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Cherry Creek North and Country Club Historic RNOs and TDA Colorado Cherry Creek North BID Cumulative Traffic Study
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What CCNNA Supports and Desires Cherry Creek economic success BID development growth & vitality Protection and enhancement of small BID businesses – CC uniqueness Balance – commercial & residential Smart growth, not over-development Manage and mitigate traffic from growth Seek transit solutions Annual study of traffic impact and growth 2
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Cumulative Traffic Study Review of Planned Development
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4 Cherry Creek North Residential Residential Properties Expanding in BID Primary Residential Area Proposed Developments 1.East Side of Columbine (WD) 2.Columbine (Old Post Office Site) 3.Fillmore Plaza Condos 4.1 st Bank Office 5.Coors Foundation Office Building 6.1 st / Steele (NE Corner) 7.1 st / Steele (SE Corner) 8.Cherry Creek (Alameda) Triangle Cherry Creek Shopping Center CCN BID 6 th Avenue Colorado Blvd York / Josephine 1 st Avenue 12 7 8 4 5 3 6 CHERRY CREEK TRIANGLE 900,000 SF or 10% of BID Under Development
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5 Cherry Creek North Residential Residential Properties Expanding in BID Primary Residential Area Other Areas for Future Development 9. West End of Shopping Center 10. East End of Shopping Center 11. Possible Sears Property 12. East Side of Josephine 13. Cherry Creek Square 14. 1 st / Colorado Gateway 15. Bayaud Commercial Cherry Creek Shopping Center CCN BID 6 th Avenue Colorado Blvd York / Josephine 1 st Avenue 12 6 7 4 5 910 13 12 14 3 8 11 15 CHERRY CREEK TRIANGLE
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Mix of Proposed and Future Cherry Creek Community Developments 4+ high rise office buildings 100+ condominiums High end apartments – 905+ units – NE 1 st / Steele Corner – 175 units – SE 1 st / Steele Corner – 250 units – Jackson / Cedar (CCE) – 190 units – Cherry Creek Triangle – 290 units Shopping Center retail expansion 1 + possible hotels – 2 nd Avenue & Shopping Center 6
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Cumulative Traffic Study Projection of BID Development Growth
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Cumulative Traffic Study Study Leaders TDA Colorado – Dave Leahy CCNNA – Wayne New, Gene Hohensee, John Albers, Bob Vogel Country Club Historic – Buzz Geller, Bob Fuller, Bill Brayshaw Study was funded by generous donations from CCN and Country Club RNOs and their residents.
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Cumulative Traffic Study Key Questions 1. What will be the cumulative traffic effects from BID development growth? 2. What effects will growth have on parking needs in the BID? 3. What will be the specific effects on BID and neighborhood intersections? 4. How can future traffic be mitigated? 9
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B I D P A R C E L M A P
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Current BID Sq Ft Worksheet 11 Sample data illustration of the over 130 BID properties in Study database.
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Cumulative Traffic Study BID Property Data and Building SF Projection Method 2.575 million SF of current BID building SF 2.4 million SF of current property lot SF Comparison – Shopping Center: 1.15 million SF Projection Building Blocks: Existing BID building SF Developments underway building / pending Identified likely development sites Surface parking lots for development Future growth for other BID properties Time Frames – Now to 10 years; 11 to 20+ years 12
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Approved BID Development Underway or Pending 13
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Other Identified BID Possible Development Project Sites 14
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Surface Parking Lots for Development 15 Future development will likely eliminate present surface parking lots.
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Projection of Future BID Growth Projected BID SF Growth – Building Blocks: 1.Existing BID building SF (Actual) 2.Developments underway building SF (Actual) 3.Identified likely development sites lot SF X FAR (net) 4.Surface parking for development lot SF X FAR (net) 5.Future growth (1 lot SF less 2 – 4 lot SF) X FAR (net) Present to next 10 years – 50% growth 11 to 20+ years – 100% build out Uses – Retail (13%), Office (39%), and Residential (48%) FAR assumption used – 3.97 (actual 250 Columbine) 16 Forecasting model is a flexible planning tool with assumptions that can be easily changed for future development, traffic, and parking estimations. Residential development use will be a key future issue.
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Future 1,377,000 sq ft Future 2,813,000 sq ft Total 6,387,000 sq ft Total 5,257,000 sq ft Present10 to 20+ Years Now to 10 Years Full BID Area Building Square Feet Surface Parking Identified Proposed 468,000 sq ft Underway/Pending 799,000 sq ft 104% increase in Floor space 161% increase in Floor space 7 mil 3 mil 5 mil 4 mil 6 mil 1 mil 2 mil Square Feet Identified Proposed 468,000 sq ft Underway/Pending 799,000 sq ft Existing BID Buildings 2,575,000 sq ft
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Present Net Future Development 2,753,000 sq ft 10 to 20+ Years Now to 10 Years Net Future Development 1,377,000 sq ft Identified Proposed 404,000 sq ft Underway/Pending 385,000 sq ft Total 4,442,000 sq ft Total 3,053,000 sq ft Underway/Pending 385,000 sq ft Existing BID Buildings 875,000 sq ft (January 2013) Existing BID Buildings 875,000 sq ft (January 2013) Surface Parking BID Area 2nd to 3rd Building Square Feet Existing BID Buildings 875,000 sq ft (January 2013) Identified Proposed 404,000 sq ft 408% increase in Floor space 249% increase in Floor space mil 1 mil 2 mil 4 mil 3 mil Square Feet Most significant development growth will be between 2 nd and 3 rd Avenues
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Residential Unit Growth at 48% Use 19
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Cumulative Traffic Study TDA Traffic and Parking Projections
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Cumulative Traffic Study Estimate future PM peak hour vehicle-trip growth Use counts from City’s April 2013 report Apply trip rates to net new development Compare growth to City’s 10% 20-year Present to next 10 years – 36% increase in peak hour traffic 11 to 20+ years – 48% increase Lower residential vehicle trip ratio is key to reduced traffic. Impacts much greater than represented CCN and BID residential quality of life BID customer safety and convenience 21
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Residential 48% Retail 21% Office 39% Residential 35% Retail 31% Office 44% Office 51% Residential 18% * Retail 13% Gross Building Square Footage PM Peak Hour Vehicle Trips BID Parking CCAP White Paper How Land Use Type Impacts Growth in Buildings, Traffic & Parking Future Growth Projections Using BID Development Land Use Estimates PM Peak Hour Vehicle Trip Ratios Actual BID Data: All Land Uses = 2.2 Trips/1,000 SF National Standards: Retail = 2.71 Trips/1,000 SF Office = 1.49 Trips/1,000 SF... Residential = 0.52 Trips /1,000 SF
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PM Peak Hour Vehicle-Trip Growth Full BID Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Vehicle Trips Present 10 to 20+ YearsNow to 10 Years Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Underway/Pending 1,040 Underway/Pending 1,040 Future Identified Proposed Future Identified Proposed Total 8,390 Total 7,720 36% increase 48% increase
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PM Peak Hour Vehicle-Trip Growth Area 2 nd to 3 rd Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Identified Proposed Underway/Pending Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Existing BID Vehicle Trips 5,670 Present10 to 20+ YearsNow to 10 Years Future Underway/Pending Identified Proposed Future Total 7,320 Total 7,890 Vehicle Trips 29% increase 39% increase
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Parking Ratio Comparisons
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Cumulative Parking Supply Existing 4,020 spaces (includes 555 metered spaces) Apply Off-street rates per CCN Area Plan (office, retail, residential) Next 10 years 5,000 more off street spaces 11 to 20+ years 6,500 more than today Metered spaces remain at 555± spaces On-street parking space deficiency and reduced off street development parking will put traffic pressure on CCN and Country Club residential. 26
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27 Total 4,020 Metered Spaces Public Garages 1,910 Private Garages 1,550 Existing Parking 4,020 Underway/Pending Future 2,410 Spaces Identified Proposed Total 9,020 124% increase in Parking Spaces Total 11,570 188% increase in Parking Spaces Future 4,830 Spaces Underway/Pending Identified Proposed Existing Parking 4,020 Existing 10 to 20+ Years Now to 10 Years Parking Space Growth 1 Full BID 1. CCAP White Paper Rates Parking Spaces
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28 Total 4,020 Metered Spaces Public Garages 1,910 Private Garages 1,550 Existing Parking 4,020 Existing Parking 4,020 Underway/Pending Future 2,410 Spaces Identified Proposed Total 8,060 100% increase in Parking Spaces Future 4,830 Spaces Underway/Pending Identified Proposed Total 10,060 161% increase in Parking Spaces Existing10 to 20+ YearsNow to 10 Years Parking Space Growth 1 Area 2 nd to 3 rd 1. CCAP White Paper Rates Parking Spaces
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Parking Supply Shortage An appropriate zoning parking ratio will be critical for managing traffic and providing customer service and residential quality of life.
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Intersection Traffic Analysis Intersection Level of Service; A through F PM Peak Hour Existing LOS based on City of Denver traffic counts; January 2013 Future LOS with 10-year BID development projections Possible mitigation of LOS F conditions
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2ndAve Existing January 2013 PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service Existing Laneage University Josephine A B D D D A C D 31
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2ndAve Projected 10-Year BID Development PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service Existing Laneage University Josephine A C D D D A D D 32
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33 Existing Laneage University/ 2 nd Ave & Josephine/ 2 nd Ave
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Existing January 2013 PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service & Critical Queues 3 rd Ave 1 University Josephine Clayton B C B C B B C B B D 1 Queue occasionally reaches back to Josephine St. 34 B A B A Columbine
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3 rd Ave University Josephine Clayton B C C C B B C B B D 35 B B C B Columbine Underway -- BID Development 18% increase in PM Peak Hour Volume Traffic Operation Level of Service & Critical Queues 1 Queues often reach back to Josephine St. 1
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3 rd Ave University Josephine Clayton B D C D B A D B B E 36 C B C B Columbine Underway & Identified -- BID Development 25% increase in PM Peak Hour Volume Traffic Operation Level of Service & Critical Queues 1 1 Queues often reach back to Josephine St. and beyond
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3 rd Ave 1 University Josephine Clayton B F D C B B F B C F 37 C B D B Columbine Projected 10-Year BID Development 35% increase In PM Peak Hour Volume Traffic Operation Level of Service & Critical Queues 2 3 1Queues will exceed capacity for much of the peak period. 2Queues may exceed capacity for much of the peak period 3Delay greater than 50 seconds., diversion likely
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3 rd Ave University Josephine Clayton B F D C B B C B C C 38 C B D B Columbine 1 1Delay at westbound Clayton (assume no mitigation) will be greater than 50 seconds, some diversion likely Projected 10-Year BID Development 36% increase in PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service With Common Mitigation at Univ. & Josephine, see next slides C C
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Mitigation at University/3 rd Ave Remove Parking on westbound 3 rd Ave to add separate Left Turn lane 39
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Mitigation at Josephine/3 rd Ave Remove Parking on westbound 3 rd Ave to add separate Right Turn lane 40
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Existing January 2013 PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service 41 3 rd Ave Steele B B A B B A B B St. Paul 3 rd Ave Detroit B B A B
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42 3 rd Ave Steele C C B C C B C B St. Paul 3 rd Ave Detroit C D B B Projected 10-Year BID Development PM Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service The represents acceptable operating conditions for these intersections
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Zoning and Traffic Mitigation Issues & Concerns Balance – How will BID C-CCN Zoning changes maintain the essential balance between commercial development and neighborhood quality of life? Development – Can future traffic be managed by C-CCN Zoning changes and PUD use? One Way Streets – Will BID 2 nd and 3 rd Avenues and 1 st to 6 th Avenue streets be considered as future one way streets? Neighborhood Parking – Will the City try to reduce neighborhood street parking to widen streets and expedite traffic flow? Transit – What CCN transit options should be considered to improve car traffic?
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Future Use of Study Utilize cumulative traffic study analyses in zoning and transit discussions. Monitor building development use to understand whether residential use is maintained close to 48%. Analyze future traffic mitigation options and solutions. Seek acceptance and use of Cumulative Traffic Study Model for future traffic planning. Seek a common strategy on future transit development of the Cherry Creek Community
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45 Questions & Feedback
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