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U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook January 2011 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council
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Macroeconomic Environment
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Real GDP Growth in Selected Countries
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
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December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
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November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
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Southeast1,891 2,597 37.3 Mid-South 1,627 1,920 18.0 Southwest5,243 5,886 12.3 West247 366 48.1 ALL UPLAND 9,008 10,769 19.5 ALL ELS141 204 44.4 ALL COTTON9,150 10,973 19.9 Southeast1,891 2,597 37.3 Mid-South 1,627 1,920 18.0 Southwest5,243 5,886 12.3 West247 366 48.1 ALL UPLAND 9,008 10,769 19.5 ALL ELS141 204 44.4 ALL COTTON9,150 10,973 19.9 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Acres *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
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Southeast765 1,051 37.3 Mid-South 658 777 18.0 Southwest2,122 2,382 12.3 West100 148 48.1 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,358 19.5 ALL ELS57 83 44.4 ALL COTTON3,703 4,441 19.9 Southeast765 1,051 37.3 Mid-South 658 777 18.0 Southwest2,122 2,382 12.3 West100 148 48.1 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,358 19.5 ALL ELS57 83 44.4 ALL COTTON3,703 4,441 19.9 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Hectares *USDA June Acreage Report - Revised
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U.S. Cotton Production
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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U.S. Cotton Demand
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Net Domestic Fiber Consumption
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Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption 2009 2010
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Components of Retail Cotton Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Textile Imports
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U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports
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U.S. Trade With Mexico
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U.S. Trade with CBI
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U.S. Imports from China
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Calendar Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use 2010 2009
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Crop Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Production & Use
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The World Market & U.S. Cotton Exports
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China Cotton Supply & Use
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World Cotton Production
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World Fiber Mill Use *PCI
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Fiber Prices
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World Cotton Mill Use
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Foreign Cotton Production & Use
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U.S. Cotton Exports
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World Cotton Ending Stocks
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Cotton Stocks/Use (World less China)
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Bales Beginning Stocks6.342.95 Production12.1918.32 Imports0.000.01 Total Supply18.5321.27 Mill Use3.463.60 Exports12.0415.75 Total Offtake15.5019.35 Ending Stocks2.951.90 Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons Beginning Stocks1.380.64 Production2.663.99 Imports0.000.00 Total Supply4.044.63 Mill Use0.750.78 Exports2.623.43 Total Offtake3.384.22 Ending Stocks0.640.41 Stocks-to-Use Ratio19.0%9.8% 2009/10e2010/11p
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Beginning Stocks60.5243.85 Production101.54115.46 Imports35.8838.32 Mill Use118.52116.58 Exports35.6038.35 Ending Stocks43.8542.84 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.0%36.7% Beginning Stocks60.5243.85 Production101.54115.46 Imports35.8838.32 Mill Use118.52116.58 Exports35.6038.35 Ending Stocks43.8542.84 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.0%36.7% World Supply and Demand Million Bales 2009/10e2010/11p
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Beginning Stocks13.199.55 Production22.1225.15 Imports7.828.35 Mill Use25.8225.40 Exports7.768.36 Ending Stocks9.559.33 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.0%36.7% Beginning Stocks13.199.55 Production22.1225.15 Imports7.828.35 Mill Use25.8225.40 Exports7.768.36 Ending Stocks9.559.33 Stocks-to-Use Ratio37.0%36.7% World Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons 2009/10e2010/11p
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Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers
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