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Unit 5: Full Employment In the long run, the right answer to unemployment is to create more jobs. - George Walker Bush, Unemployment is of vital importance, particularly to the unemployed. - Edward Heath Business will be either better or worse. When more and more people are thrown out of jobs, unemployment tends to rise. - Calvin Coolidge
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Society's Goals for Macro System Growth Stable Prices & Money Full Employment Stability of Business Cycle
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Key Measures: Unemployment Rate Labor Force Participation Rate Employment-Population Rate Net New Jobs Create New Unemployment Claims Jobs-workers ratio
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Unemployment in the U.S. US Unemployment Data - BLS.gov
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Analyzing employment Population Adult Non- Institutional Civilian Pop. [A] Not In Labor Force Retired Don't want employment now In School Discouraged - quit looking for work Employed [C] Unemployed [D] (Not Employed, But Actively Looking) Labor Force [B] (willing & able to work) Voluntary Quit Involuntary Quit Returning New Entrant Institutional Pop. Children (<16) Active Duty Military
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Defining “Adult Civilian Non- Institutionalized Population” = labor force + not-in-labor-force = total population – institutionalized – active duty military – children under age 16
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Defining “Employed”: person is working regardless of type or num of hours/jobs.
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Defining “Unemployed”: no job, but willing, able, and actively looking for work.
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Defining Labor force: unemployed + employed
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Defining “Not-in-labor force: retired, stay-at-home spouses, idle rich, non-working students, discouraged would- be workers (not looking)
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Unemployment Rate: = Unemployed / Labor Force Excludes discouraged workers
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Labor Force Participation Rate: = Labor Force / Civ.N-I Adult Pop. = (employed + unemployed) / CivN- IA Pop
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Employment Population Ratio = employed / population
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Why don’t the unemployed have a job right now? 4 Types of Unemployment:
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Frictional: open job exists for each unemployed worker but they haven’t matched up yet
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Structural: open jobs exist but require skills/locations that match workers’
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Seasonal: temporary situation because job only exists during certain months of year.
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Cyclical: more unemployed workers than available open jobs.
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Policy Goal: ‘full employment’, but that doesn’t mean 0% rate.
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NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT: economy at capacity with zero frictional unemployment.
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Full Employment is usually defined as achieving the “natural rate” or zero cyclical.
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