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Solution MGMT E-5070. 1 st Quarter Forecast for the Fourth Year.

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Presentation on theme: "Solution MGMT E-5070. 1 st Quarter Forecast for the Fourth Year."— Presentation transcript:

1 Solution MGMT E-5070

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5 1 st Quarter Forecast for the Fourth Year

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8 Naïve Approach Tracking Signals

9 Tracking Signal Chart Naïve Approach Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 + 3 + 2 + 1 0 - 1 - 2 - 3 UPPER CONTROL LIMIT LOWER CONTROL LIMIT NONE TRACKING SIGNAL Tracking Signal Tripped UCL

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11 1 st Quarter 4 th Year Forecast

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14 2-Quarter Moving Average Tracking Signals

15 Tracking Signal Chart Two - Quarter Moving Average Approach Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 + 3 + 2 + 1 0 - 1 - 2 - 3 UPPER CONTROL LIMIT LOWER CONTROL LIMIT NONE TRACKING SIGNAL Tracking Signal Tripped UCL

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21 Trend Line Tracking Signals

22 Tracking Signal Chart Trend Line Regression Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 + 3 + 2 + 1 0 - 1 - 2 - 3 UPPER CONTROL LIMIT LOWER CONTROL LIMIT TRACKING SIGNAL Narrow CL Wide CL

23 Tracking Signal Chart Trend Line Regression Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 + 3 + 2 + 1 0 - 1 - 2 - 3 UPPER CONTROL LIMIT LOWER CONTROL LIMIT TRACKING SIGNAL

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28 Solution MGMT E-5070


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