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Chapter 1.

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Presentation on theme: "Chapter 1."— Presentation transcript:

1 Chapter 1

2 European stress index Chart 1:1.
Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

3 Prices of single-family houses and tenant-owned apartments Index, January 2008 = 100
Chart 1:2. Sources: Mäklarstatistik and Valueguard

4 The credit gap in Sweden Per cent
Chart 1:3. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

5 Earnings before loan losses and loan losses in the four major banks Totalled over four quarters, SEK billion, fixed prices, March 2012 Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank Chart 1:4.

6 Core Tier 1 capital ratios defined by Basel II December 2011, per cent
Chart 1:5. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

7 CET 1 capital ratios as defined by Basel III, initially and in the stress test Per cent
Chart 1:6. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

8 Swedish and foreign banks’ published levels of Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) Per cent, December 2011 Chart 1:7. Sources: Bank reports and Liquidatum

9 Bank assets in relation to GDP December 2010, per cent
Chart 1:8. Sources: ECB, the European Commission, the Swiss National Bank and the Riksbank

10 CET 1 capital ratios, Basel III Per cent
Chart 1:9. Source: The Riksbank

11 Risk weights on mortgages defined by Basel II Per cent
Chart 1:10. Sources: National central banks and the Riksbank

12 Countercyclical capital buffers Per cent
Chart 1:11. Sources: Bank reports, Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

13 The major Swedish banks’ liquidity buffers SEK billion
Chart 1:12. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

14 The major Swedish banks’ LCRs Per cent
Chart 1:13. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

15 The major Swedish banks´ average LCR Per cent
Chart 1:14. Sources: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

16 The major Swedish banks average LCR in euros Per cent
Chart 1:15. Sources: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

17 The major Swedish banks' average LCR in US dollars Per cent
Chart 1:16. Sources: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

18 The major Swedish banks' average NSFR Per cent
Chart 1:17. Sources: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

19 Chapter 2

20 The ECB’s lending to European banks EUR billion
Chart 2:1. Source: ECB

21 Net lending in the ECB’s three-year loans and the euro area’s bank bond maturities EUR billion
Chart 2:2. Sources: Dealogic and the Riksbank

22 Borrowing from the ECB before and after the three-year loans in December and February Percentage of total bank assets Chart 2:3. Sources: Bloomberg, national central banks and the Riksbank

23 bonds in euros and in loans from the ECB EUR billion
Chart 2:4. Sources: ECB and Bloomberg

24 10-year government bonds yields Per cent
Chart 2:5. Source: Reuters EcoWin

25 Development of various stock markets Index, July 2011=100
Chart 2:6. Source: Bloomberg

26 European stress index Chart 2:7.
Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

27 Public debt Percentage of GDP
Chart 2:8. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

28 Deficit in i public finances Per cent of GDP
Chart 2:9. Source: Reuters Ecowin

29 European banks’ bond issuance EUR billion
Chart 2:10. Sources: Dealogic and the Riksbank

30 Maturity of banks’ issued unsecured debt Years
Chart 2:11. Source: Dealogic

31 Funding costs over 3-months Stibor for covered bonds Basis points
Chart 2:12. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

32 Five-year CDS premiums for banks Basis points
Chart 2:13. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

33 Five-year CDS premiums for Swedish banks Basis points
Chart 2:14. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

34 The risk premium on the interbank market Basis points
Chart 2:15. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

35 Indicative breakdown of the three month risk premium in the euro area Basis points
Chart 2:16. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

36 Cost of borrowing in euros for three months and converting the loan to US dollars Basis points
Chart 2:17. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

37 Turnover on the Swedish repo market, per month SEK billion
Chart 2:18. Source: The Riksbank

38 Volumnes issued by European companies regardless of currency EUR billion
Chart 2:19. Source: Dealogic

39 Comparison between corporate bond yields and bank bond yields in Europe Basis points
Chart 2:20. Källa: Barclays Live/Iboxx

40 Volumes issued by Swedish corporate bonds, regardless of currency EUR billion
Chart 2:21. Source: Dealogic

41 The risk premium on the interbank market Basis points
Chart B2:1. Sources: Bloomberg and the Riksbank

42 Chapter 3

43 Lending activities of the Swedish banking groups by borrower category, Mars 2012 Per cent of total lending Chart 3:1. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

44 Lending activities of the Swedish banking groups by geographical area, Mars Per cent of total lending Chart 3:2. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

45 Household borrowing Per cent
Chart 3:3. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

46 Average lending rate and property prices Per cent, index 1980 = 100
Chart 3:4. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

47 Turnover and changes in house prices Number of permanent housing units in thousands, per cent
Chart 3:5. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

48 Unsecured credit as a percentage of total borrowing Annual percentage change
Chart 3:6. Source: Statistics Sweden

49 Prices of single-family houses and tenant-owned apartments Index, 2008-01 = 100
Chart 3:7. Sources: Mäklarstatistik and Valueguard

50 Number of housing starts Thousands
Chart 3:8. Source: Statistics Sweden

51 Household indebtedness and interest expenditures after tax Per cent of disposable income
Chart 3:9 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

52 Households’ debts, assets and savings Per cent of disposable income
Chart 3:10. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

53 Corporate borrowing from credit institutions and fixed gross investment Annual percentage change
Chart 3:11. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

54 Lending rates to non-financial companies for new loans and three month Stibor Per cent
Chart 3:12. Sources: Statistics Sweden and Reuters EcoWin

55 Default rate for Swedish companies Per cent
Chart 3:13. Source: The Riksbank

56 Direct earnings requirement for office premises in city centres Per cent
Chart 3:14. Sources: Pangea and Reuters EcoWin

57 Household borrowing Annual percentage change
Chart 3:15. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

58 Corporate borrowing Annual percentage change
Chart 3:16. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

59 Real house prices Index, Q1 1995 = 100
Chart 3:17. Sources: Reuters EcoWin, Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the Riksbank

60 GDP Annual percentage change
Chart 3:18. Source: Reuters EcoWin

61 Real exchange rates Index, January 2009 = 100
Chart 3:19. Source: Bank for International Settlements

62 Household and corporate borrowing Annual percentage change
Chart 3:20. Source: Reuters EcoWin

63 Late payments Per cent of total lending
Chart 3:21. Sources: Eesti Pank, Financial and Capital Market Commission och Lietuvos Bankas

64 Percentage of total loans and mortgages in foreign currency in Poland Per cent
Chart 3:22. Source: Narodowy Bank Polski

65 Credit growth in non-financial private sector Per cent
Chart B3:1 Source: IMF

66 Lending to Swedish households and companies by credit institutions SEK billion
Chart B3:2. Sorce: Statistics Sweden

67 Swedish banks’ lending to households and companies in the Baltic countries EUR billion
Chart B3:2. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

68 Chapter 4

69 Bank assets in relation to GDP December 2010, per cent
Chart 4:1. Sources: ECB, the European Commission, the Swiss National Bank and the Riksbank

70 Total assets December 2011, SEK billion
Chart 4:2. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

71 Earnings before loan losses and loan losses in the major Swedish banks Totalled over four quarters, SEK billion, fixed prices, March 2012 Chart 4:3. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

72 The major Swedish banks' income Rolling four quarters, SEK billion
Chart 4:4. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

73 The major Swedish banks’ return on equity Four-quarter moving average, per cent
Chart 4:5. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

74 The major Swedish banks’ return on total assets Four-quarter moving average, per cent
Chart 4:6. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

75 The swedish banks' cost to income ratio Four-quarter moving average, per cent
Chart 4:7. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

76 Breakdown of interest rate for new mortgages with tree-month fixed rate Per cent
Chart 4:8. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

77 Gross margins on Swedish new mortgages with three-month fixed rate Per cent
Chart 4:9. Sources: Bank reports, Reuter EcoWin and the Riksbank

78 The major Swedish banks' volume and earnings on mortgages December 2011, per cent
Chart 4:10. Sources: Banks' reports, SCB and the Riksbank

79 Swedish major banks' lending to the public in the Baltic countries EUR billions and annual percentage change Chart 4:11. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

80 Market shares of lending in the Baltic countries Per cent
Chart 4:12. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

81 The major Swedish banks' loan losses Percentage of lending at the start of the respective quarters
Chart 4:13. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

82 The major Swedish banks’ loan losses per quarter SEK billions
Chart 4:14. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

83 Loan losses in Swedish mortgage institutions and the four major banks Loan losses in relation to lending to the public, per cent Chart 4:15. Sources: Bank reports, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

84 Impaired loans Percentage of gross lending
Chart 4:16. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

85 Core Tier 1 capital ratios as defined by Basel II December 2011, per cent
Chart 4:17. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

86 Core Tier 1 Capital ratios according to Basel II Per cent
Chart 4:18. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

87 Core Tier 1 capital according to Basel II in relation to total assets Per cent
Chart 4:19. Source: Bank reports and the Riksbank

88 Risk weights on mortgages defined by Basel II Per cent
Chart 4:20. Sources: National central banks and the Riksbank

89 The Riksbank's structural liquidity measure for the major Swedish banks Stable funding in relation to illiquid assets, per cent Chart 4:21. Source: Liquidatum and the Riksbank

90 The major Swedish banks' funding, March 2012 Per cent
Chart 4:22. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

91 The major Swedish banks' liquidity buffers SEK billions
Chart 4:23. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

92 US Money Market Funds' exposures on European and Nordic banks USD billions
Chart 4:24. Sources: Fitch and the Riksbank

93 Investors in Swedish Covered Bonds December 2011, per cent
Chart 4:25. Sources: SCB and the Riksbank

94 Chapter 5

95 Earnings before loan losses and loan losses in the four major Swedish banks Totalled over four quarters, SEK billion, fixed prices, March 2012 Chart 5:1. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

96 Level of loan losses in the main scenario Per cent
Chart 5:2. Source: The Riksbank

97 Distribution of the major banks' loan losses per region in the period 2012–2014 in the main scenario SEK billion Chart 5:3. Source: The Riksbank

98 The major Swedish bank with the lowest Tier 1 capital ratio after another major Swedish bank has defaulted on payments Per cent Chart 5:4. Source: The Riksbank

99 Expected default frequency (EDF) for the Swedish non-financial companies in the stress test and in the main scenario Per cent Chart 5:5. Sources: Moody's KMV and the Riksbank

100 Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratios according to Basel III, initially and in the stress test Per cent Chart 5:6. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

101 Factors that contribute to changes in the banks’ CET 1 capital ratios according to Basel III in the stress test Per cent Chart 5:7. Source: The Riksbanken

102 The Riksbank’s short-term liquidity measure Survival period, number of days
Chart 5:8. Sources: Liquidatum and the Riksbank

103 The major Swedish banks’ liquidity buffers SEK billion
Chart 5:9. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

104 The major Swedish banks average LCR Per cent
Chart 5:10. Sources: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

105 The Riksbank’s short-term liquidity measure December 2011, Survival period, number of days
Chart 5:11. Sources: Liquidatum and the Riksbank

106 The Riksbank’s structural liquidity measure Stable funding in relation to illiquid assets, per cent
Chart 5:12. Source: Liquidatum and the Riksbank

107 The major Swedish banks' average NSFR Per cent
Chart 5:13. Source: Finansinspektionen and the Riksbank

108 Maturity and issues of bonds 2011 SEK billion
Chart 5:14. Sources: Bank reports and the Riksbank

109 Relation between lending and deposits Per cent
Chart 5:15. Sources: Liquidatum and the Riksbank

110 The Riksbank's structural liquidity measure Stable funding in relation to illiquid assets, percent
Chart 5:16. Sources: Liquidatum and the Riksbank


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