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Chapter 2 General Price Level

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1 Chapter 2 General Price Level
Economics Chapter 2 General Price Level

2 General Price Level General price level Price index
Weighted average of prices of all goods and services. Shown by different price indexes Price index A figure showing the price level of the same basket of goods and services. Base period vs. specific period At base year, always set at 100

3 Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Price level of goods and services generally consumed by household. Index Expenditure range % of household Price change faced by income group CPI (A) $4,000-$15,499 50% Low CPI (B) $15,500-$27,499 30% Medium CPI (C) $27,500-$59,999 10% High Composite CPI $4,000-$59,999 90% App. all household

4 Consumer Price Index (CPI)
HK Statistics: Base year = Source: Table: Consumer Price Indices, Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong ( Year / Month Composite CPI CPI (A) CPI (B) CPI (C) 2005 annual 100 2009 annual 109.5 107.4 110.0 110.9 2010 annual 112.1 110.4 112.7 113.2 2011 (Mar) 116.8 116.4 117.0 116.7 2011 (Jun) 118.9 118.2 119.1 119.2 2011(Sept) 117.9 113.8 119.3 120.7

5 Calculate CPI CPI of 2000 = $๐Ÿ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ
Year 2000 Year 2008 Year / Month Selling Price Expenditure 40 Shirts $10 $400 $12 $480 30 loaves of bread $20 $600 $30 $900 Total $1,000 $1,380 CPI of 2000 = $๐Ÿ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ CPI of 2008 = $๐Ÿ,๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–

6 Example Year 2009 (base year) 2010 2011 Price Exp. 20 T-Shirts $20 $400 $25 $500 $50 $1000 40 apples $2.5 $100 $4 $160 $10 Total $660 $1400 CPI of 2009 = $๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ CPI of 2010 = $๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ CPI of 2011 = $๐Ÿ,๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ $๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฟ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ=๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ

7 The implicit price deflator of GDP
Also named as : GDP deflator Measure the price change of all types of goods included in GDP. Formula: ๐‘ฐ๐’Ž๐’‘๐’๐’Š๐’„๐’Š๐’• ๐’‘๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’…๐’†๐’‡๐’๐’‚๐’•๐’๐’“ ๐’๐’‡ ๐‘ฎ๐‘ซ๐‘ท= ๐‘ต๐’๐’Ž๐’Š๐’‚๐’๐’ ๐‘ฎ๐‘ซ๐‘ท ๐‘น๐’†๐’‚๐’ ๐‘ฎ๐‘ซ๐‘ท ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ

8 The implicit price deflator of GDP
Year Nominal GDP ($) Real GDP ($) GDP deflator 2009 (base yr.) 1,000 ๐‘ฅ 100=100 2010 1,200 ๐‘ฅ 100=120 2011 1,600 1,350 ๐‘ฅ 100=160

9 Coverage CPI GDP deflator Products consumed by household
Fixed basket of goods and services. (Same for diff. yrs) Imports ๏ƒผ, Exports ๏ƒป Capital goods ๏ƒป GDP deflator All products produced by an economy Counting all GDP components: C + I + G + X - M. Exports ๏ƒผ, imports ๏ƒป Capital goods (I) ๏ƒผ

10 Inflation Definition: The persistent increase in the general price level. Shown by CPI ๏€ฃ continuously. Hong Kong Statistics: Inflation rate = ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐’„๐’–๐’“๐’“๐’†๐’๐’• ๐’š๐’†๐’‚๐’“ โˆ’ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐’‘๐’“๐’†๐’—๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’” ๐’š๐’†๐’‚๐’“ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐’‘๐’“๐’†๐’—๐’Š๐’๐’–๐’” ๐’š๐’†๐’‚๐’“ ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ% Inflation rate = ๐‘ช๐‘ท๐‘ฐ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ โˆ’๐‘ช๐‘ท๐‘ฐ ๐’‘๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ช๐‘ท๐‘ฐ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ% Inflation rate = ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“.๐Ÿ” โˆ’๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ%=๐Ÿ“.๐Ÿ”%

11 Deflation Definition:
The persistent decrease in the general price level. Inflation rate is negative

12 Inflation Given the CPIs of Economy A Find the inflation rate in 2009.
Year CPI 2008 (Base year) 100 2009 110 2010 125

13 CPI vs. GDP deflator Aim at CPI GDP deflator
Change in the cost of living Amount spent on basic living expenses GDP deflator Purchasing power of money Amount of goods that can be bought with money

14 Purchasing power In 2009 A hamburger = $10
i.e. You can buy a hamburger if you have a $10 note In 2010 A hamburger = $12 i.e. You canโ€™t buy a hamburger with a $10 note The purchasing power of the $10 note is lowered Nowadays, the 10 cents coins have very little purchasing power

15 CPI - Overestimation Substitution bias: CPI ๏ƒ  Basket (Good A)
If Price of Good A๏ƒก ๏ƒ  Choose Good B (substitute) Although CPI (Good A)๏ƒก, people are not fully affected Same living standard CPI overestimate the increase in price level

16 CPI - Overestimation Quality improvement:
Products with high technology (e.g. new mobile phone) Buy same amount (same expense) ๏ƒ  better enjoy or Buy the same old model (less expense) ๏ƒ  same enjoy CPI canโ€™t reflect the change in enjoyment

17 Which price index is better? (Textbook p.60-61)
Year Implicit price deflator of GDP Inflation rate Composite CPI 2003 104 - 99.8 2004 100.3 - 3.6% 99.4 - 0.4% 2005 0% 0.9% a. Calculate the inflation rates of 2004 and 2005. Inflation rate of 2004 = ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’ โˆ’ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘ ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ% Inflation rate of 2005 = ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ โˆ’ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’ ๐‘ท๐’“๐’Š๐’„๐’† ๐’Š๐’๐’…๐’†๐’™ ๐’๐’‡ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’ ๐’™ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ%

18 Which price index is better? (Textbook p.60-61)
Year Implicit price deflator of GDP Inflation rate Composite CPI 2003 104 - 99.8 2004 100.3 - 3.6% 99.4 - 0.4% 2005 0% 0.9% b. Describe the changes in inflation rates and cost of living with reference to the GDP deflator and Composite CPI. Base on GDP deflator: a ______ inflation rate in 2004 suggests a ________ in the cost of living. a ______ inflation rate in 2005 showing that the cost of living __________________. Base of Composite CPI: a ______ inflation rate in 2005 suggests a ________ in the cost of living. negative decrease zero remains unchanged negative decrease positve increase

19 Which price index is better? (Textbook p.60-61)
Year Implicit price deflator of GDP Inflation rate Composite CPI 2003 104 - 99.8 2004 100.3 - 3.6% 99.4 - 0.4% 2005 0% 0.9% c. Which index is a better indicator of inflation? Which index is a better indicator of the cost of living? Inflation refers to ___________________________________________ As the ______________ measure price changes of a large scope of goods, it is better indicator of inflation Cost of living refers to ___________________________________________ It is affected by price change in _________ goods only. Therefore, ________ , which includes only _________ goods, is a better indicator of the cost of living. A persistent increase in the general price level GDP deflator amount spent on basic living expenses consumer CPI consumer

20 Which index is better? GDP deflator CPI
Prices change of a large scope of goods Better for measuring inflation CPI Price change of consumer goods Better for indicating living standard


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