional solutions
Effective safety management is “data driven”
Safety outcome is key
Have the confidence and optimism to share data and best practice in the future

22. www.aapairlines.org Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Unit 27-1, Level 27, Menara Prestige
1 Jalan Pinang
50450 Kuala Lumpur
MALAYSIA
Tel:
Fax: