1. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use1 A Sample Presentation of The State of the Church in Washington and the Seattle and Spokane Metro Areas 1990-2000 Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org

2. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use2 Here are the first 16 slides from the “State of the Church in Washington” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 43 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm

3. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use3 In 1996, polls taken immediately after the Presidential election revealed that 58% of people claimed they had voted, when in reality only 49% actually did. This is called the Halo Effect. People tend to over-inflate their participation in activities that create acceptability within their social group. For many decades, pollsters such as Gallup and Barna have reported that around 45% of Americans attend church every Sunday. But there is a religious Halo Effect. Actual attendance counts have shown that the percentage of people attending church on any given weekend is much lower than was previously thought.

4. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use4 The Intent of this presentation is to answer and then expand on two key questions: “How Many People Really Attend Church in Washington Every Week?” “Is the Christian Church Going Forwards or Backwards in Influence in Washington?” As the data is analyzed county by county assessing a number of factors, a comprehensive picture of the State of the Church in Washington will begin to take shape.

5. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use5 This study uses weekend church attendance as a more reliable and more immediate snapshot of Christian influence than membership. The following map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in all 50 states in 2000. Washington has an average church attendance percentage (14.0%) much lower than the national average (18.7%).

6. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use6

7. 7 The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in Washington.

8. Washington- Percentage of Population Attending a Christian Church on a Given Weekend by County - 2000 11% Kitsap 6.0% Ferry 6.6% San Juan 8.1% Pend Oreille 8.5% Jefferson 8.8% Okanogan 9.5% Mason 10.0% Stevens 10.9% Grays Harbor 11.0% Snohomish 11.3% Island 12.0% Kittitas 12.1% Clallam 12.2% Skamania 12.4% Douglas 12.5% Clark 12.6% Pacific 12.6% Kitsap 12.7% Klickitat 12.8% Cowlitz 13.1% Thurston 13.5% Wahkiakum 13.6% Pierce 13.6% Whatcom 13.9% Benton 14.2% Grant 14.4% Whitman 14.8% Spokane 14.8% Yakima 15.0% Lewis 15.1% Lincoln 15.3% King 16.2% Chelan 16.6% Asotin 17.2% Skagit 17.5% Columbia 18.2% Walla 19.5% Franklin 21.1% Adams 25.0% Garfield 0.0% to 12.4% 12.4% to 14.8% 14.8% to 26.0%

9. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use9 The Next 2 Maps show the population numbers for each county in Washington. The first map shows the population size of each county. The second map shows the growth or decline in population for each county from 1990 - 2000.

10. Washington- 2000 Population by County 2,397 Garfield 3,824 Wahkiakum 4,064 Columbia 7,260 Ferry 9,872 Skamania 10,184 Lincoln 11,732 Pend Oreille 14,077 San Juan 16,428 Adams 19,161 Klickitat 20,551 Asotin 20,984 Pacific 25,953 Jefferson 32,603 Douglas 33,362 Kittitas 39,564 Okanogan 40,066 Stevens 40,740 Whitman 49,347 Franklin 49,405 Mason 55,180 Walla 64,525 Clallam 66,616 Chelan 67,194 Grays Harbor 68,600 Lewis 71,558 Island 74,698 Grant 92,948 Cowlitz 102,979 Skagit 142,475 Benton 166,814 Whatcom 207,355 Thurston 222,581 Yakima 231,969 Kitsap 345,238 Clark 417,939 Spokane 606,024 Snohomish 700,820 Pierce 1,737,034 King 0 to 20,000 20,000 to 100,000 100,000 to 1,737,035

11. Washington- 1990-2000 Population Increase or Decline by County 40 Columbia 149 Garfield 497 Wahkiakum 965 Ferry 1,320 Lincoln 1,583 Skamania 1,965 Whitman 2,102 Pacific 2,545 Klickitat 2,817 Pend Oreille 2,825 Adams 2,946 Asotin 3,019 Grays Harbor 4,042 San Juan 5,807 Jefferson 6,214 Okanogan 6,398 Douglas 6,637 Kittitas 6,741 Walla 8,061 Clallam 9,118 Stevens 9,242 Lewis 10,829 Cowlitz 11,064 Mason 11,363 Island 11,874 Franklin 14,366 Chelan 19,940 Grant 23,424 Skagit 29,915 Benton 33,758 Yakima 39,034 Whatcom 42,238 Kitsap 46,117 Thurston 56,575 Spokane 107,185 Clark 114,617 Pierce 140,382 Snohomish 229,715 King 0 to 10,000 10,000 to 40,000 40,000 to 229,716

12. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use12 The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of Washington in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group.

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16. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use16 The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in Washington in 1990 and 2000. Evangelicals, Catholics and Mainline denominations have all grown in attendance. While overall worship attendance has increased, the population has also grown. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. There was a slight increase in the percentage of the population attending Evangelical churches but, on the whole, the percentage attending church in Washington has decreased.

17. © 2004 by David T. Olson

19. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use19 The Complete Washington Powerpoint is 43 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm

20. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use20 Here are 7 selected slides from the “State of the Church in Seattle” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 41 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm

21. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use21 The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in the Seattle area.

22. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use22 Seattle Metro Area 2000 Percentage of the Population Attending a Christian Church on Any Given Weekend

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25. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use25 The 2 Next Charts show the relative strength of the 8 major denominational groups in Seattle metro area.

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28. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use28 The Complete Seattle Powerpoint is 41 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm

29. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use29 Here are 8 selected slides from the “State of the Church in Spokane” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 46 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm

30. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use30 The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in the Spokane metro in 1990 and 2000. Evangelical and Catholic churches have grown in attendance numerically, while Mainline churches declined. As population grows, a more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph.

31. © 2004 by David T. Olson

33. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use33 The Next Chart shows the 1990 & 2000 average church attendance by group for both this area and the nation. The second chart shows the 1990 & 2000 number of people per Christian church for this area and the nation.

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36. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use36 The Next Chart shows the net gain in the number of churches in the Spokane Metro area in the past decade. There was a net gain of 0 churches. However, to keep up with the population of the Spokane metro, there would have needed to have been 48 more churches in 2000 than in 1990.

37. © 2004 by David T. Olson

38. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use38 The Complete Spokane Powerpoint is 45 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm

39. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use39 This Presentation is based on a nationwide study of American church attendance, as reported by churches and denominations. The database currently has average worship attendances for each of the last 10 years for over 200,000 individual churches. It also uses supplementary information (actual membership numbers correlated with accurate membership to attendance ratios) to project the attendances of all other denominational and independent churches. All told, accurate information is provided for over 300,000 orthodox Christian churches. 1 1 This presentation looks only at people attending orthodox Christian churches. Approximately 3 million people attend non-orthodox Christian churches, and perhaps 3 million attend a religious service of another religion. Those ‘houses of worship’ would add another 35,000 churches in the United States and increase the 2000 percentage to 20.5%.

40. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use40 For More Information... Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for additional information on the American Church.www.theamericanchurch.org 12 Surprising Facts about the American Church is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/ 12supm. htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/ 12supm. htm The complete Washington Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UWA20.htm The Complete Seattle Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Seattle.htm The Complete Spokane Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Spokane.htm A Combo Pack (12 Surprising Facts, Washington and Birmingham Powerpoints) is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/WA0.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/WA0.htm