1. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 by Tsvetan Manchev Deputy Governor Bulgarian National Bank Bulgarian Banking Towards EU

2. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE SUMMARY Sustainable economic development - key factor for the sound banking system; The Bulgarian Banking Sector on the eve of the EU membership – the role of structural reforms; Major challenges for Bulgarian Banking System on its way to membership in the Eurozone;

3. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 CURRENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

4. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE GDP REAL GROWTH Source: NSI, IMF

5. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE CPI (annual average) Source: NSI, IMF 25.1

6. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE INTEREST RATES CONVERGENCE (annual average values) Source: BNB, Eurostat

7. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE UEMPLOYMENT RATE Source: National Employment Agency, BNB

8. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Source: MoF, IMF GENERAL GOVERNMENT BUDGET BALANCE (% GDP) (+) surplus (-) deficit

9. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Source: MoF, IMF GOVERNMENT DEBT (% GDP) GOVERNMENT DEBT (% GDP)

10. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE MAASTRICHT CRITERIA FOR NOMINAL CONVERGENCE

11. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 BANKING SECTOR REFORM

12. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE PREDOMINANT FOREIGN CONTROL ON BANK ASSETS AND CAPITAL (as of 30 September 2005) Source: BNB

13. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Source: BNB, FSC, BSE BANKS DOMINATE FINANCIAL MARKETS *Preliminary data

14. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE INCREASING COMPETITION (THE SHARE OF THE FIRST FOUR BANKS IN TOTAL BANK ASSETS AS OF THE END OF THE YEAR) Source: BNB

15. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE HIGH GROWTH AND SOUND QUALITY Bank assets are growing very rapidly Strongly capitalized High liquidity is maintained Asset quality remains very good

16. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE EFFICIENCY AND HIGH PROFITABILITY

17. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE INCREASING ROLE OF THE BANKING FOR THE REAL SECTOR FINANCING Bank credit growth is returning to sustainable level Banks are predominantly externally funded Business sector credit demand is investment driven Long term loans to business sector grow faster than short term Business sector has a good access to lending from abroad Residential loans to households are growing very rapidly

18. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE CHALLENGES FOR BANKING SECTOR Smooth adoption of the EU directives Basle II implementation Sustainability of the credit growth Interest rates convergence Mergers and acquisitions Better corporate governance and transparency

19. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE CHALLENGES FOR BNB Short-term challenges Fine-tuning of the process of bank lending Enforcement of the new legislation related to the EU membership –Law on Credit Institutions transposing Re-casting Directive 2000/12/EC relating to the taking up and pursuit of the business of credit institutions, Directive 2001/24/EC on credit institution reorganisation and Directive 2000/46/EC on the taking up, pursuit of and prudential supervision of the business of electronic money institutions; – Consumer Credit Law – Full transposition of Directive 2002/47/EC on financial collateral and Directive 2002/87/EC on financial conglomerates; Medium-term challenges are linked with the full-fledged EMU membership

20. BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org BULGARIAN NATIONAL BANK www.bnbank.org THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 THIRD ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CONFERENCE FINANCE AND BANKING MODERNISATION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST EUROPE Hilton Hotel, Sofia, Bulgaria 30-31 January 2006 Thank you for your attention!