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Lean Startup How to learn from Customers Giles Farrow v2
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Giles Farrow ●Marketing Consultant for Software Companies ●25 years IT & Software Marketing ●Company size 1-50,000 employees ●Smarter, reliable way for software to succeed 2
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Before Lean Startup Startup Mythology 3 Create Business PlanBrilliant idea in a garage Build Team Raise Funds Massive LaunchExecute Stealthily World Domination
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Lean Startup Entrepreneur & Engineer Scientific approach to writing software, increasing quality and speed Better software made little difference to business success 4
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Eliminate Uncertainty Startup = ●Don’t : Plan and Pontificate ●Do: Experiment and Learn ●Trust facts not opinions 5 “a human institution designed to create a new product or service under conditions of extreme uncertainty”
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Minimum Viable Product MVP: Only solves core problem ●Don’t : Over-Engineer ●Do: Get it into customers’ hands ASAP Zero Product MVPs ●Concierge or Wizard of Oz ●Landing pages or fake buttons 6
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Validated Learning Scientific Method ●Hypothesis ●Design experiment ●Record data ●Analysis ●Validated learning ●New hypothesis 7
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Canvas Business Model on 1 Page 8
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Canvas One-page business plan Living document Makes strategy accessible Blueprint for pitching / marketing 9
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Exercise 1 Complete canvas for your business / idea -5 mins -Name -Date 10
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1 Customer Customer segments -be specific -real people Early adopters -likely first customers 11
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2 Problem Top problems you solve for customers Existing Alternatives -what do people do now? 12
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3 Unique Value Proposition Unique Value Proposition -What’s different -What’s valuable High-level Concept -(e.g. YouTube = Flickr for videos) 13
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4 Solution Solution -Brief -Factual 14
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5 Channels Path to reach customers -Direct -Indirect 15
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6 & 7 Revenue & Costs Revenue Streams -Sources of revenue -Add-on services? Cost Structure -Fixed -Variable 16
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8 & 9 Metrics & Advantage Key Metrics -Key numbers that show business health / growth Unfair Advantage -What’s hard to copy or buy 17
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10 Assumptions Assumptions -What facts does your business model rely on? E.g. -Demand -Price -Partners 18
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Example - UberHailo 19 PROBLEM ● Need quick private ad hoc transport ● Minimal waiting, minimal hassle ● Fare should be clear and easy to pay SOLUTION ● Mobile app matches passengers to nearest available driver ● App tracks route, calculates fare and handles payment. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION Your own chauffeur summoned at the touch of a button. UNFAIR ADVANTAGE ● Expertise handling local legislation and unions CUSTOMER SEGMENTS ● Busy professionals in London, New York, Paris ● International business travellers ● Young urban nighttime social Existing Alternatives ● Hail taxi on street ● Call taxi / minicab ● Car hire / zipcar ● Public transport KEY METRICS ● Drivers signed up ● Customers >5 trips HIGH-LEVEL CONCEPT Taxis re-imagined for the 21st century CHANNELS ● Billboard advertising at taxi stands ● Livery on cabs ● PR EARLY ADOPTERS ● Looking for new things to try ● Enjoy mobile apps
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Example - UberHailo 20 COST STRUCTURE ● £x Develop app ● £x Operations staff & Phone provision ● £x Marketing REVENUE STREAMS ● 20% of fares ● Phone rental ● Admin fees e.g. cancellations ● Customers willing to trust an app to handle payments ● Getting a taxi quickly is very important for customers ● Customer will register and install app in advance ● Customers will regularly use service ● Customers will recommend to friends ● Can attract publicity at low cost ● Can keep supply of drivers in balance with demand ● App will be easy enough to just use occasionally ● Drivers will adopt “new” technology ● Drivers will agree 20% rate ● Does not break local laws ● Visa / Mastercard will accept payments ASSUMPTIONS
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Canvas → Marketing 21 PROBLEM ● Need quick private ad hoc transport ● Minimal waiting, minimal hassle ● Fare should be clear and easy to pay SOLUTION ● Mobile app matches passengers to nearest available driver ● App tracks route, calculates fare and handles payment. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION Your own chauffeur summoned at the touch of a button. UNFAIR ADVANTAGE ● Expertise handling local legislation and unions CUSTOMER SEGMENTS ● Busy professionals in London, New York, Paris ● International business travellers ● Young urban nighttime social Existing Alternatives ● Find a taxi ● Call taxi / minicab ● Car hire / zipcar ● Public transport KEY METRICS ● Drivers signed up ● Customers >5 trips HIGH-LEVEL CONCEPT Taxis for the 21st century CHANNELS ● Billboard advertising at taxi stands ● Livery on cabs ● PR EARLY ADOPTERS ● Looking for new things to try ● Enjoy mobile apps What they are thinking about when looking for a solution and what the competition is Which customers to target
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Canvas → Marketing 22 PROBLEM ● Need quick private ad hoc transport ● Minimal waiting, minimal hassle ● Fare should be clear and easy to pay SOLUTION ● Mobile app matches passengers to nearest available driver ● App tracks route, calculates fare and handles payment. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION Your own chauffeur summoned at the touch of a button. UNFAIR ADVANTAGE ● Expertise handling local legislation and unions CUSTOMER SEGMENTS ● Busy professionals in London, New York, Paris ● International business travellers ● Young urban nighttime social Existing Alternatives ● Find a taxi ● Call taxi / minicab ● Car hire / zipcar ● Public transport KEY METRICS ● Drivers signed up ● Customers >5 trips HIGH-LEVEL CONCEPT Taxis for the 21st century CHANNELS ● Billboard advertising at taxi stands ● Livery on cabs ● PR EARLY ADOPTERS ● Looking for new things to try ● Enjoy mobile apps Marketing campaigns / tactics Brief factual description of what you actually do e.g on home page Headline or tagline - quickly grab attention
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Canvas → Marketing 23 PROBLEM ● Need quick private ad hoc transport ● Minimal waiting, minimal hassle ● Fare should be clear and easy to pay SOLUTION ● Mobile app matches passengers to nearest available driver ● App tracks route, calculates fare and handles payment. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION Your own chauffeur summoned at the touch of a button. UNFAIR ADVANTAGE ● Expertise handling local legislation and unions CUSTOMER SEGMENTS ● Busy professionals in London, New York, Paris ● International business travellers ● Young urban nighttime social Existing Alternatives ● Find a taxi ● Call taxi / minicab ● Car hire / zipcar ● Public transport KEY METRICS ● Drivers signed up ● Customers >5 trips HIGH-LEVEL CONCEPT Taxis for the 21st century CHANNELS ● Billboard advertising at taxi stands ● Livery on cabs ● PR EARLY ADOPTERS ● Looking for new things to try ● Enjoy mobile apps How to measure marketing effectiveness Possible way to build trust / credibility
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Experiment How to get validated learning 24
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Riskiest Assumption = Core to business but least data Riskiest Assumption 25 ● Customers willing to trust an app to handle payments ● Getting a taxi quickly is very important for customers ● Customer will register and install app in advance ● Customers will regularly use service ● Customers will recommend to friends ● Can attract publicity at low cost ● Can keep supply of drivers in balance with demand ● App will be easy enough to just use occasionally ● Drivers will adopt “new” technology ● Drivers will agree 20% rate ● Does not break local laws ● Visa / Mastercard will accept payments UberHailo ASSUMPTIONS
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Validated Learning Scientific Method ●Hypothesis ●Design experiment ●Record data ●Analysis ●Validated learning ●New hypothesis 26
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Experiment Hypothesis 27 Riskiest Assumption riskiest = we have least data it is fundamental to viability Getting a taxi quickly is very important for customers or Customer / Problem Hypothesis e.g. I believe [customer segment] has a significant problem achieving [goal / objective] I believe young urban professionals out late in London for parties, nightclubs… desire a service that is comparable to taxis but finding a cab is much faster 1 Problem / Solution Hypothesis e.g. I believe this solution will result in [quantifiable outcome]
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Experiment Test & Measure 28 Test Method the least expensive way to test my assumption is to… Hire a black cab Friday / Saturday night. Stand at back of taxi lines and offer to summon a cab instantly but it will cost 10% extra. Success Criteria e.g. I will run experiment with X customers and Y will respond by... [It must be possible for test to fail] 10 of 50 young urban professionals queuing for a taxi pay extra 10% for instant cab, where expected wait time is at least 5 minutes.
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Experiment Results 29 Result 10 of 25 agreed. Police moved us on three times. People who declined were concerned about safety and legality. Cold / rain seemed to encourage most people. Decision Data is conclusive - getting a cab quickly is an important factor. Should be used in marketing. Means need large pool of drivers to provide quick response Learning Quick pickup important Safety / legality are concerns Adverse weather will increase demand
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Learn from Customers How to ask “good” questions
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Learning from Customers Normal Approach ●Explain idea ●Ask opinion ●Would they buy? 31 People lie all the time ●Polite ●Want to look good ●Abysmal predicting Customers hold the truth - the facts. We need a different way to learn.
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Talk about their life, not your idea ●Past not future ●Fact not opinion ●Specifics not general ●Relaxed not questionnaire Learning from Customers 32 Mom Test A good question is one your mother could say “no” to
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Exercise 2 - Customer Questions ●Select Riskiest Assumption related to customers really caring about the problem ●Write Customer / Problem Hypothesis o I believe [customer segment] has a significant problem achieving [goal / objective] ●Write 5 Questions to ask Customer 33
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Good or Bad Question? 34 Do you think UberHailo is a good idea? Bad
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Good or Bad Question? 35 Would you sign up for UberHailo when it becomes available? Bad
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Good or Bad Question? 36 How do you currently get taxis? OK
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Good or Bad Question? 37 The last time you got a taxi, how did you get it? Good
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Good or Bad Question? 38 When do you have a problem getting a taxi? OK
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Good or Bad Question? 39 Tell me about the last time you had a problem getting a taxi. Good
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Good or Bad Question? 40 What problems do you encounter when getting a taxi? OK
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Good or Bad Question? 41 Tell me about a time when you had a big problem getting a taxi. Good
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Good or Bad Question? 42 What have you tried to do about making it easier to get taxis? Good
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Good or Bad Question? 43 Please help me understand why you... Good
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Good or Bad Question? 44 How much would you pay for a taxi service you can summon quickly? Bad
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Good or Bad Question? 45 How much did you spend on taxis last month? Good
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Good or Bad Question? 46 What would you need to see before signing up? OK
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Good or Bad Question? 47 Who else should I talk to? Good
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Recap What did we cover?
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Recap ●Eliminate uncertainty ●Canvas, 1-page business model ●Validated learning o Hypothesis o Experiment o Measure ●Learning from customers 49
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Resources ●Slides, handouts at sm8.co/leansm8.co/lean ●or email Giles g@sm8.co Reading ●Lean Startup Eric RiesLean Startup ●Running Lean Ash MauryaRunning Lean ●The Mom Test Rob FitzpatrickThe Mom Test ●The Lean Entrepreneur Brant CooperThe Lean Entrepreneur 50
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