3. For the State…. By 2010, Texas is likely to have 25 million people and by 2040 could have more than 51.7 million people. By 2010, Texas is likely to have 25 million people and by 2040 could have more than 51.7 million people. Growth will substantially exceed that for the nation which the Census Bureau projects to be roughly 49 percent for the 50-year period from 2000 to 2050. Growth will substantially exceed that for the nation which the Census Bureau projects to be roughly 49 percent for the 50-year period from 2000 to 2050. According to recent Census Bureau estimates, Texas population became less than 50 percent Anglo by July 1, 2004. Texas will become a majority Hispanic state, anywhere between 2025 and 2035. According to recent Census Bureau estimates, Texas population became less than 50 percent Anglo by July 1, 2004. Texas will become a majority Hispanic state, anywhere between 2025 and 2035. Texas population will show substantial aging. The median age of the population which was 32.3 in 2000 becomes between 38.1 and 38.6 years of age (depending on the scenario) by 2040. Texas population will show substantial aging. The median age of the population which was 32.3 in 2000 becomes between 38.1 and 38.6 years of age (depending on the scenario) by 2040.

4. For Regions…. The Capital Area will surpass the Alamo Area to become the third most populous region in Texas. The Capital Area will surpass the Alamo Area to become the third most populous region in Texas. Although the Alamo Area had a 2000 population of 1.8 million compared to 1.3 million in the Capital Area, by 2040, the Alamo Area is projected to have between 2.6 and 3.2 million compared to between 2.8 and 5.0 million in the Capital Area in 2040. Although the Alamo Area had a 2000 population of 1.8 million compared to 1.3 million in the Capital Area, by 2040, the Alamo Area is projected to have between 2.6 and 3.2 million compared to between 2.8 and 5.0 million in the Capital Area in 2040. Rapid growth is projected to occur in regions along the 1-35 and 1-10 corridors and along the Texas-Mexico Border with slow growth in regions in the Panhandle and West Texas. Rapid growth is projected to occur in regions along the 1-35 and 1-10 corridors and along the Texas-Mexico Border with slow growth in regions in the Panhandle and West Texas.

5. For Metropolitan Areas… Texas will have at least five metropolitan areas with more than one million people by 2040 and two with more than 8.0 million people. Texas will have at least five metropolitan areas with more than one million people by 2040 and two with more than 8.0 million people. Austin-Round Rock is projected to surpass San Antonio to become the third largest metropolitan area and McAllen-Edinburg-Mission will surpass El Paso to become the fifth largest metropolitan area with a population of between 2.7 million and 3.5 million by 2040. Austin-Round Rock is projected to surpass San Antonio to become the third largest metropolitan area and McAllen-Edinburg-Mission will surpass El Paso to become the fifth largest metropolitan area with a population of between 2.7 million and 3.5 million by 2040. Projections are showing that Texarkana, Abilene, Corpus Christi, Lubbock, Wichita Falls, and San Angelo are projected to decrease in population size from 2000 to 2040. Projections are showing that Texarkana, Abilene, Corpus Christi, Lubbock, Wichita Falls, and San Angelo are projected to decrease in population size from 2000 to 2040.

6. For Counties…  Under most scenarios, growth is evident across a majority of Texas counties with 150 to 200 counties showing population increases from 2000 to 2040.

7. Hays County Population 97,589 (2000 U.S. Census)

8. 2000 Population (U.S. Census Bureau) Bear Creek360 Bear Creek360 Buda2404 Buda2404 Dripping Springs1,548 Dripping Springs1,548 Hays233 Hays233 Kyle5,314 Kyle5,314 Mountain City671 Mountain City671 Niederwald584 Niederwald584 San Marcos34,733 San Marcos34,733 Uhland386 Uhland386 Wimberley CDP3,797 Wimberley CDP3,797 Woodcreek1,274 Woodcreek1,274

9. Hays County Community Population Estimates 20002006 Est.% Buda2,4044,424+84 Buda2,4044,424+84 Dripping Springs1,5481,839+19 Dripping Springs1,5481,839+19 Hays233235+1 Hays233235+1 Kyle5,31419,335+264 Kyle5,31419,335+264 Mountain City671773+15 Mountain City671773+15 Niederwald584416-29 Niederwald584416-29 San Marcos34,73347,005+35 San Marcos34,73347,005+35 Uhland386425+10 Uhland386425+10 Wimberley CDP3,7974,111+8 Wimberley CDP3,7974,111+8 Woodcreek1,2741,380 +8 Woodcreek1,2741,380 +8

10. Hays County Population Projections 1990-2040

11. Hays County Community Population Projections 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Buda2,4048,04213,97117,34120,72824,79727,900 Dripping Springs1,5485,3259,30811,65114,00516,83419,058 Kyle5,31421,45731,12633,61335,20339,19741,850 Mountain City6711,0191,1871,3611,5361,7461,911 Neiderwald5841,0211,5302,0462,5643,158 3,650 San Marcos34,73348,81469,90690,990114,477139,466158,099 Wimberley 3,7974,3015,0015,7286,4947,402 Woodcreek1,2741,7302,2522,7923,3353,987 4,500 Hays County 97,589 166,342242,051302,795363,678436,388493,320

12. Hays County Sub Area Study (CAMPO STUDY) 2000 2030 INCREASE 2000 2030 INCREASE BUDA/KYLE 29,300 143,700 114,400 (+390%) SAN MARCOS 46,700 129,600 82,900 (+178%) WESTERN H.C. 21,600 85,700 64,100 (+297%) HAYS COUNTY 98,000 356,000 258,000 (+263%)

13. For Hays County…. The U.S. Census Bureau identified the population of Hays County at 97,589. The U.S. Census Bureau identified the population of Hays County at 97,589. Projections show the population of the County reaching just over 426,000 by the year 2040 Projections show the population of the County reaching just over 426,000 by the year 2040 The largest growth is expected in the Buda/Kyle area which could see a rise in population of some 114,000 people. Not far behind will be the Western portion of Hays County which is expected to see an increase of some 64,000 people by the year 2030 – an increase of some 297 percent from the year 2000. The largest growth is expected in the Buda/Kyle area which could see a rise in population of some 114,000 people. Not far behind will be the Western portion of Hays County which is expected to see an increase of some 64,000 people by the year 2030 – an increase of some 297 percent from the year 2000.

15. Texas Water Development Board Population Projections Region L – South Central Texas 2000 2,042,221 2010 2,460,599 20202,892,933 20303,292,970 20403,644,661 20503,984,258 20604,297,786

16. Texas Water Development Board Local “L” Population Projections